CRIMINALITY INDICATORS RELATED WITH PUBLIC SECURITY EXPENDITURE IN BRAZILIAN STATES
Public Security Expenditure. Criminality Indicators. Public Expenditure Theory. Crime Theory.
The public security expenditure in Brazilian States are high, but crime has grown in the last few decades and therefore it is questioned which factors are associated with this phenomenon. Thus, the general objective of the study is to investigate the criminality indicators related with public security expenditure in Brazilian States, during the period from 2010 to 2018. In this sense, data were collected through the Brazilian Public Security Yearbook (ABSP in portuguese), National Treasury Secretariat (STN in portuguese) and the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE in portuguese), with the sample being composed of the population itself. In this sense, the theorical background used were public expenditure theory and crime theory to substantiate and relate the model's variables, which are composed of: homicides, robberies, rapes, vehicle thefts, seized weapons, narcotics trafficking, realized income and demographic density. The study used the regression technique with panel data in order to verify whether crime rates are associated with Public Security Spending. Data analysis was performed using panel regression with random effects and the results revealed that Criminality Indicators are positively associated and significantly with Public Security Expenditure (PSE), as well as it was found that the regions are not statistically significant to determine the PSE. In addition, the present study shows thar crime rates in Brazil are alarming, making it necessary to improve public policies to improve the efficiency of public security expenditure.