Banca de DEFESA: WENDELLA SARA COSTA DA SILVA

Uma banca de DEFESA de DOUTORADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
STUDENT : WENDELLA SARA COSTA DA SILVA
DATE: 20/11/2023
TIME: 14:30
LOCAL: Videoconferência via Gerência de Redes do CCET/UFRN
TITLE:

WHY DID I CHOOSE TO HAVE FEWER CHILDREN? FECUNDITY DIFFUSION PROCESSES IN RIO GRANDE  DO NORTE, 1980 TO 2010. 

KEY WORDS:

Fertility diffusion; Total Fertility Rate; Television; Soap operas.

PAGES: 216
BIG AREA: Ciências Sociais Aplicadas
AREA: Demografia
SUMMARY:

The global phenomenon of falling fertility finds support in the most diverse explanations, such as questions  related to economic arguments about trade-offs, about the costs-benefits of having children, the rationality arising from  this logic, questions of industrialization, urbanization, female empowerment through increased education and insertion  into the job market, access to contraceptives, among other justifications. However, there is a set of explanations  considered alternatives and within this set of explanations are diffusion theories. In this thesis work, diffusion is  considered the umbrella that covers all other explanations already woven to understand the drop in fertility, as it is  understood that the processes of structural and socioeconomic changes that societies go through promote new rules  within the contract social, which are learned and internalized through dissemination via mass media and interaction  between people. Therefore, the general objective is to analyze the effect of diffusion (via television, radio, telephone,  electricity) on the fertility transition in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte, from 1980 to 2010. The methodology  used consists of a class of models implemented by the R package CARBayesST, which is used to model spatiotemporal  data from a set of non-overlapping areal units that are observed over multiple periods. The data used in the model are  from the Demographic Censuses of 1980, 1991, 2000 and 2010. More specifically, it is ST.CARanova, and demonstrates a spatio-temporal pattern of an average response with an ANOVA style decomposition within a Bayesian model. The  main result found is the significance of the television set in the drop in total fertility rates in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte. The result found encouraged a discussion about the relevant role of Brazilian soap operas in the  process of falling fertility. 

COMMITTEE MEMBERS:
Externa à Instituição - ADRIANA DE MIRANDA RIBEIRO - UFMG
Externo ao Programa - 1781198 - FIDEL ERNESTO CASTRO MORALES - nullPresidente - 1688188 - MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
Interna - ***.649.538-** - SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ - URCA
Externo à Instituição - WEBER SOARES - UFMG