PHASES AND FACES OF INTRASTATE MOBILITY IN CEARÁ (1995/2000 AND 2005/2010): EXPANDED METROPOLIZATION, DEMETROPOLIZATION AND MIGRATORY SELECTION
Intrastate migration; Demetropolization; Expanded metropolization; Migratory selectivity; Urban network.
This dissertation analyzes the dynamics of intrastate mobility in Ceará between 1995/2000 and 2005/2010, considering the phases and facets of migration, migrant selectivity, and the effects of municipal population size on flows and income. The study begins with the debate on the processes of expanded metropolization and demetropolization, seeking to understand whether there is population redistribution from the Fortaleza Metropolitan Region (RMF) to inland cities, especially medium-sized ones, and whether metropolitan centrality prevails or both processes coexist. The research uses microdata from the 2000 and 2010 Demographic Censuses (IBGE), organized into origin-destination migration matrices and analyzed using classic indicators of Gross Migration, Net Migration, and the Migration Effectiveness Index. Migratory selectivity is examined using the Heckman model, considering sociodemographic, occupational, and income differential characteristics. The results reveal that intrastate mobility in Ceará reflects the coexistence of two processes: on the one hand, expanded metropolitanization, marked by the population loss of Fortaleza toward neighboring municipalities in the RMF, such as Caucaia and Maracanaú; and, on the other, signs of intrastate demetropolization, evidenced by the emergence of medium-sized inland cities (size 4: Juazeiro do Norte, Crato, Sobral, and Itapipoca), which began to register positive migration balances. This dual dynamic shows that mobility reinforces urban hierarchies but also increases the centrality of intermediate regional hubs. Regarding individual characteristics, consistent selective patterns are observed: a predominance of young, male, mixed-race, and highly educated migrants, although gender and racial inequalities remain structural. In the economic sphere, the hypothesis of positive selectivity is confirmed: migrants earn higher incomes than non-migrants, especially in larger municipalities. In 2000, size 2 and 3 cities already had wage differentials compared to size 1 cities, but in 2005/2010, size 4 municipalities consolidated their prominent position, offering higher salaries and reinforcing their attractiveness. Thus, the economic gains from migration vary according to municipal size: smaller in small municipalities (size 1), intermediate in sizes 2 and 3, and more significant in medium-sized municipalities (size 4). The conclusion is that intrastate mobility in Ceará is not neutral: it combines expanded metropolization and signs of intrastate demetropolization, reproducing urban and social hierarchies, but also revealing the emergence of medium-sized cities as new regional hubs. This evidence contributes to the understanding of territorial reconfigurations and offers support for public policies aimed at reducing regional inequalities and strengthening the state's urban network.