SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND TEMPORAL TREND OF REPORTED CASES OF HIV IN PREGNANT WOMEN IN RIO GRANDE DO NORTE, 2015-2024
HIV, Pregnant Women, Spatial Analysis, Time Series, Public Health.
HIV infection in pregnant women represents a significant public health challenge,
requiring effective surveillance strategies and vertical transmission control. In this
context, the spatial and temporal analysis of reported HIV cases in pregnant women can
provide important insights for the formulation of targeted policies and interventions.
This study aims to analyze the spatial distribution and temporal trends of reported HIV
cases in pregnant women in the state of Rio Grande do Norte between 2015 and 2024.
This is an ecological time-series study with a quantitative approach, using secondary
data from the State Health Department of Rio Grande do Norte (SESAP RN).
Sociodemographic variables such as age, education level, and race/skin color will be
analyzed, along with clinical variables, including the gestational trimester at the time of
diagnosis and the use of antiretroviral therapy, depending on data availability. The
incidence of cases per Health Region and at the state level will also be calculated, in
addition to identifying spatial clusters and spatial correlations between Health Regions.
Temporal trends will be assessed using appropriate statistical models. The results will
be presented through thematic maps, graphs, and descriptive analyses. This study is
expected to contribute to a better understanding of the dynamics of HIV infection in
pregnant women in the state, assisting in the development of more effective prevention
and control strategies.