Banca de QUALIFICAÇÃO: VIVIANNE MARTINS DE ALFAIA

Uma banca de QUALIFICAÇÃO de MESTRADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
STUDENT : VIVIANNE MARTINS DE ALFAIA
DATE: 16/12/2021
TIME: 14:00
LOCAL: videoconferência
TITLE:

RESPIRATORY DISEASES: A CLIMATE AND SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

KEY WORDS:

Respiratory Diseases; Thermal Comfort; Northeast and Southeast.

PAGES: 65
BIG AREA: Ciências Exatas e da Terra
AREA: Geociências
SUBÁREA: Meteorologia
SPECIALTY: Meteorologia Aplicada
SUMMARY:

Respiratory system diseases are a group of pathologies with wide notification of hospitalizations in Brazil, being an important factor in illness and death, especially among children and the elderly. There is a consensus in the scientific literature that respiratory diseases are important due to several risk factors, which may be related to individual behaviors or habits, as well as environmental, or those resulting from changes in meteorological elements. The present study aims to evaluate the influence of socio-demographic factors and variability of meteorological variables to the number of mortality rate from respiratory diseases in capital cities of the Northeast and Southeast regions of Brazil. To compose the analogy proposed in the study will be considered the mortality rates of reported cases of respiratory diseases, weather variables, socio-sanitary variables and indicators of health infrastructure conditions. The following sources of information will be used: 1) Xavier et al. (2015) and the Meteorological Database (BDMEP) for meteorological data; 2) Mortality Information System (SIM), 3) SUS Hospital Information System (SIH/SUS), 4) National Register of Health Establishments (CNES), 5) coverage of the Family Health Strategy (ESF); 6) Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and 7) United Nations Development Program (UNDP) for socio-demographic information. Modeling via Generalized Estimating Equations will be employed to verify significant associations between weather variables and mortality rates. Subsequently, it is intended to analyze the pattern of mortality rate from respiratory diseases related also to sociodemographic factors. Graphical outputs and statistical analyses were performed with the help of the free statistical software R. The preliminary results of the modeling via GEE, were carried out for the capital cities of Natal/RN and Belo Horizonte (MG). It was found that the behavior of the meteorological variables influences the mortality from respiratory diseases, and it is believed at first that the action of the variables changes according to the region. In Natal/RN, a significant association was observed between temperatures and mortality rates, highlighting an inverse relationship with maximum temperature. In Belo Horizonte/MG, on the other hand, the model fitted significantly with rainfall and relative humidity, also highlighting an inverse relationship with humidity.  It is believed that the results of this study will be useful for health surveillance, thus collaborating in the mitigation of public measures that seek to reduce the impacts of socioeconomic factors and atmospheric conditions on the occurrence of this group of diseases.

BANKING MEMBERS:
Presidente - 1346630 - LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
Interno - 320597 - PAULO SERGIO LUCIO
Externa ao Programa - 726.020.582-20 - ANA CARLA DOS SANTOS GOMES