ASSESSMENT OF THE VULNERABILITY OF GEOMORPHOLOGICAL HERITAGE TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN COASTAL AREAS
Coastal geodynamics. Geodiversity. Geoconservation. Adaptation
The intensification of climate change has increased the exposure and sensitivity of coastal environments, especially in tropical regions characterized by high geomorphological variability and instability. In this context, the objective of this thesis is to assess the vulnerability of the Coastal Geomorphological Heritage to climate change, using the southeastern coast of Rio Grande do Norte as the study area. It is based on the assumption that coastal vulnerability is not limited to exposure to natural hazards, but constitutes a socio-environmental construct resulting from the interaction between geomorphological processes, climatic drivers, and forms of land use and occupation. To understand this, the research integrates three theoretical axes: (i) the geodynamics of the coastal landscape; (ii) vulnerability as an integrative analytical category; and (iii) the fundamentals of Geodiversity, Geomorphological Heritage, and Geoconservation. From a methodological standpoint, an integrated approach is proposed, combining qualitative and quantitative analyses. The methodology involves the inventory and assessment of geomorphosites, the analysis of the physical susceptibility of landforms, and the incorporation of variables associated with climate change and anthropogenic pressures. As a complementary tool, the use of the InVEST (Coastal Vulnerability Model) stands out, allowing for the spatial analysis of vulnerability patterns and the comparison of different approaches. The empirical application, in turn, will involve characterizing the coastal landscape, assessing the vulnerability of the geomorphological heritage, and proposing geoconservation strategies. The results are expected to contribute to the theoretical and methodological advancement of coastal vulnerability analysis by integrating the geomorphological dimension and natural heritage into risk understanding and management, thereby supporting territorial planning in the context of climate change.