Relationships between extreme climatic events and suicides: evidence from Brazilian capitals
Climate change, Extreme events, Mental health, Suicide, Brazil
The intensification of the strength and occurrence of extreme weather events, attributed to climate change, has been shown to affect not only the environment and the economy but also human health, particularly mental health. Stress caused by disasters, food and water insecurity, and exposure to adverse weather conditions can lead to anxiety, depression, and psychological distress, and, in extreme cases, may even be associated with suicide. Recognized as a serious global public health issue, this act against one’s own life has multiple social, cultural, and environmental determinants. However, in Brazil, research has remained mostly focused on socioeconomic and demographic factors, without consistently exploring the influence of climate. The present study aims to investigate the possible relationships between annual suicide rates in Brazilian capitals and environmental variables associated with climate, with an emphasis on the occurrence of extreme temperature and precipitation events. To this end, secondary databases will be used, including official records of suicide mortality (Atlas da Violência/IPEA and DATASUS) and climatological series derived from observational products (INMET and extreme indices defined by ETCCDMI). The analysis employs climate extreme indices derived from RClimDex and statistical methods such as the Mann-Kendall Test and Sen’s Slope Test, which aim to identify correlations and trends, seeking to provide support for public policies on prevention and adaptation that are more sensitive to regional vulnerabilities. Trends of increasing suicide cases have been observed, reinforcing the importance of this research