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Disertación/Tesis

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2024
Disertaciones
1
  • FREDNA MARTA DA COSTA MORAIS
  • Regional differentials in risk behaviors for non-communicable chronic diseases and associated factors in the Brazilian adult population in 2019

  • Líder : JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • PRISCILA MARIA STOLSES BERGAMO FRANCISCO
  • Data: 20-mar-2024


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Chronic non-communicable diseases (NCDs), such as cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, chronic respiratory diseases, and diabetes mellitus, represent a significant challenge to global health. In 2019, these diseases were responsible for 738,371 deaths in Brazil, of which 41.8% occurred prematurely. NCDs are influenced by several risk factors, which can be classified as non-modifiable, such as sex, age, and genetics, or modifiable, including smoking, physical inactivity, excessive alcohol consumption, and an unhealthy diet, characterized by inadequate intake of fruits and vegetables. In this context, the aim of this study is to analyze the regional differences in risk behaviors related to NCDs and the factors associated with these behaviors in the Brazilian population aged 30 to 69, in 2019. The choice of this age group is justified because it is aligned with the focus of the Strategic Action Plan for the Control of NCDs and because it represents a productive phase of life, in which premature deaths have a significant impact on public health and socioeconomic development. Data from the 2019 National Health Survey were analyzed, considering the following dependent variables: smoking, physical inactivity, excessive alcohol consumption, and inadequate intake of fruits and vegetables. The independent variables consisted of a set of sociodemographic and health characteristics of the target population. Poisson regression models with robust variance were applied to explore the associations between behavioral risk factors and independent variables, estimating crude and adjusted prevalence ratios, along with their respective 95% confidence intervals.

Tesis
1
  • PRISCILA DE SOUZA SILVA
  • THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE SEXUAL ORIENTATION OF ADULTS AND THE LABOR MARKET IN BRAZIL: AN ANALYSIS OF OCCUPATION PREVALENCE, ASSOCIATED FACTORS, DIFFERENTIALS BY INCOME AND INTERSECTIONALITY OF SEX AND RACE/COLOR

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FÁBIO LÚCIO RODRIGUES
  • GLAUCIA DOS SANTOS MARCONDES
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • SAMUEL ARAUJO GOMES
  • Data: 26-feb-2024


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Despite social and institutional advances in defense of sexual and gender diversity in Brazil, in recent years, we have experienced the strengthening of hate speech, the reproduction of conservative “values”, discriminatory and prejudiced practices. At this juncture, it is observed that the structural inequalities that remain latent in our society, with the overlapping of markers of difference, can generate multiple inequities in the job market, especially when linked to people's sexual orientation. Based on data from the 2019 National Health Survey, the main objective of this thesis is to analyze the prevalence of occupation and associated factors in adults (aged 18 or over) selected to answer the question sexual orientation, also considering possible differentials by income and the intersectionality of sex and race/color. To obtain estimates of occupation prevalence, Poisson Regression models with robust variance were used. The results showed that the chances of employment in the Brazilian job market are reduced for people who declared themselves as homosexuals, bisexuals, with another orientation, who did not know and for those who refused to answer, when compared to heterosexual people. In the income models, the estimates show that the chances of employment are lower for people who did not respond heterosexual, regardless of the per capita household income range. In turn, through the intersectionality of sex and race/color, it was possible to identify that, while the fact of being homosexual reduces the chances of employment for men regardless of their race/color, for white and non-white homosexual women the chances of being busy increases. However, for bisexual people, with another sexual orientation, who did not know and those who refused to answer, the findings show a reduction in the chances of employment, regardless of the intersection of sex and race/color. The job market is still an environment heavily influenced by conservative norms and “values”, and the lower chances of employment for people with non-normative orientations are probably due to the effect of discrimination.

2
  • PAULO VICTOR MACIEL DA COSTA
  • STRENGTHENING ROOTS: POPULATION (I)MOBILITY AND RESILIENCE IN THE NORTHEAST SEMI-ARID

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLÁVIA MARIA GALIZONI
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • PAULO DE MARTINO JANNUZZI
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 08-may-2024


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Although the Northeast is a region where there is still a significant loss of population, it also records the largest volume of 'never migrants', especially in the interior municipalities. According to the 2010 Demographic Census, around 10 million people living in the Northern Semiarid region, equivalent to 70.3% of the total population, had never undertaken migration from or inside the region. This shows that immobility in the Semiarid region is greater than one might imagine, which may demonstrate that the ability to migrate is not available to everyone, as it requires a minimum level of human, social and physical capital, but may also reflect a structure of resilience developed in the place of birth. The first explanation tends towards the perspective of vulnerability of a population that does not migrate despite being exposed to risks, configuring a “trapped population”. The other, on the other hand, tends towards the perspective that other adaptation strategies may be more important in relation to migration. In this sense, elements such as supplementing family income and water security, whether for consumption or production, can jointly play the role of making the population resilient, especially those who live in the countryside, where conditions are more arid, not only from an environmental perspective, but also from a socioeconomic perspective. The role that institutions play is essential to this resilience. Adaptive management on their part must consider both the social and ecological focus, aspects that, in the semi-arid context, are identified in the Cisterns Program, a global reference in the search for increasing water and food security, in addition to low impact on ecosystem. Given this, the question arises: how does resilience contribute to immobility in the Northern Semiarid? More specifically, it is worth asking: is population immobility related to access to cisterns? Are individual and family issues, linked to the life cycle, and institutional issues related to the immobility of country people? What is the impact of the Cisterns Program along with other social programs on the resilience of country people? In addition to the bibliography researched, to help answer these questions, it was used cross-sectional databases, such as the Demographic Censuses (2000 and 2010), and longitudinal databases, such as the CIDACS Cohort of 100 Million Brazilians (Center for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health) of Fiocruz Bahia. These questions guided the essays that make up this thesis and support the view that the backlands are not only vulnerable, but also resilient. Given his experience of working in the countryside, “o sertanejo é, antes de tudo, um forte”, but he continues to need social policies that enhance his strength, in the face of social disadvantages that remain, as well as insecurities that become pronounced with climate change.

2023
Disertaciones
1
  • BRENDA LUÍZA PATRIOTA LIMA E SILVA
  • “Viuvas da Seca” demographic context at the Northern Semiarid, Paraíba (1970-2010)

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • EDUARDO MARANDOLA JR
  • Data: 06-mar-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • “Drought widows” (Viúvas da Seca) is the term used by Ab’Saber (1999) to characterize the population of women who are widows of living husbands, left behind in migratory flows carried out selectively by gender and working age. This phenomenon became frequent throughout the Northeast region, especially in the northern semi-arid region, a region with the most severe droughts, in which public policies to overcome the water supply crisis were fragmented and emergency, making the economy fragile and incapable of of retaining manpower in the period in which the second Brazilian demographic transition begins. It is proposed to describe the demographic context that caused the occurrence of women "widows of the drought" based on data from the Brazilian Demographic Census of 1970, following through the historical series from 1970 to 2010 the evidence that demonstrates the overcoming of socially established vulnerabilities by through the relations of power and subordination between gender roles, changing the family dynamics due to the female empowerment achieved through public policies that promoted the improvement of human capital due to the value changes widespread during the second demographic transition (LESTHAEGHE AND SURKIN, 1988 ). Taking the population between 15 and 49 years of age as the analysis population, as it covers the reproductive period and coincides with the age at which there is a greater probability of consensual cohabitation, divorce, children and labor migration, with greater male flows. Due to the difficulty in finding questions about migration common to the entire series, we initially sought to use the Sex Ratio as a proxy for male emigration in the northeastern semi-arid region in 1970, comprising 754 municipalities. According to the Foz Group (2021), variations in this indicator require further explanations to understand the composition by sex of the observed population, and sex-selective migration may be one of its causes. The Sex Ratio for the aforementioned region in that year was categorized into three levels, the highest being the one that includes municipalities whose Femininity Ratio was greater than 130 women for each group of 100 men, in this group there are 26 municipalities, of which which 14 are part of the federative unit of Paraíba. Therefore, the great expressiveness of municipalities in Paraíba in this cut, lies in the need for further investigations to understand the occurrence of the phenomenon in Paraíba, using the migratory balance to prove that the differential of the Sex Ratio initially observed was due to male emigration and not to female immigration to the state. Preliminary analyzes reinforce assumptions such as that of Camarano and Abramovay (1999) in which masculinity would be higher in rural areas, as well as the Youth Dependency Ratio would be higher in these areas than in urban areas. In the same way that the urban transition highlighted by the Foz Group (2021), first supported by Zelinsk (1971), cooperates to reduce long-distance migratory flows and greater flows at medium and short distances, with the reurbanization of new migratory spaces, causing productive decentralization, especially after the year 2000 with the policies of interiorization of vocational and higher education. Just as periods of economic crisis encourage return flows, as Dota and Queiroz (2019) present, the data found in the migratory balance confirm the reduction in emigration and the increase in immigration over the historical series. Later, the analyzes of the Sex Ratio and the age structure of the selected municipalities make it possible to observe the effects of the drop in fertility on the region, due to changes in family dynamics from higher levels of declared female headship in the state of Paraíba, Northeast and Brazil.

2
  • AMADEU CLEMENTINO ARAÚJO NETO
  • Ovarian cancer mortality from a demographic perspective

  • Líder : KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • JULIANO DOS SANTOS
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • Data: 28-jul-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Ovarian cancer is highly associated with changes in women's reproductive behavior, becoming the seventh most incident cancer and the eighth cause of cancer death in women. At the population level, the differentials in the incidence and mortality from this neoplasm are correlated with the population's age structure, especially with population aging and the reduction in the fertility rate. Notably, reproductive factors (nulliparity, not using oral contraceptives, never having breastfed) are responsible for more than 80% of the population's attributable risk of ovarian cancer. The temporal evolution of the incidence and mortality of health problems is influenced by three temporal factors: age, period, and cohort. Thus, the present dissertation aims to evaluate the effect of age, period, and cohort in Brazilian states that present essential differences in the reproductive behavior of women, Federation Units of the Northeast and South of the country, for mortality from ovarian cancer, in the period of 1980 to 2019, in the age group of 30 to 80 years. Death records will be extracted from the Mortality Information System (SIM/DATASUS), and population data will be obtained from the Brazilian Institute of Statistics and Geography (IBGE). In order to obtain more reliable mortality rates, the quality and coverage of deaths were corrected. After correcting the deaths, crude mortality rates were calculated, specific by age group, and standardized by the direct method, using the world population proposed by Segi as the standard population. The APC effects were calculated for mortality rates in the five years from 1980-1984 to 2010-2019, using Poisson regression using estimable functions proposed by Holford and implemented by Carstensen. During the study period, the average mortality rate per 100,000 women in the South region was 7.60, and in the Northeast, 5.25. The highest average rates were observed in the states of Rio Grande do Sul (8.09/100,000 women) and Santa Catarina (7.50/100,000 women) and the lowest in Paraíba (3.99/100,000 women) and in Alagoas (4.48/100,000 women). Differences were observed in the risk of death in the 2000s between the states of the South and Northeast regions, with an increase in the last five years in states of the Northeast region and a reduction in the states of the South. Furthermore, there was an increase in the risk of death from ovarian cancer in women of generations born from the 1950s onwards. Differences in the period effect observed between the states of these two regions may be correlated with inequalities in access to health services from Primary Care to highly complex treatment in oncology. Moreover, the increased risk of ovarian cancer mortality in younger generations correlates with changes in reproductive behavior and the westernization of lifestyle habits.

3
  • GABRIEL DIAS BRAGA MESQUITA
  • The impact of deaths from external causes during the young adult age range on the variability of age at death in Brazil from 2000 to 2020

  • Líder : MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ALANE SIQUEIRA ROCHA
  • BERNARDO LANZA QUEIROZ
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • Data: 18-dic-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • From 1940 onwards there was a change in Brazil's morbidity and mortality profile, which made the compression-rectangularization process possible to be observed in the country. However, even though the change in the Brazilian morbidity and mortality profile may have facilitated the possible occurrence of this process, premature deaths can act as a brake. Among the main causes of premature deaths worldwide are the so-called external causes, which represent an important portion of deaths. It is explained that external causes are the main causes that make up the demographic phenomenon of the mortality hump. Therefore, the general objective of this work is to evaluate the impact of deaths from external causes in the age period of young adults on the variability of age at death in the Federative Units (UFs) of Brazil in the period determined between 2000 and 2020. The aim is to determine also which causes of death contributed most to excess mortality among young Brazilian adults and calculate measures of location, extension and dimensioning of the estimated mortality humps. As a result, it was observed that the mortality humps estimated for men through the SSE are higher than those estimated for women. Among men, in general, it was observed that for the states of the North and Northeast there was a considerable increase in magnitude measurements between 2010 and 2020. For the states of the Southeast and South, the trend observed was an increase in these measurements between 2000 and 2010. For women, the variations in these measurements presented were smaller. The main causes of death observed among young adult men are violence and traffic accidents. Among women, the main causes of death observed among young adults are violence, traffic accidents and complications during pregnancy, childbirth and the postpartum period. Using age-at-death variability measurements, it was possible to conclude that if the mortality hump component estimated by the SSE were disregarded, the DIM and C50 measurements would suffer reductions, accompanied by increases in the median age at death and deviation. pattern for both sexes and in all years. When analyzing the DP it is seen that there would be an increase in the DP when removing the hump component. Despite this, it can be stated that a decrease in the variability of age at death is observed for Brazil in all states analyzed. The study developed could contribute to the correct direction of public policies in Brazil in the area of health in an attempt to reduce deaths from external causes, especially among young adults.

4
  • VANESSA CRISTINA DA SILVA BERNARDO
  • OCCUPATION AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS OF CHILDLESS WOMEN AT THE END OF THE  REPRODUCTIVE PERIOD IN THE NORTHEAST LABOR MARKET IN 2015

  • Líder : JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JOICE MELO VIEIRA
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • Data: 19-dic-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • During the second half of the 20th century, Brazilian society was marked by  changes, especially with regard to women's space in education, the world of work and  personal choices. A point of great importance that paved the way for others was  urbanization, combined with the industrialization of the country, which attracted  people to large urban centers in search of jobs and better living conditions. It was in  this context that contraception methods entered the country and became accessible  to women, who became more able to decide when, how many or if they would like to  have children. Another major advance was the expansion of basic and higher  education centers, which allowed more and more people to have access to education  and, consequently, better working conditions. Among these people who were able to take advantage of these opportunities are women. Currently, many studies have  already dealt with the evolution of Brazilian women in the final decades of the last  century, however, there are few that deal with Northeastern women and their  relationship with the job market. Especially when the focus is not on all women, but on  those who remained in the job market and who may have done so to the detriment of  motherhood. Therefore, this work had as its object of study working women from the  Northeast who reached the end of their reproductive period (45 to 49 years old),  without having had children and we analyzed them by level of education, profession  and income. Using data from PNAD 2015, a descriptive analysis of variables relating to  the three themes mentioned was carried out and it was found that these women are  studying more, working in areas of the market that were previously accessible only to  men and many of them are assuming the position of heads of the household in which  they live.


5
  • IRINA SALENE BRANDÃO BARBOSA VICENTE
  • IDENTIFICATION OF DIRECT AND INDIRECT EFFECTS OF RETURN MIGRATION IN THE NORTHEAST IN 2010

  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • REINALDO ONOFRE DOS SANTOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 21-dic-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Social inequality is one of the major drivers of internal migration flows in Brazil. Until the end of the 1970s, these flows were associated with the rapid and concentrated development of the economy, particularly in the Southeast region, which intensified regional inequalities. However, from the 1980s onward, with economic deconcentration and the economic crisis, the flows indicated a new configuration of migration movements. This was characterized by a slowdown in long-distance migration to agricultural frontiers, an increase in return migration, and migrations of medium and short distances. There was a decrease in rural-urban migration and an intensification of urban-urban movements, resulting in a reduction of large flows to the Southeast, primarily originating from the Northeast and Minas Gerais (SALES, BAENINGER, 2000; CUNHA, BAENINGER, 2001; QUEIROZ, DOTA, 2019). The main objective of this study is to identify the direct and indirect effects of return migration in the Northeast region, at the level of the Metropolitan Region or Interior, and by categories of municipalities. Return migration is characterized by the flow of individuals who left their birthplace, lived for some time in another region, and then decided to return to their birthplace. This decision is influenced by various factors associated with the place of origin and the destination (BATISTA; CAMPOS; RIGOTTI, 2017). In addition to the main objective, the study will analyze how the direct and indirect effects of return migration affect demographic dynamics in the Northeast, examining by Metropolitan Region or Interior and by categories of municipalities. It will also analyze the importance of return migration in the immigrant volume of the decade. From the results obtained in this study, it was observed that there is an average older age for returnees in relation to indirect effects and a higher participation of women among those returning to the municipality of birth and those returning to the Northeast region.  

6
  • FRANCISCO SÁVIO BERNARDO BATISTA
  • Commuting and Expansion of Higher Education in the Central-South Ceará Mesoregion, in the Years 2000 and 2010.

  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • FRANCISCO DO O DE LIMA JÚNIOR
  • Data: 21-dic-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Brazil experienced, in the second half of the 20th century, one of the most intense and accelerated urban transitions in the world. This change occurred quickly, causing the country's population to go from predominantly rural to an urban and metropolitan nation, where a large portion of the population began to live in large cities. Consequently, population movements have undergone changes, long-distance migration begins to decrease, giving way to short-distance movements. Furthermore, commuting movements also gain in intensity, which are configured as daily movements of people who leave their municipality of residence to another, with the aim of carrying out some activity, commonly for work or study. Associated with this we have the changes that also occurred within the scope of public policies aimed at Education in Brazil, mainly those related to the expansion and decentralization of Higher Education, which contributed to the increase in articulations between cities due to the spatial mobility of the population, with emphasis on pendulum movements for study reasons. Therefore, this study aims to: analyze changes in the commuting movements (origin and destination) of undergraduate and postgraduate students at Higher Education institutions in the Central South Mesoregion of Ceará, in terms of the configuration of flows and sociodemographic characterization of these students, in a comparative perspective, through the 2000 and 2010 censuses. The importance of studies in the Central-South Mesoregion of the State of Ceará is highlighted, given the scarcity of studies specific to non-metropolitan areas, and this brings to light the relevance of the region for understanding the demographic dynamics of Ceará, the Northeast and Brazil, Generally. The research will use microdata from the Demographic Census of the years 2000 and 2010 from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics-IBGE, capturing information about the Central South Mesoregion of the state of Ceará. To process the data, SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciense) will be used to capture information about commuting for study reasons to outline the sociodemographic profile of these commuters. The results show that: the commuting movements carried out by higher education students (undergraduate and postgraduate) in the Central South Cearense Mesoregion did not have such an expressive representation in this mesoregion in the year 2000 and that this reality started to change in 2010; Iguatu is the municipality in the Central South mesoregion that receives the most commuters in 2010, attracting students from 10 of the 14 municipalities that make up the area analyzed. Furthermore, it was found that the decentralization of higher education had impactful effects on commuting in the Central South Mesoregion, as it contributed to the increase in commuting flows of students who make up the studied region.

     

Tesis
1
  • ANA EDIMILDA AMADOR
  • Regional differentials in mortality from external causes in Brazil: years of life lost and effects on life expectancy.

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • ANA MARIA NOGALES VASCONCELOS
  • RAPHAEL MENDONÇA GUIMARÃES
  • Data: 28-feb-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The external causes of morbidity and mortality are configured as a public health problem, and have repercussions on demographic and social dynamics by causing disabilities and deaths. Aiming to analyze the regional differences in mortality from external causes in Brazil in terms of years of life lost and the effects on life expectancy, this is a retrospective study in the large regions of Brazil, with mortality data from all causes and from external causes (chapter XX) of the 10th Revision of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD-10), through the Mortality Information System (SIM), by residence, sex and group. Population data were obtained from the 2000, 2010 Censuses from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and 2019 from the National Household Sample Survey (PNAD). Data ignored by sex and age group were distributed proportionally. For mortality data subject to underreporting, correction was performed using the Adjusted Extinct Generations method (GE-Aj). Life tables with single and multiple decrements were calculated, excluding deaths from external causes, to compare life expectancy in each region of Brazil by year and by sex. Years of life lost due to external causes were also estimated. The estimates produced for the years 2000, 2010 and 2019 represented gains in years in life expectancy for all regions when excluding deaths from external causes. For males, the greatest gains occurred in the north and northeast regions in 2010, reaching more than 4 years in gains considering the absence of deaths. For females, the greatest gains occurred in the northern region in 2010, reaching almost 2 years. The Midwest region showed an increase in gains in years for the year 2019. As for Years of Life Lost  

    due to the occurrence of deaths from external causes for both males and females, the Southeast region represents the region with the highest number of years lost, but for men it is also the one that showed the greatest decrease among the years of this study. On the opposite side, the northern region, which had a low number of lost years, increased in the years 2010 and 2019. The northeast and central-west regions had an increase for 2010 and remained in 2019. For females, an increase was observed in the years of life lost in all regions from 2000 to 2010 and from 2010 to 2019. The average number of Years of Life Lost had the highest average number for men of 23.69 years in the northern region in 2000 and the lowest in the southern region with loss of life. average number of 19.96 years in 2000. For women, 2010 represented the year with the highest average number of years lost in all regions with the exception of the Southeast region, and on average each dead woman lost 19.02 years of life in northern region in 2000. This study may support intersectoral strategic planning/actions aimed at external causes.

2
  • DENISE EVELYN MENDONCA PIMENTEL
  • Age Assortative mating  among heterosexual couples in Brazil

  • Líder : JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • MARIA CAROLINA TOMÁS
  • GLAUCIA DOS SANTOS MARCONDES
  • Data: 04-ago-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The age difference between spouses has important implications in a variety of contexts - in patterns of marital unions, gender relations, marriage stability, and family configurations. This study investigates the main factors associated with age differences among heterosexual couples in Brazil, as well as their variations according to the sociodemographic characteristics of men and women by microregions. We used data from civil registry records from 1990 to 2019 and Demographic Censuses from 1991 to 2010. Based on the age differences between spouses, couples were classified as homogamous, hypergamous, and hypogamous. The chances of men and women being in a heterogamous relationship compared to a homogamous one were analyzed considering the following factors: age, migration status, education level, household situation, type of union, race/ethnicity, GDP, and urbanization rate of the microregions. Among the main results, there was a reduction in the proportion of couples where men are older, accompanied by an increase in couples where women are older than their spouses, regardless of marital status. There was also an increase in homogamy and hypogamy in marriages where both spouses are single. The postponement of marriages was identified as one of the factors contributing to changes in age difference patterns. Hypogamy was more common in consensual unions. When analyzing the variation of homogamous, hypergamous, and hypogamous couples among microregions, a positive association was observed between an increase in the average age at marriage of women and a high proportion of the female population over 25 years old with a college education, leading to a predominance of hypogamous couples. Other results associated with indicators of female autonomy and socioeconomic aspects indicate that the formation of hypogamous couples is not necessarily related to economically developed regions. The formation of homogamous couples was negatively associated with a high percentage of men and migrants in the population, while GDP per capita showed a positive correlation in this formation. Hypergamous couples showed a positive association with a predominance of men in the population and a high percentage of migrants. Regarding economic aspects, a negative relationship was observed with GDP per capita and urbanization rate. Considering the sociodemographic characteristics of spouses, the results indicate that men and women with a college education are less likely to be hypogamous and hypergamous compared to being homogamous. Migrant women are more likely to be involved with a younger man, while migrant men are more likely to be involved with both older and younger women compared to those of the same age.

3
  • JOÃO GOMES DA SILVA
  • HIGH SCHOOL PERFORMANCE IN BRAZIL: THE ROLE OF TEACHER TRAINING AND SCHOOL INFRASTRUCTURE IN REGIONAL AND STATE CONTEXT 
  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARCOS JAVIER ANDRADA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO JOSÉ PEREIRA
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 31-ago-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • School performance in the context of Brazilian education has become one of the main strategies used in scientific debates to obtain diagnoses regarding the situations faced by the educational system, more specifically on the conduct of public policies for basic education, which include the regular high school grades. The national literature discusses performance through the results of national assessment exams. In this regard, it can be emphasized that in international studies, school performance is diagnosed as an essential tool to address the alignment of constructive policies, because in countries considered developed, they have education as the main resource needed, in terms of the level of education of the population, which represents the potential that the nation must grow. From the literature review, no research was diagnosed that used the School Census with the intention of detailing school performance through the role of teachers' actions and school infrastructure. Therefore, the main objective of this thesis is to analyze the performance of students enrolled in high school as a function of adequate teacher training and school infrastructure, in Brazil, Major Regions and states, between 2016 and 2017. To achieve this proposal, information from the 2016 and 2017 School Censuses of the National Institute of Educational Studies and Research Anísio Teixeira (INEP) was used. In this sense, a methodology is proposed to create indicators that relate to the attributes of students in the initial stages of regular secondary education, adequate teacher training and school infrastructure, which is one of the main contributions of this thesis. After having created the methodological resources of this research, the analytical evidence of the indices points to the main contrasts of the Regions and states. The results indicate that Piauí presented the worst performance in Brazil and the Northeast in the IDA. In the Midwest, the state of Mato Grosso stood out for the significant volume of inadequate teachers, while the Federal District was better in this IFDA condition. In the North region, Acre was the worst in terms of school infrastructure, while in the South region, the state of Rio Grande do Sul stands out with good representation of the EII. Thus, the indices were sufficient to confirm hypotheses regarding the influence of the role of teacher training and school infrastructure, pointing to a positive relationship. In summary, the respective indices have the capacity to offer new methodological procedures for quantitative investigations.

     
4
  • WENDELLA SARA COSTA DA SILVA
  • WHY DID I CHOOSE TO HAVE FEWER CHILDREN? FECUNDITY DIFFUSION PROCESSES IN RIO GRANDE  DO NORTE, 1980 TO 2010. 

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ADRIANA DE MIRANDA RIBEIRO
  • FIDEL ERNESTO CASTRO MORALES
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 20-nov-2023


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The global phenomenon of falling fertility finds support in the most diverse explanations, such as questions  related to economic arguments about trade-offs, about the costs-benefits of having children, the rationality arising from  this logic, questions of industrialization, urbanization, female empowerment through increased education and insertion  into the job market, access to contraceptives, among other justifications. However, there is a set of explanations  considered alternatives and within this set of explanations are diffusion theories. In this thesis work, diffusion is  considered the umbrella that covers all other explanations already woven to understand the drop in fertility, as it is  understood that the processes of structural and socioeconomic changes that societies go through promote new rules  within the contract social, which are learned and internalized through dissemination via mass media and interaction  between people. Therefore, the general objective is to analyze the effect of diffusion (via television, radio, telephone,  electricity) on the fertility transition in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte, from 1980 to 2010. The methodology  used consists of a class of models implemented by the R package CARBayesST, which is used to model spatiotemporal  data from a set of non-overlapping areal units that are observed over multiple periods. The data used in the model are  from the Demographic Censuses of 1980, 1991, 2000 and 2010. More specifically, it is ST.CARanova, and demonstrates a spatio-temporal pattern of an average response with an ANOVA style decomposition within a Bayesian model. The  main result found is the significance of the television set in the drop in total fertility rates in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte. The result found encouraged a discussion about the relevant role of Brazilian soap operas in the  process of falling fertility. 

2022
Disertaciones
1
  • MUSSAGY ISMAEL SAVAI IBRAIMO
  • Migratory dynamics and assessment of census requirements on internal and international migration in Mozambique: an analysis based on the 2017 census

  • Líder : JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • ÁLVARO DE OLIVEIRA D'ANTONA
  • Data: 24-feb-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • This research approaches the migratory dynamics and data quality of the census migration measurement requirements in Mozambique. The complexity of the census operation makes it susceptible to errors, especially when the data collection process is in paper format. It was in this perspective that an analysis of the consistency of the questions was carried out in order to assess the quality of the data, which also helped in the definition of the geographical unit cut. There are several factors that influence the migratory dynamics such as socioeconomic, natural disasters. The instability that the country experienced between the 1980s and 1990s provided an environment for the increase of migratory movements in the rural-urban sense and to neighboring countries, especially South Africa and Zimbabwe, the latter combined with the search for opportunities for work due to the historical connection between these countries since the end of the 19th century. In the early 1990s, with the end of the war, it was characterized by a massive return of Mozambicans to their areas of origin after about 16 years. In the early 2000s, the country registered an explosion in economic growth, constituting a factor of attraction for migratory opportunities. and international, and the impact of migration on the dynamics of spatial redistribution of the population of Mozambique. For this purpose, the microdata from the 2017 census are used, descriptive analysis of the migratory phenomenon, sociodemographic characteristics of migrants and their selectivities, evaluation of recent and five-year trends in migration, analysis of the spatial redistribution of the population from maps of flows. From the results obtained, it was found that in relation to the quality of the data, only the questions about geographical units that presented inconsistencies in relation to the code of the areas of the disaggregated level below the province. Recent interprovincial internal migrations have shown similar trends to five-year migrations, with the provinces of Maputo and Maputo city receiving the highest volume of immigrants, both from the South region, and Zambezia (Center) and Inhambane (South) the two with the largest volume of emigrants. In relation to international migration, there was a reduction in the volume of international immigrants, which may be associated with issues of insecurity caused by the resurgence of political-military conflict in the period 2013-2019 in the Central region of the country. Regarding return migration, whether internal or international, migrants have an age pattern similar to the classic migration curve, which reveals a greater concentration of migrants in active ages, while in relation to the level of education, migrants with a high level of schooling are the ones that migrate the least, a fact contrary to what is presented in selectivity theories.     


2
  • RISLENE KÁTIA RAMOS ARAÚJO DE SOUSA
  • THE LABOR MARKET IN THE NORTHERN SEMIARID REGION IN THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

  • Líder : JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • IARA MARIA DE ARAÚJO
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 25-mar-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The Northern Semiarid (SS) is a region located in the Brazilian Northeast, being characterized by a dry and aridclimateand a large population volume. In recent years, the economy in the region has advanced with industrialization, exports,and the implementation of public policies that have changed the lives of the population, such as the BolsaFamíliaProgram and the Luz para todos Program. In recent years, the region economic situation has deterioratedwith the arrival of the COVID-19 Pandemic, new challenges have emerged. The objective of the present studyistoanalyze the labor market in the Northern Semiarid before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. The data sourceusedisthe PNAD-Continuous, referring to the 3rd quarters of 2019, 2020 and 2021. As this survey does not have coverageatthe municipal level, a proxy was used to identify the municipalities belonging to the SS. to achieve theobjective. The results showed in the combined rate of unoccupied and underoccupied by insufficient hours workedbyFederation Unit, Piauí, as one of the states that obtained the highest percentages, which were 35.96%, 36.05%and33.95%, for the 3rd Quarter of 2019, 2020 and 2021 respectively. As for the percentage of the populationlabor force, the state of Alagoas was the one that obtained one of the highest percentages, which were24.57%,28.31% and 24.09%, for the three periods analyzed respectively. Finally, faced with this scenario of crisisincreased informality in the Northern Semiarid, it is necessary to have public policies aimed at qualifyingandreintroducing these workers into the labor market. 


3
  • VALERIA OLIVEIRA PONTES DONATO PIRES
  • SURVIVAL AND MORTALITY OF INDIVIDUAL MICROENTREPRENEURS (MEI) IN THE MESOREGIONS OF RIO GRANDE DO NORTE, 2016 – 2020.

  • Líder : SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO RICARDO COSME BEZERRA
  • Data: 04-jul-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Brazil is simultaneously experiencing an unprecedented health, political, economic, and environmental crisis, resulting in high unemployment rates and a high number of workers in the informal market. In this context, the figure of the Individual Microentrepreneur (MEI), characterized as an autonomous professional with rights and obligations of a legal entity, is growing. However, studies point to a high mortality of the MEI in the country. Therefore, this dissertation has as its main objective to investigate and expand the understanding of the demographic dynamics of the Individual Microentrepreneur (MEI), in the four mesoregions of Rio Grande do Norte, based on their mortality, survival, and to trace the sociodemographic profile of the MEI figure. For this, data provided by SEBRAE/RN and Portal do Empreendedor (Entrepreneur's Portal) were used mainly. The findings of this dissertation show differences between the mesoregions of RN with regards to economic development, characterizing the Eastern and Western mesoregions as the most developed, and the Agreste and Central mesoregions with less economic dynamism. This difference was ratified by the number of companies opening, showing the meso East as the leader in all the years under study, followed by the meso West, Central, and Agreste. Regarding the socio-demographic profile, the results show a higher percentage of MEI in the age bracket between 31 and 40 years, more men, and a predominance of Brazilians in all the mesoregions. Regarding the economic activities performed by MEI, it was possible to see differences in the division between men and women, with specific activities for each sex. Regarding life expectancy, the results were coherent with the development of each mesoregion, since the more prosperous mesoregions present higher life expectancy at age 0, and the less developed ones have lower life expectancy, but present the same upward trajectory until age 14 and stability as of age 15. The study also analyzed the discourse of the MEI to decrease informality and unemployment, however, the data shows that despite the growth in the number of companies, these numbers do not reflect a significant decrease in the unemployment rate and the informality rate in RN. Finally, it is concluded that the MEI is an entrepreneur by necessity, seeking to combat problems with social/regional inequality, unemployment, poverty and abandonment of the role of the State as a generator of jobs, along with the private sector.

4
  • SÁSKIA SANDRINELLI GUEDES DE ARAÚJO LIMA HERMES
  • Spatial Distribution and Profile of Vehicle Robbery and Theft in the City of Natal/RN

  • Líder : JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • FIDEL ERNESTO CASTRO MORALES
  • RICARDO HENRIQUE PALHARES
  • Data: 14-jul-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The objective of this work is to make a descriptive analysis of the occurrences of robberies and qualified thefts of vehicles using the spatial and descriptive analysis to understand how the dynamics of this violence is processed in the space of the city of Natal, capital of the state of Rio Grande do Norte, registered in the period between 2012 and 2021. This analysis will be based on the distribution of CVP Violent Crime against Property, using a single consolidated database derived from information from the DEPROV database - Specialized Police Department for the Defense of Property Vehicles and Cargo, compiled by COINE - Coordination of Statistical Information and Criminal Analysis and worked through the Metadata System used by OBVIO - Observatory of Violence of the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte. From these data, tables and graphs of the occurrences distributed in the administrative zones of Natal and their respective neighborhoods will be produced, in order to generate a cognitive framework on the evolution of these cases over the period studied, also using color maps of density aggregated to statistical techniques. of spatial analyses. As a result, from the perspective of Metabanco Robbery and Robbery of Vehicles (MRFV), it was possible to observe a trend of growth of robberies and thefts separately, the spatial patterns formed by the occurrences, evidencing the greater distribution in commercial districts and in peripheral areas. of the state capital. In such a way as to generate a contribution to the understanding of whether the data obtained are sufficient to outline strategies to combat this type of crime and pointing out possible gaps in data collection that can be improved so that the diagnoses are more effective for the production of policies public security and public security policies in the capital of the potiguar state.

5
  • EMILLY LINDOLFO DE SOUZA
  • Traffic accidents and alcohol consumption while driving on federal highways in the State of Rio Grande do Norte: 2007 to 2019

  • Líder : LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ANA MARIA NOGALES VASCONCELOS
  • ELAINE LEANDRO MACHADO
  • ISMENIA BLAVATSKY DE MAGALHÃES
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • Data: 22-ago-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The main objective of the present study was to identify trends in the occurrence of traffic accidents with fatal and non-fatal victims caused by the use of alcohol while driving on federal highways in the State of Rio Grande do Norte (RN), from 2007 to 2019. This study is justified due to the importance of demographic studies that comprises a period of important changes in Brazilian traffic legislation, such as the tightening of traffic laws to curb the consumption of alcohol while driving, such as the implementation of the Drinking and Driving Law. The RN is a provocative investigative cut because it is located in one of the three Brazilian regions that have the highest traffic mortality rates. In this study, two hypotheses were tested: 1) in the period from 2007 to 2019 there were no substantial differences between traffic accidents due to alcohol use with fatalities and without fatalities in the State of Rio Grande do Norte; 2) the formation of clusters in the period from 2007 to 2019 occurred due to the centralization of the occurrence of traffic accidents with fatal and non-fatal victims motivated by the consumption of alcoholic beverages in the Metropolitan Region of Natal (RMN). In order to reach the proposed objectives, information from the Federal Highway Police (PRF) was used. This source provides information on accidents at two levels: occurrence and person involved in the accident, and both were used in this study. A database of 2,143 occurrences of traffic accidents motivated by alcohol consumption recorded on federal highways in RN was used, and from the database of people, 4,735 records of those involved in accidents that also had the main cause of alcohol use were analyzed. of alcohol when driving on federal highways in RN. Descriptive analysis was used to test the first hypothesis, and to test the second hypothesis, univariate spatial analysis was used through the application of the Global Moran Index and the Local Moran Index (LISA). In this analysis, the software used were Qgis (version 3.16.3) and Geoda (version 1.18). Among the main results, we found the following profile of fatal victims in accidents whose main cause was the ingestion of alcohol and which partially confirm hypothesis 1: predominantly male (N=309; 78.4%), from the age group of 18 to 29 years old (N=110; 31.2%), of the driver type (N=236; 56.3%) and in stretches of federal highways located in the interior of RN (N=95; 67.4%). Regarding the spatial analysis, despite the low value found for the Local Moran Index for accidents with fatalities or not, the formation of clusters was verified through the Local Moran Index, and in addition to the NMR, rejecting the hypothesis 2. In general, the results found indicate that the prevention and reduction of traffic accidents analyzed depend on public policies operating throughout the territory, and not just in the capital and its surroundings.

6
  • WEVERTON THIAGO DA SILVA RODRIGUES
  • Suicide in men in Brazil: an analysis from a demographic perspective

  • Líder : KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • JULIANA VAZ DE MELO MAMBRINI
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • TAYNÃNA CÉSAR SIMÕES
  • Data: 22-ago-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Suicide is a complex, multi-determined phenomenon. It is a serious public health problem worldwide, and the highest rates are observed in young and elderly men. There are multiple risk factors correlated to male suicide, highlighting mental disorders, financial crises, unemployment, and access to highly lethal means of perpetration, such as firearms. This dissertation aims to analyze the effects of age, period, and cohort on total and firearm suicides in men in Brazil and Major Regions in the period 1980 to 2019. As well as evaluating the spatial distribution of mortality rates from suicide in men in the municipalities of the Northeast region, in the period 2015 to 2019, in the age groups from 10 to 80 years and over, and correlation with sociodemographic indicators. Corrections for quality and underreporting of death records were performed and age, period and cohort (APC) models were estimated using estimable functions. In the spatial distribution, standardized death rates were calculated for 100,000 men and smoothed using the empirical Bayesian estimator and spatial autocorrelation analysis using the global and local Moran Index (LISA). The analyses were performed using QGis, Geoda and R softwareIn the period under study, Brazil had 10.22 deaths per 100,000 men, the South and Central-West regions had higher coefficients than the national one and the lowest in the Southeast and Northeast, asimilar profile was found in suicides by firearms. The effects of age, period, and cohort for total suicides were different from those observed for firearm suicides. For total suicides, there was a positive gradient in the mortality rate with advancing age, and in those committed by firearms, a peak incidence was identified between 35-44 years of age, with subsequent stabilization. Reduction in the risk of death for suicides perpetrated by firearms in relation to the reference period (1995-1999) for all locations, except in the North region where the effect was not significant. The younger generations from the 1960s onwards had a higher risk of death by total suicide and a lower risk for those perpetrated by firearms. The spatial distribution of death rates from male suicide per 100,000 men, the Northeast Region had a rate of 11.86 deaths, with a progressive increase in mortality rates with advancing age. The LISA indicated the presence of high mortality clusters in the municipalities of Piauí and Ceará, and there was no statistically significant correlation between socioeconomic indicators and suicide mortality. The helplessness experienced by elderly Brazilians due to precarious living conditions may be correlated with the effect of age and cohort observed in total suicides. And the status of Disarmament may be correlated with the reduction of suicides by this means of perpetration.

7
  • CECILIA PEIXOTO CORTEZ DOS SANTOS
  • DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT AND GENDER INEQUALITIES ON THE  CAREER OF UFRN ADMINISTRATIVE TECHNICAL SERVANTS.

  • Líder : JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • LUANA PASSOS DE SOUZA
  • Data: 29-ago-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Women are in a continuous struggle for the affirmation and protection of their rights and defense of their  space. Proving that there are barriers to accessing the job market and professional growth and the difference  in the treatment of men and women in bonuses and leadership positions is fundamental to taking action. The  demographic view, through this research, makes it possible to study the differences between genders in the  scope of the public service and possible factors and aspects that influence the current indices of professional  development by gender. It is investigated whether there are different impacts for the professional  development of UFRN administrative technical servers: Men and women who have stability and work in a  public and federal university. If there is, for civil servants, the challenge of appointment and maintenance in  leadership or management positions, whether equality in remuneration is present or not.. With access to the  primary data of the UFRN servers and the analysis by methods of descriptive statistics, the sociodemographic  profile and the occupational profile of the administrative technicians were described, and the gender  differences in homogeneous groups and in the occupants of management positions and functions were  weighted. gratified. These results supported the analysis of the structure of the public university, in which the  impersonality in the selection and stability in the career is present, if, even so, gender inequality is observed  during the course of its career, as we have seen in the private area.

Tesis
1
  • VICTOR HUGO DIAS DIOGENES
  • EFFECTS OF AGE, PERIOD AND COHORT ON ELETRICITY CONSUMPTION OF BRAZILIAN HOUSEHOLDS IN THE 21ST CENTURY: an analysis from the perspective of the population-consumption-environment relationship

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ANA MARIA HERMETO CAMILO DE OLIVEIRA
  • DOUGLAS SATHLER DOS REIS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • VALDIR FERNANDES
  • ÁLVARO DE OLIVEIRA D'ANTONA
  • Data: 21-nov-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Consumption is one of the main mediators in the relationship between population and environment, especially in a context where a consumer society and a severe global climate change are associated. To understand the dynamics between population and consumption in its fullness requires the exploration of several areas of knowledge, notably the social sciences, because it is necessary to consider social, economic, historical, behavioral, ethical, and value aspects. One way to capture this wide range of factors is by conducting an age-period-cohort (APC) analysis. Age effects represent changes over the life course of individuals and/or families; period effects are associated with changes due to specific events over the years; and cohort effects comprise the idea that different social and economic contexts in which a generation has been subjected since birth can influence its values and behaviors. The main objective of the research is to identify and understand the effects of age, period, and cohort on per capita household electricity consumption in Brazil. The data source was the Consumer Expenditure Survey – POF – comprising the years 2002-2003, 2008-2009, and 2017-2018. To overcome the problem of identifying the coefficients, several linear models with different forms of constraint and the hierarchical two-level mixed-effects model were used. As results, there was an increase in consumption to the extent that the household is headed by older people and between the analyzed periods. As for the cohort effect, it was found that cohorts born after 1960 presented a decline in the intensity of energy consumption compared to older cohorts. These results contribute to a better understanding of energy consumption behavior within Brazilian households and how it has been shaped over time, thus subsidizing the planning of environmental and energy public policies for better targeting the actions and resources.

2
  • HERICK CIDARTA GOMES DE OLIVEIRA
  • Effect of Bolsa Familia on the school lag of adolescent mothers, observing the aspects of their fertility: a study of the cohort of 100 million Brazilians

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • DANDARA DE OLIVEIRA RAMOS
  • GLAUCIA DOS SANTOS MARCONDES
  • MARIA YURY TRAVASSOS ICHIHARA
  • RAQUEL ZANATTA COUTINHO
  • Data: 19-dic-2022


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • In 2003, the Bolsa Família Program (BFP) was created from the monthly union of existing social programs, with the intention of reducing poverty through the transfer of monthly income to families in poverty and extreme poverty in Brazil, through counterparts educational and health. Some possible indirect effects have been the subject of studies other than some indirect studies. In the field of demography, such studies focus on period and not cohort information, due to the difficulty in the availability of longitudinal data. In this sense, this thesis intends to contribute to the debate, through the analysis of longitudinal data from the study of the Cohort of 100 million Brazilians (C100), prepared by the Center for Integration of Data and Knowledge for Health CIDACS. Based on the hypothesis that the PBF has a protective role against school delay even among those who are becoming mothers in adolescence, this study aims to investigate the effect of the PBF on the school delay perceived by teenage mothers at the time of motherhood ( up to 19 years), observing the aspects of their fertility during the period from 2004 to 2015. And with the aim of verifying whether the PBF has any effect after motherhood, this study analyzes the evolution of the schooling of adolescent mothers between the first and second last parturition. This analysis is based on the Northern Semiarid (SemiSet) and occurs in a comparative way with the regional context (Northeast - NE) is Brazilian. For this purpose, the quasi-experimental propensity score matching (PSM) method with Kernel pairing was used to develop models for comparing the effects of the investigated treatment through artificial comparison groups. With the PSM it is possible to identify differences in the treatment effect for the cohort, through exploration subgroups stratified by the information on: receipt of the BVJ; adolescent parturition; maternal age to first child in adolescence. As well as, by variables of the socioeconomic, demographic and management of the BFP in each cut. Among the main results, it was found that, for adolescent mothers, having belonged to BFP beneficiary families, resulted in a lower chance of presenting school delay, compared to those of non-beneficiary families with the same characteristics. This protective effect was even greater in SemiSet when compared to the Northeast region and the Brazilian context. Considering only mothers whose families were participants in the BFP and eligible for the youth variable benefit (JVB), the protective effect more than doubles, regardless of the cut. When stratified by aspects of fertility, the protective effect is greater for those who have more than one child during adolescence. Regarding maternal age at first child, in the SemiSet, the effect among the youngest aged 10-14 years is double that of those aged 15-19 years, the same case for Brazil. In addition, it is found that the socioeconomic context affects coping with school delay.

2021
Disertaciones
1
  • KELLY CHRISTINA DA SILVA MATOS
  • FEMINICIDE AGAINST WOMEN POTIGUAR: AN ANALYSIS FROM 2011 TO 2020

  • Líder : JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MAIRA COVRE SUSSAI SOARES
  • Data: 25-mar-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • In Brazil, the Maria da Penha (2006) and Feminicide (2015) laws deal with violence against women. Although in Brazilian law they present different texts, they are laws that complement each other. The first aims to protect women who are victims of domestic violence, whether psychological, physical or moral, and although it does not define penalties for aggressors, it proposes protective measures to keep the aggressor away from the victim as well as the creation of a support network for women. The second, Feminicide, started to add an aggravating factor to the crime of homicide, transforming the murder of women into qualified homicide. Feminicide is a murder of women because of their gender. The numbers of feminicide records and denouncements against the aggressor are important indicators of women's security, portraying the conditions of inequality in man-woman relationships that permeate Brazilian society. In this context, a relevant question is: in which situations are there more risks of women being victims of violent crime in Rio Grande do Norte (RN)? The objective of this work is to explore the scenario of violent crimes against women and girls from Rio Grande do Norte that imply death, to identify possible regional disparities and the socio-demographic profile of the victims. To this end, a review of the literature was made on the state of the art and consensus on the definition of violence against women; a documentary search of data from Rede e Instituto OBVIO was used. With that, it was possible to quantify and typify feminicide through the 1050 violent female deaths that occurred in the state in the period from 2011 to 2020. One can categorize 92% of violent female deaths as feminicide. The profile found in most victims is young, black, low income. From logistic regression models, it was possible to observe that women are more likely to die in or near their home than men and also more likely to be victims of bladed weapons, blunt objects or other means other than firearms, which reinforces the characteristics of actions motivated by hatred discussed in the concept of feminicide. In addition, the analysis made it possible to perceive the spread of violence within the state. Furthermore, it is argued that a society with such information is one step ahead in proposing policies aimed at preventing and addressing this problem.

2
  • FRANCISCO DEMETRIUS MONTEIRO RODRIGUES
  • NORTHEAST MIGRANTS: RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MIGRATION, SOCIAL MOBILITY AND GENDER

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • ROBERTA GUIMARÃES PERES
  • Data: 26-abr-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The Northeast region, for decades, lost considerable population contingents, either due to drought, latifundium, unemployment, social / social networks, exhaustion of productive borders, lack of job opportunities and / or study in the homeland. However, although population losses in the Northeast have cooled in recent decades, the region remains with a significant negative migratory balance. Northeasterners still emigrate, and, in most cases, in search of jobs, better income, opportunities and / or new places where there is a better quality of life. With the changes in the economic, political and social scenario of the regions of origin and destination, as well as technological advances in communication, the decision to migrate started to be subsidized by several factors, in addition to the difficulties of survival and / or social mobility. But the success of emigration depends, in large part, on the characteristics of the labor market in the destination region, which differ by gender and race. In this context, the objective of this dissertation is to analyze, for the year of 2014, the effects of the intersectionality of gender and race on the social mobility of the interregional emigrant originating in the Northeast region (and destined in another large region of the country). For this purpose, the main source of data is the National Household Sample Survey (PNAD) 2014, which has a special module on questions about social mobility, in addition to the sociodemographic and migration characteristics. Through descriptive analysis, it was found that emigrants from the Northeast experienced greater upward mobility compared to non-migrants from the Northeast in 2014. However, this movement in the social structure was mostly short-distance. From the logistical models, it can be seen that, the chances of upward mobility are lower for women, regardless of the condition of migration, but with different intensities. Among emigrants, white women were the least likely to have upward mobility and among non-migrants, black women.Additionally, the findings show that for emigrants, the chances of upward mobility are greater among those aged 30 to 34, who have never lived with a spouse or partner, in too much family condition, with up to complete elementary school. , two years of residence in the destination region and black men. As for the non-migrant, the chances of upward social mobility, in 2014, are greater for individuals aged 25 to 29 years, living with a spouse or partner, a reference person, with incomplete superior and more and for white men

3
  • ANTONIA JAINE DA SILVA PEREIRA
  • Qualification and insertion of the inter-regional migrant in the brazilian labor market

  • Líder : SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • KLÉBER FERNANDES DE OLIVEIRA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 27-abr-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The mobility of highly educated individuals receives attention in studies of international migration due to the consequences it may have on development and inequalities between regions/countries. On the one hand, there is a negative effect on the origin resulting from the loss of investment in human capital, which, on the other hand, can be counterbalanced by sending remittances, qualified migratory returns or encouraging investment in education. In the case of Brazil, given the differentials in labor supply and income between regions, it becomes relevant to analyze qualified migration with a focus on insertion in the regional labor market. Thus, the objective of this dissertation is to study the qualified interregional migration and to compare the unqualified one, through analysis of the volume and direction of the flows (origin and destination), and of the demographic, socioeconomic and occupational characteristics of these migrants in the destination regions, against the background of economic, social and political dynamics. To this end, PNAD for the years 2005, 2011 and 2015 is used. The main results show that the Southeast is the region that most qualifies the population with complete higher education in Brazil, however, part of this contingent emigrates to other regions, with highlight to the Midwest, which also receives the largest balance of unqualified migrants. With regard to the sociodemographic profile, the most striking differences are due to the greater participation of the white race/color and childless couples among qualified migrants, while unqualified migrants typify as browns and couples with children. As for occupational insertion, qualified migrants are more formalized, are in a better position in occupation and in activities that enable greater social and economic projection, earning greater income, especially in the Southeast and Midwest. In turn, despite decreasing the dissimilarities between the qualified and the unqualified migrant who have been occupying better positions in the labor market in recent years, regional differences persist and provide lower wages for migrants (qualified and unqualified) employed North and Northeast when compared to the other regions. These results show that despite the favorable economic situation experienced by the country in the period from 2004 to 2014, through the regional development policy, the minimum wage appreciation policy, social policies, expansion and internalization of higher and technical education, an increase in the qualified population and creation of formal jobs, regional inequality remains and encourages interregional migration, whether qualified or unskilled.

4
  • ELAINE CRISTINA GAMA DOS SANTOS
  • CONTRACTING MUNICIPAL SERVERS: A PROJECTION OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC NEEDS BY BRAZILIAN MUNICIPALITY, 2020 TO 2030

  • Líder : CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • BERNARDO PATTA SCHETTINI
  • Data: 14-may-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Since the beginning of the demographic transition, in the 1960s, the composition of the Brazilian population by age has undergone changes. The demographic changes evidenced in the last decades have led to changes in population groups and, consequently, in the demand for public services that these groups generate. On the other hand, the population of civil servants also ages, which increases the number of civil servants who will become inactive due to eligibility for retirement benefits, disability or death. In view of the above, the present study aimed to estimate the demographic need for hiring municipal public servants in Brazil, for the period from 2020 to 2030, considering both the dynamics of departure of civil servants and the population demand for types of public services municipal level (health, education and others). To this end, data from municipal public servants from the Annual List of Social Information (RAIS, 2018) were used together with data from the Statement of Results of the Actuarial Valuation - DRAA, from the Social Security Secretariat (SPREV, 2020), and from the Municipal base, from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE, 2019). The main results are that the need to hire new servers will increase between 2020 and 2030, for all professional categories, in addition to being greater in the Southeast and Northeast regions. The demographic need is greater in the category of others, followed by the categories of education and health. Based on the results obtained, it was concluded that the demographic need for municipal public servants is affected both by the demographic dynamics of the municipalities and by the dynamics of the population of civil servants.

5
  • ALEX ALCEBIADES DE SOUSA FONTOURA
  • RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN DATA AND POPULATION STUDIES IN BRAZIL: A CASE STUDY OF THE PPGDEM, FROM 2013 TO 2020.

  • Líder : CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • LUCIENE APARECIDA FERREIRA DE BARROS LONGO
  • Data: 24-ago-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Brazil has been the stage for the diversification of data production activities on multiple aspects of its population. Much of this data can be attributed to the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), ministries, notary offices, health and education units, institutions that compile indicators and private companies. This diversity of institutions reflects different methodological characteristics, levels of territorial, temporal and thematic coverage of national data, which can influence different aspects of national demographic studies. In this context, the main objective of this study is to verify how national data sources may have influenced approaches to themes, spaces and periods of analysis in population studies produced in Brazil, using as reference dissertations defended in the Graduate Program in Demography at UFRN, from 2013 to 2020. The hypotheses discussed in this study are: the choices of themes and data analyzed are related to subjective and objective characteristics of the student, such as gender; there is a lack of official data that provide information to support more specific studies in terms of time and space analyzed and; PPgDem allowed the creation of a niche for studies aimed at the Northeast Region. The methodology used consisted of a case study of PPgDem, applying a descriptive analysis on a database built from information extracted from 72 dissertations produced in that program. As for the general characteristics of the dissertations, it was observed that there is a predominance of defenses from female students and that there is a preference for themes related to aspects of fertility and gender issues, while for male students, the analyzes discuss aspects of mortality and education. As for the characteristics of the data used, it was found that there was a predominance of census data from the IBGE and administrative records from federal ministries, however, to support studies for small areas, more regional or specific data sources were used. The most explored geographic units were Brazil and the Greater Region, especially the Northeast Region and its subspaces, confirming the hypothesis that the PPgDem plays a role in developing research related to the demography of that area. A more robust national analysis is suggested for future studies, considering the other teaching and research centers in population studies, as well as the extension of the period.

6
  • PEDRO HENRIQUE OLIVEIRA DE FREITAS
  • Violence in the city of Natal/RN in 2019 and 2020: A spatial and demographic approach to violent deaths with a focus on the effects resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Líder : JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CLAUDIO ROBERTO DE JESUS
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • WAGNER BARBOSA BATELLA
  • Data: 27-ago-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Violence is a material mechanism that has always been present in human society, manifesting itself in a painful, dangerous and unequal way. With regard to Brazil, since the 1980s, homicides are the second leading cause of death in population groups aged 15 to 39 years, especially in males. In order to explain this phenomenon that is so present in the daily life of large urban centers, several fields of knowledge began to point out factors such as poverty, income inequality and the absence of the State, which are crucial for the maintenance of high levels of violence in the country. However, few works discuss the theme from the use of spatially disaggregated information, at the level of geographic coordinates, for analysis in the urban space. Given the context, the work aims to analyze the distribution of CVLI in the intraurban space of Natal/RN in the years 2019 and 2020, in addition to the characteristics and locational pattern of these deaths, taking into account the heterogeneity of the urban space in relation to the sociodemographic characteristics of the population and the dependence on socio-spatial segregation. The choice of analyzing the years 2019 and 2020 takes place in two different contexts: the spatial distribution of CVLIs in a pre-pandemic period and during the pandemic, in order to verify the effects of the pandemic on the phenomenon of violence in Natal/RN , their permanence or changes, either in relation to the spatial distribution of homicides, or in relation to the intensity and profile of the occurrences. The data sources used were the Rio Grande do Norte Violence Observatory, Municipal Department of Environment and Urbanism and the 2010 Demographic Census. After obtaining the data in geospatial format, it was possible to adopt spatial techniques such as distance measurements, Kernel interpolation and spatial autocorrelation, and the results showed the maintenance of violent spaces in the North and West portions of the city, with high percentages of CVLI in these areas due to drug trafficking, mortality among the young population and the strong relationship between these areas. and phenomenon and the areas that present greater socio-spatial vulnerability. However, it was possible to observe some differences in relation to the spatial distribution of CVLIs, and especially in relation to the characteristics of violence observed between 2019 and 2020.

7
  • ÂNGELA THAÍS ARAÚJO DE ALMEIDA
  • SPATIAL MOBILITY AND ACCESS TO BASIC EDUCATION: STUDENTS WITH DISABILITIES IN THE NORTHEAST REGION OF BRAZIL

  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EMERSON AUGUSTO BAPTISTA
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 30-ago-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The issue of people with disabilities and their social inclusion began to be debated more frequently internationally in recent decades, to guarantee the universalization of these people's rights in the social and educational area. Despite advances in international and national policies, people with disabilities are often prevented from exercising a fundamental right, namely, to study, due to some limitation or obstacle encountered. Studies on spatial mobility to investigate these people are very scarce, and, for this reason, the migratory behavior and pendular mobility of this portion of the population in Brazil are unknown. Thus, understanding the spatial mobility of these students is of paramount importance for the implementation of public policies, considering that the schools that these students attend must have a minimum of accessibility. From this context, the objective of this research was to carry out a comparative study between students with and without disabilities to know the profile of students with disabilities and to verify whether such students present differences in terms of spatial mobility towards schools in the Northeast region. The INEP School Census for the years 2015, 2017 and 2019 was used as a data source. The results revealed that most students with disabilities are male, aged between 10 and 14 years, and their predominant disability is intellectual. As for students without disabilities, they are in the same age group, but there is a balance between the sexes. It was found that the proportion of migrants is similar between the two groups, that pendular mobility is lower for the disabled in regular education, but higher when seeking special care.

8
  • MICHELLY VIEIRA DO NASCIMENTO
  • Death pensions in Brazil: an analysis of financial impact considering demographic variations on death pension in brazil's general social security regime

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • BERNARDO LANZA QUEIROZ
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • PAMILA CRISTINA LIMA SIVIERO
  • Data: 31-ago-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Demographic transition refers to changes in fertility and mortality rates, from high to low levels, and with that there is a change in the age structure of the population. As a result, at the end of this process, there is an older population. But during the demographic transition there are also social changes, especially during the second demographic transition with effects on fertility, for example. The General Social Security System, as it is based on the pay-as-you-go financial system, is sensitive to demographic changes and therefore has to adapt periodically to meet its future obligations related to payments with benefits, such as the death pension, which guarantees an income to the dependents of the insured when he dies, as the class of dependents includes mostly children and spouses, it is expected that changes in fertility, mortality and nuptiality will affect the total expenditure with the granting of this benefit, so this study has for the purpose of estimating the future financial impact on pensions for death granted by the General Social Security System derived from changes in demographic variables. For this, the average burden of dependents generated by the insured person's death was calculated, in which it was found that variations in fertility, mortality and nuptiality modify how the pension expenditure is granted over the insured's ages.

9
  • CLÍCIA ROSANNE SOUZA CLEMENTINO
  • I DON'T WANT TO BE A MOTHER, LIKE MANY WOMEN

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • GABRIELA MARISE DE OLIVEIRA BONIFÁCIO
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 23-sep-2021


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • It is expected that the absence of children will increase in the future among Brazilian women. According to data from the National Demography and Health Survey (Ministério da Saúde, 2009), the number of Brazilian women who remained childless has been increasing in Brazil in almost all age groups. Among women who do not have children there are those who are voluntarily childless, that is, women who do not want to have children by choice, without reporting biological limitations. In this context, the following work aims to analyze economic, demographic and gender characteristics associated with voluntary non-maternity in Brazil. For the development of the work, data from the National Demography and Health Survey (PNDS) for 2006 were used. The methodology consists of a descriptive analysis, in order to identify the main economic, demographic and gender relations of women who do not want to have children, and whether there is a predominance of women who do not want to have children in specific groups in society, and a binary logistic regression model, in order to understand the influence of such characteristics on the decision to have children or not. Age, education, income and the partner’s reproductive desire were significant for women who do not wish to have children. Therefore, in view of the increase in the number of women who do not want to have children and the declining fertility levels that are falling and falling, it is essential to understand the reproductive context and preferences of women who do not want to have children.

2020
Disertaciones
1
  • PAULO VICTOR MACIEL DA COSTA
  • THE "VELHO CHICO" AND THE NORTHEASTERN SERTÃO: AN ANALYSIS UNDER THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE TRANSPOSITION PROJECT AND ITS RELATION TO SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC VULNERABILITY

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EDUARDO MARANDOLA JR
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • Data: 05-mar-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The transposition megaproject, considered one of the largest structural projects that the Federal Government has been executing, is an extension of the “Velho Chico” (São Francisco River ) to mitigate the problems arising from the drought phenomenon especially in the northeastern backwoods. However, this type of enterprise is not only monumental in terms of size, but also in terms of social, economic or environmental impacts. These impacts can affect socio-spatial relations and thus shape new dynamics within the territory, whether spatial or migratory, capable of strongly affecting the population's life and affected spaces. This shows that the pace of population growth is not the only demographic aspect that deserves to be investigated, as population distribution and composition may raise important demographic issues, which may help to understand the persistent vulnerability that emerges in the Northeastern semiarid. However, little has been addressed about the extent of displacement around the theme of megaprojects in Brazil, especially considering the aspects of sociodemographic vulnerability, since this approach is a result of social risks (poverty, hunger, economic depression, social exclusion) aggravated by the demographic risks (such as population distribution and composition) for making it difficult to access assets (human, social and physical capital) necessary for the defense and adaptation of individuals or family groups to social risks. Thus, the main objective of this research is to understand how population mobility, resulting from the transposition work, can interfere with the sociodemographic vulnerability of the urban spaces of the areas of influence of this enterprise in the northeastern backwoods. Methodologically, to measure population mobility, will be used the  last step, for migration, and the sum of daily displacements (work plus study), for pendularity. To measure sociodemographic vulnerability, will be used the vulnerability index developed by Cunha et al. (2006), but with some caveats for some indicators in order to ensure the fidelity of the results to the space to be analyzed. The main data source for both methods will be the 2010 Demographic Census.

2
  • PRISCILA DE SOUZA SILVA
  • NTERGERATIONAL MOBILITY OF OCCUPATION OF CHILDREN OF DOMESTIC WORKERS IN THE GREAT BRAZILIAN REGIONS, 2014

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • PAULO DE MARTINO JANNUZZI
  • Data: 05-mar-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Historically Brazil has always lived with a lot of inequality. On the one hand, it configures the absolute poverty of many and, on the other hand, the advantages deriving from the ownership of capital of a restricted group. In this context, where life chances and / or opportunities are more exclusive, origins become potential determinants of individuals' future occupational entry, and social inequalities are transmitted across generations. However, studies about social and occupational mobility in Brazil show a reduction in low-skilled intergenerational transfers between parents and children over the last five decades. This is because the volume of children experiencing upward mobility expanded, while the chances of social and occupational mobility for the different class groups also increased. This result, in part, was due to the structural changes - industrialization, urbanization, expansion and internalization of education and inclusive development, notably from 2000 onwards - which led to the expansion of intergenerational mobility channels. The research in Brazil has focused on the measurement of men's social and occupational mobility indicators and differences according to race / color, thus, women's intergenerational mobility and the groups occupied by them are incipient in the literature. In this context, given the relative and absolute weight of domestic employment in total female occupations, the main objective of this dissertation is to analyze the indicators of intergenerational mobility of occupation of domestic workers' daughters, stratified by demographic and socioeconomic variables, for the big brazilian regions, in 2014. Thus, the differential and contribution of this dissertation to the advancement of research is to analyze and compare the ruptures and / or continuities between the generation of mothers and daughters, and between the different large regions of the country, marked by heterogeneity and difference in the stage of development. To this end, the main source of information is the 2014 National Household Sample Survey (PNAD) Socio-Occupational Mobility Supplement. And to achieve the proposed objectives, a descriptive analysis of the absolute mobility rates will be performed in each of the five major regions of Brazil as well as the occupational mobility levels according to demographic and socioeconomic variables of daughters of domestic workers.

3
  • ALINE GRIMBERG PEREIRA DE MEDEIROS
  • SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF MORTALITY BY HOMICIDES OF THE MALE GENDER IN THE AGE RANGE FROM 10 TO 29 YEARS IN THE MUNICIPALITIES OF THE NORTHEAST REGION IN THE PERIOD OF 2012 TO 2017

  • Líder : KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • COSME MARCELO FURTADO PASSOS DA SILVA
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • OSWALDO GOMES CORREA NEGRAO
  • Data: 26-ago-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Homicides in Brazil represent the first cause of death from external causes since the 1980s. In this scenario, there is a higher risk of death from this group of causes in people living in precarious conditions of infrastructure and social facilities, young (15-29 years), male, black or brown, with low education and little professional qualification. This work aims to analyze the spatial pattern of homicide mortality among men in the five-year age groups of 10 to 29 years, located in the municipalities of the Northeast Region, from 2012 to 2014 and 2015 to 2017, as well as its correlation with socioeconomic and demographic variables. This is an ecological study of spatial analysis, whose population will consist of homicide deaths in young men (10 to 29 years old) that occurred in the municipalities of the Northeast region, from 2012 to 2014 and 2015 to 2017. Death records was extracted from the Mortality Information System of the SUS Informatics Department (SIM / DATASUS). Due to the large proportion of deaths classified as events whose intention is undetermined, generating estimates of underestimated homicide mortality, the present study corrected the deaths according to the methodology proposed by Borges and Cano (2012). Underreporting of deaths, crude mortality rates, specific for age group, were calculated. Then, the rectification of the coverage of deaths was carried out by correction factors resulting from the active search in the study developed by Szwarcwald et al. (2010). In addition to the rates being standardized by the Brazilian male population in 2010 and smoothed by the Empirical Bayseian Estimator. Then, the presence of spatial correlation of mortality rates was analyzed through Local and Global Moran Index. As a result, homicide mortality rates were recorded in young males with an average of 7.8 and a median of 5.8 per 10,000 inhabitants, in the period from 2012 to 2014 and in the following period, average of 10.9 and median of 8.6 per 10,000 inhabitants. The highest rates for this cause were found in the municipality of Simões Filho in the state of BA, with 52.91 per 10,000 inhabitants, in the first three years and in the municipality of Saubara also in Bahia, with 59.14 per 10,000 inhabitants. n addition to the High-Low clusters found in the Northeast Region that portray the internalization and spread of violence, since they characterize high rates in this part with the surroundings with low rates. Finally, this work reinforces the importance of reporting homicide records in order to provide incentives for the elaboration of public policies, in addition to highlighting the fight against violence through intersectoral actions.     

4
  • CINTHYONARA TARGINO PEREIRA
  • ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OF CIVIL AND MILITARY WOMEN IN THE UNION CONSIDERING THEIR MIGRATORY CHARACTERISTICS, BRAZIL, 2010

  • Líder : CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • LUÍSA PIMENTA TERR
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 31-ago-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Gender inequalities in the Brazilian labor market are still linked to the traditional figure of women, and are intensified when you are a wife and have children or dependents who need more care. This profile is more intense when women are military wives, since the patriarchalism attributed to the military career is inserted in the daily lives of these families, with the woman as a figure associated with the home, and the "orders" of the husband. Otherwise, the profession of the military husband is linked to the protection service of the country, which must strictly comply with the precepts of hierarchy and discipline, which includes possible compulsory migrations. Therefore, the Union military may become migrants, and, consequently, his wife may occupy the position of tied mover, migrating to accompany the husband's profession, which maybe prove to be an obstacle to their insertion and permanence in the job market formal work.

    Accordingly, the objective of this work is to analyze the differences in the characteristics of participation in the labor market of military wives, in relation to civilian wives, considering the migratory situation of these two groups. For that, the Demographic Census of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), from 2010, as well as the logit model as a methodological tool, will be used as data source. The results confirm the hypothesis that military wives have less participation in formal occupations and greater inactivity than wives of formal civilian workers, with this strong implication especially associated with migration, and perhaps aggravated by other factors, such as level of education. Thereby, with the verification of the hypothesis, it can be concluded that military wives, although well educated, are more dependent on the husband's income, in relation to civilian wives, partly due to the migratory context in which they are inserted.

5
  • KARENINE CARLA SANTOS DE OLIVEIRA LAGO
  • INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION FOR PURPOSE OF STUDY: A CONTEXTUAL ANALYSIS OF THE PROFILE OF FOREIGN STUDENTS IN BRAZIL IN THE RECENT PERIOD

  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • ROBERTA GUIMARÃES PERES
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 17-nov-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Migrations can be motivated by the desire of people to carry out their life projects, including the need to acquire new knowledge and experiences. In this sense, migrations for the purpose of studying appear as a growing movement, although in Brazil it is still timid when compared to other countries. This study sought to understand why students migrate to Brazil in search of higher education training since Brazil is not a country recognized for attracting international students. There are public policies to encourage migration to study in Brazil that favors the exchange of students to our universities. However, these policies did not have the necessary reach to make Brazil a country with a great power of attraction for international students. This research carried out a descriptive analysis of microdata from the Higher Education Census from 2015 to 2018, presenting the sociodemographic profile of foreign students and the data regarding the insertion of these students in Brazilian higher education. It was found that several factors influence the migration to study in Brazil, in which we highlight diplomatic and cooperation agreements, the linguistic question, the geographical question, historical relations, cultural proximity, the Amnesty Migration Law, the formation of social networks, and human development. Foreign students who migrate in search of study in Brazil encounter difficulties of all kinds, but strive to complete their undergraduate course, since for many people in developing countries the best option to improve their life opportunities is to get out of their hometown (UNDP, 2009). Foreign students who migrate in search of study in Brazilian higher education come from developing countries that have a lower HDI than Brazil, and this is the opportunity to change the course of their lives for many of these students.

6
  • JOSELITO DA SILVEIRA JÚNIOR
  • Territory, population and urban policies: an analysis of the relationship between changes in the household situation and changes in the spatial distribution of the population, in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte

  • Líder : JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • José Irineu Rangel Rigotti
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • Data: 10-dic-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Discussions about definitions in relation to the theme of urban and rural spaces are too vast and dense in the literature. As diverse as the countless approaches found are the sciences that cross this debate, endowing the discussions involving these concepts with great complexity. The division between rural and urban population carried out by the IBGE considers the home situation of the census sectors in which the population resides, which in turn is classified according to the urban perimeter demarcated by municipal law. Municipalities can make changes to this urban perimeter either by specific law or by means of the master plan, and have gained more autonomy to carry out such changes with the norms of law 10.257 of 2001, known as the City Statute, which establishes general guidelines for the city. urban politics. The delimitation of the urban perimeter, in addition to the distribution of the population between urban and rural, also directly implies the mechanisms of municipal collection, which provokes stimuli caused by taxation to alter urban perimeters. When combining data from the MUNIC Survey 2015 and the Demographic Censuses of 2000 and 2010, it is observed that the municipalities that changed the law of the urban perimeter as an integral part of the Master Plan, between 2000 and 2010, had a proportional average growth of the urban population 12.5% in this decade. And those who changed their urban perimeter through specific legislation correspond to a proportional average growth of 3.7% of the urban population, while those who did not change their urban perimeter had only 2.6% of proportional average growth of the urban population, in this same period. Given the above, it is hypothesized that, due to political-administrative factors, changes in urban perimeter and changes in the situation of the home may not be accompanied by changes in the spatial distribution of the intra-urban population, as well as the expansion of the urban area and changes in land use, which justify such changes. In order to investigate these possible relationships, the objective of the research was to analyze the relationship between variations in the household situation and changes in the spatial distribution of the population, in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte. For this purpose, dasimetric mapping methods were used, which consist of the use of interpolation techniques, in addition to satellite images, for the disaggregation of data from administrative space units, for continuous space. In addition to the analysis of the spatial distribution of the population, the dasimetric mappings served as a basis, in a second moment, for the calculation of inter-census and post-census estimates at the level of the census sectors of the cities targeted by the research, with the objective of establishing parameters that demonstrate the relationship between changes in the household situation and changes in the spatial distribution of the population.

7
  • YTHALO HUGO DA SILVA SANTOS
  • Higher education quota law: an analysis of permanence and performance of ingressant cohort at Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte

  • Líder : LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • ILONEIDE CARLOS DE OLIVEIRA RAMOS
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • RODRIGO EDNILSON DE JESUS
  • Data: 10-dic-2020


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The main objective of this work was to analyze the permanence and performance of the cohort of freshmen at UFRN in 2014, divided into quota holders, who used the vacancy reserve mechanism according to Law No. 12,711 / 12 (Quota Law), and not quota holders. To test the hypothesis that there is no difference regarding permanence and performance between quota students and non-quota students, a database was used containing information from 5,633 new students entering the UFRN Central Campus in 2014. The information comes from the OVEU / COMPERVE at UFRN. Propensity Score Matching was used to pair groups of quota holders and non-quota holders. In order to achieve the proposed objectives, and considering the division of students between quota students and non-quota students, an analysis was made on the sociodemographic profile of the freshmen, Survival Analysis to estimate the differentials on the permanence of students over five years, and Non-parametric test to analyze differences in performance between students in both groups. With regard to the main results, no statistically significant differences were found in the performance (p-value = 0.30) and permanence (p-value = 0.67) of quota and non-quota participants when evaluated in general. However, considering the classification of the courses in four different groups, only the one with the highest dropout level (Group 4) showed statistically significant differences in permanence between quota and non-quota students, with advantages for the latter (p-value = 0, 05). These results partially confirm the hypothesis that there are no differences in permanence between quota holders and non-quota holders. As for performance, there was a statistically significant difference between quota students and non-quota students considering the grouping of courses with greater competition and social prestige (Group 1), with a slightly higher average in the performance score for the group of non-quota students (p-value = 0.05). Other characteristics that pointed to statistically significant differences in the measure of performance, and greater for non-quota students, were the entry into biomedical courses (p-value = 0.003) and the statement that they worked when entering university (p-value <0 , 01). These results also partially confirm the hypothesis that there are no differences in performance between quota holders and non-quota holders. In general, the study contributes to the area by pointing out well-defined sociodemographic differences between quota and non-quota students; that evasion was configured as a relevant problem for the entire analyzed cohort, but that in those courses of greater evasion, the socioeconomic origin made the most difference for permanence; that aid for permanence may have contributed decisively to the permanence of quota students; and that it cannot be said that the performance of quota students is lower than that of quota students at least for the total data set.

2019
Disertaciones
1
  • JOÃO GOMES DA SILVA
  • Characteristics of intermunicipal and intramunicipal mobility by work: Evidences for Brazil

  • Líder : SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EDUARDO MARANDOLA JR
  • JÁRVIS CAMPOS
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 21-feb-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Labor-motivated everyday mobility is a growing type of population displacement in the world and in Brazil. In addition, this mobility points to trends in terms of geographic concentration and change in the profile of those included in these movements over the years. However, research in Brazil has focused on flows in metropolitan areas than on the characteristics of individuals who move daily because of work, to the outside or within municipal territories. In order to understand the differences and similarities in the attributes of the population involved in this mobility, this work aims to analyze the personal characteristics (demographic, occupational and income) of individuals who practice intramunicipal mobility and, especially, intermunicipal mobility motivated by work, in Brazil, in 2000 and 2010. To that end, the microdata of the Demographic Censuses of 2000 and 2010 are the main sources of information. The statistical model adopted (binary logistic regression) shows that the predominant intermunicipal worker, in the year 2000, are men, aged 15 to 24, who have the same chance of being black or brown, with complete or incomplete elementary school, single, living in the urban area of the Southeast region, especially in the metropolitan area, employed with a formal contract, in the service sector, and earns between 2 and 5 minimum wages. On the other hand, the evidenced attributes for the year 2010 show some changes, with men still in majority, the age group predominates between 25 and 39 years, with a tendency to be black, they are more schooled (higher education), singles, they reside in the urban area of the Northeast rather than the Southeast, specifically in non-metropolitan areas, occupied with a formal contract, employed in the services sector, and they earn between 5 and 10 minimum wages. Thus, through both moments, the characteristic of the population that practices the inter-municipal displacement has changed with respect to age, level of education, place where the mobility or flow is practiced and income. Herewith, the evidence found for Brazil is in line with international literature, especially regarding to gender, education level, occupation and income. In addition, the findings of this work reveal that intermunicipal mobility has been reconfigured, where flows show a significant increase, with emphasis on the displacement in non-metropolitan areas, as well as changes in personal characteristics of those work in a different municipality from that of residence

2
  • RUANA RAILA DE FREITAS ARAÚJO ALMEIDA
  •  Fertility differences and rural development in the microregions of the Northeast region in 2010

  • Líder : JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • ADRIANA DE MIRANDA RIBEIRO
  • Data: 29-may-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • This dissertation sought to analyze rural fertility differentials by levels of rural development in the microregions of the Northeast region in the year of 2010. Specifically, to quantify the concept of rural development, this study was based on the indices of European origin, more precisely the Development Index OECD, already replicated in Brazil to analyze the presence of different levels of rural development. In order to quantify these concepts and the development of a Rural Development Index (RDI), through the selection of population, demographic, economic and social welfare variables, it is possible to analyze the reproductive behavior, expressed by the rates of fertility at different levels of rural development. The database used in the study was the 2010 Demographic Census. The results suggest that the Northeastern region has an IDR = 0.39, a result that is far from the ideal, which would be close to 1. This classifies the region's rural territories, on average, with low rural development. However, by disaggregating the IDR by microregions, it was estimated that almost 48% of the rural population reside in territories classified as medium-level rural development with rural TFR equal to 2.85 children per woman. Among the microregions considered to be of low rural development, only 6.4% had TFR equal to or less than 2.1 children per woman, the highest proportion of microregions in these conditions being classified as having high rural development. The study found that 34% of the microregions studied resulted in a rural TFR of 2.11 to 2.60 children per woman, the highest proportion found, with a significant number of microregions with rural TFR above 3.1 children per woman (32 %).

3
  • VALDENIZ DA SILVA CRUZ JUNIOR
  • Factors associated with serious injuries in road traffic crashes involving automobile and motorcycle drivers: an analysis for BR 101, 116 and 230 in the Northeast Region in 2007 and 2016

  • Líder : LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ANA CAROLINA SOARES BERTHO
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • Data: 19-jun-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The main objective of the present study was to identify the factors associated with serious traffic accidents (occurrence of serious injury/death among automobile and motorcycle drivers) in the stretches of the BR 101, 116 and 230 highways located in the Northeast Region, in the years 2007 and 2016. In order to achieve the proposed objective, traffic accident records made available by the Federal Highway Police (FHP) were used, of which 2,692 were cases related to motorcycle and motorcycle drivers in 2007 and 3,011 cases in 2016. The data were initially submitted to descriptive analysis and, later, to the inferential method using Poisson regression with robust variance. The multiple regression models were constructed in blocks, the variables included in this order: Model 1 (demographic variables), Model 2 (road/ environmental variables), Model 3 (vehicle variables) and Model 4 (presumable causes of accidents according to the epidemiological triad). All analyzes were segregated according to the year, highway and vehicle type. Among the main results, the following factors were identified as factors associated with the severely injured or deceased automobile driver's outcome in 2007: BR 101: cross-sectional (RR=2.88, p<0.10) and frontal collision (RR=1.81, p<0.05) (RR=1.11, p<0.05) and a single track (RR=1.74, p<0.05). For 2016 were: BR 101: full night (RR=1.52, p<0.05) and frontal collision (RR=1.92, p<0.05), BR 116: dawn (RR=1.83; p<0.05) and frontal collision (RR=2.55, p<0.05), BR 230: male gender (RR=3.71, p<0.05) and crossing (RR=3.45; p<0.05). They have already been highlighted as factors associated with the outcome of a seriously injured or deceased motorcycle driver in 2007: BR 101: dawn (RR=1.84, p<0.05) and frontal collision (RR=1.60, p<0.05), BR 116: friday to sunday (RR=1.37, p<0.10) and frontal collision (RR=1.35, p<0.10), BR 230: evening (RR=1.78; p<0.05) and dawn (RR=1.76, p<0.10). For 2016 were: BR 101: dawn (RR=1.47, p<0.10) and frontal collision (RR=1.68, p<0.05), BR 116: age group of 50 years and over (RR=1.32, p<0.10) and frontal collision (RR=2.10, p<0.05), BR 230: full night (RR=1.41, p<0.05) and frontal collision (RR=1.76, p<0.05). Thus, the study showed that the severity of traffic accidents are not events related only to individual characteristics, which highlights the need for intersectoral actions to prevent these occurrences.

4
  • LEANDRO NAZARENO BASÍLIO JÚNIOR
  • The Expansion of Higher and Professional Education and its effects on Mobility in Seridó Potiguar

  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • ALISSON FLAVIO BARBIERI
  • Data: 14-ago-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The expansion of technical (secondary level) and higher educations in Seridó Potiguar was very important, not only for the improvement of educational levels of the local population, but also for the population’s mobility in that territory, as well as for the daily exchanges of population with other regions. These factors contributed to new perspectives on migration. This subject is gaining increasing importance, being necessary a greater number of studies to understand the new perspectives caused by this new reality. With this in mind, the daily flows of students of secondary and higher educations were traced, as well as flows for working reasons between 2000 and 2010 in order to obtain a visualization of how the displacements have changed. In addition, the same was done for more recent times (2010 and 2017), but only related to the flows of secondary level students and teachers who work in the same level. In this process, the analysis of the evolution of educational levels of Seridó’s population was essential. For this purpose, the IBGE Demographic Census (2000 and 2010) and the School Census (2000 to 2017) and the Census of Higher Education (2000 to 2017) of Inep were the main sources of data. As results, it was found that the number of people who had access to technical (secondary level) and higher educations increased considerably. Furthermore, daily commutes due to work and study also increased, both in absolute and relative terms, however, with important differences. With regard to student flows, the greater diversity of origins and destinations in the results is also highlighted. In brief, the results show an evolution in the integration of the municipalities of Seridó, a factor that contributes to the attraction of population in age of study (secondary and higher education levels).

5
  • JULIANA DANTAS DE ARAÚJO SANTOS CAMARGO
  • TEMPORAL EVOLUTION OF BREAST CANCER MORTALITY IN THE NORTHEAST REGION STATES UNDER THE EFFECTS OF AGE, PERIOD AND BIRTH COHORT

  • Líder : KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • TAYNÃNA CÉSAR SIMÕES
  • Data: 19-ago-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Introduction: In recent decades, Brazil has shown a significant increase in morbidity and mortality due to non-communicable chronic diseases. Among these, breast cancer is the main cause of death due to neoplasia in women, with an upward trend in the localities with the lowest socioeconomic development Objective: To assess the effects of age, period and birth cohort (APC) on the mortality by breast cancer in the states of the Northeast region from 1980 to 2016. Methods: This is a time-trend ecological study, with its population consisting in the deaths by breast cancer in women living in states in the Northeast region, age group of 20 to 24 to 80 and more years, from 1980 to 2016. The death registers were extracted from the Information System on Mortality of the Department of Information Technology of the SUS (SIM/DATASUS). In order to obtain trustworthy mortality rates, we corrected the quality and the underreporting of deaths. The rectification of the quality of information was performed through a proportional redistribution by year and age, correcting ignored age, ill-defined causes and incomplete cancer diagnosis. To correct underreporting of deaths, we used correction factors generated through the adjusted of extinct generations method. After the correction of the deaths, we calculated specific mortality rates for the age group and standardized by the direct method, with the standard population being the global population proposed by Segi. The APC effects were calculated for the deaths in the quinquennials from 1980-1984 to 2010-2014, through Poisson regression, using estimable functions: deviations, curvatures and drifts, from the Epi library of the R software version 2.32. A 5% significance level was used for all analysis. Results: From 1980 to 2016 we observed an average mortality rate of 11,88/100.000 women in the Northeast region, which increased by 63% (19.33/100,000 women) after corrections. The largest increase after corrections was observed in Maranhão (97%) and the lowest in Pernambuco (26%). Also, the highest average rates were verified in the states of Pernambuco (19.83/100,000 women) and Ceará (19,17/100,000 women) and the lowest in the states of Maranhão (11.00/100,000 women) and Piauí (13,82/100,000 women). After the estimates of the APC models, we evidencied that mortality rates increased with age, with higher death risk in the quinquennials of the years 2000 and for women born from 1950, a profile observed throughout all states in the region. Conclusions: Our findings may correlate to the increase in life expectancy in women, allied with changes in reproductive behaviors and westernization of life habits, as well as inequality in the distribution of health services.      

6
  • ADRIEL FELIPE DE ARAÚJO BEZERRA
  • Sociodemographic profile of brazilian higher education graduating students in 2017

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 27-ago-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The brazilian education underwent a period of expansion which coverage of elementary education exceeded 95% in the 1990s. At the other edge of the education system, higher education experienced a substantial expansion from the end of the 1990s and, especially, during 2000s. Although the number of chairs and admission increased, the number of graduates did not proportionately follow this trend. Actually, there is even a record of a decline in the number of graduates. On the other hand, policies to stimulate the growth of the higher education system have supported a commercial notion of education, favoring the private sector – which occupies more than 80% of Brazilian higher education. This issue opens space for the discussion about the existence of a real democratization of higher education or for its massification. The literature suggests that higher education students can be conditioned on the choice of course (access), performance, permanence and promotion (conclusion) regarding their social origin, economic situation, gender and race/color. Thus, cultural and economic capital from belonging to a particular social class can influence the capacity of individuals to limit their freedom of choice and objective possibilities of achieving an educational promotion, such as the defined by the proposal of a democratic education system. In order to support this discussion, the present work has the objective of outlining the sociodemographic profile of the population of students completing higher education courses through the use of ENADE database (2017). Based on the concepts of cultural and economic capital, it is possible to trace the profile of undergraduate students who are graduating from their courses with the Grade of Membership (GoM) method, which calculates their membership in certain profiles and with varying degrees of belonging, according to the logic of fuzzy sets. Among the results, it was noticed that individuals with lesser cultural capital, lower economic capital and, in general, from private higher education institutions have a lower participation as concluding undergraduates while individuals with elevated cultural and economic capital and from public higher education institutions have higher participation as graduates, perform better in ENADE exam and have institutional support (scholarships, grants, opportunities to participate in international activities and so forth). Finally, one hopes to give subsidy to policies to combat educational inequalities.

7
  • VANESSA VIANA DA NÓBREGA
  • GENDER DIFFERENTIALS IN THE BRAZILIAN LABOR MARKET IN 2016 AND 2017: AN APPLICATION ABOUT ELIGIBILITY A RETIREMENT BY RGPS

  • Líder : CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • MARIA DE FÁTIMA LAGE GUERRA
  • Data: 29-ago-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • There is a large literature that indicates that the condition of women in the labor market is still inserted in a context with discriminatory roots, but some gaps are found, especially regarding the applicability of the estimates on the eligibility to retirement of the General Social Security Scheme (RGPS). ), which is obtained in a contributory manner during their formal working hours. Given this, the objective is to analyze the gender differentials in the Brazilian labor market, also classified by race / color, region of domicile, type of home arrangement and education. In addition, the results on the social security context are applied to demonstrate how relevant the differences found are for social security policies, but also for other issues. To this end, the National Continuous Household Sample Survey (PNADC) of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) for 2016 and 2017 is used as a database, and the multistate table as a methodological procedure for estimating the probabilities of transitions. of the population in the workforce between formal, informal and non-formal employment, as well as the expected average life expectancy in each of these states, excluding civil servants, the military and the rural population. Estimates are also extended to the population segregated by the target socioeconomic and demographic issues so that they can be aggravated about gender inequality. The results confirm the hypothesis that women still face greater difficulties than men in access and permanence in the labor market, especially in the formal one. Men and women live on average 20 and 13 years, respectively, formally employed from the age of 20, a differential of 7 years. The situation worsens when women are less educated (e(20) formal = 7.2); and/or reside in less developed regions such as North, Northeast or Midwest (e(20) formal = 10.1); and /or reside at home with at least one child under the age of 12 and / or an elderly person aged 80 and over, with or without a spouse, but mainly with (e(20) formal = 10, 6); and/or are self-declared black, brown or indigenous (e(20) formal = 10.9). Consequently, the granting of the retirement benefit is more distant for women than for men, especially due to the reduction of the rights already guaranteed to them, still necessary and insufficient. Therefore, the results indicate the need for policies for the formal labor market insertion for young people, especially for young women, and for encouraging the contribution to the social security system of people in informal jobs, investment in higher education and greater support from the public. state in providing social justice through policies to reduce gender inequalities, especially in today's changing social and family organization.     

8
  • KALINE STEPHANIA COSTA LOPES
  • Vulnerability in the Serido Potiguar: Gender Differences in Income Composition in the face of Climate Coping.

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JORDANA CRISTINA DE JESUS
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MARIA ALICE PESTANA DE AGUIAR REMY
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 30-ago-2019


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Over time women increasingly enter the job market, but gender inequalities and discrimination persist, even in developed or developing regions. Discrimination ends up affecting women's lives through occupations and income, leaving them in conditions of social and economic vulnerability. In regions facing climate, inequalities are significant and cash transfer programs are important in reducing poverty, especially in female-headed households. In Brazil, the region that most suffers from climate vulnerability is the Northeast, characterized by the semiarid climate, and in this region is the Seridó Potiguar - located in the state of Rio Grande do Norte / RN - area of analysis of this dissertation. Considering these factors, this study aimed to analyze gender disparities in the region's job market, as well as the source and value of income of residents of Seridó Potiguar. Descriptive analyzes were performed, having as main data source the survey conducted from January 31, 2017 to February 23 of the same year, in urban households of seventeen counties of Seridó Potiguar, totaling 1,064 visits. Through the results, it was found that the Seridó Potiguar region follows the same structure of occupations and income as the rest of the country, in which women are inserted in less valued occupations and receive lower salaries. A very significant difference between men and women, which exceeds the national average, was identified in the accessibility to the job market, as only 39% of women over 14 were employed in the reference week, while among men this percentage was 63%. Consequently, almost 50% of women are more socially vulnerable and are dependent on care programs, especially the Programa Bolsa Familia (BFP). Regarding income from work, although there is superiority of male over female income, this difference is smaller in Seridó Potiguar when compared to the national average, as such differences are higher the higher the education level and the better the positions held. In this region, men remain in occupations linked to the productive environment and women in activities in the reproductive environment. Therefore, the results of this dissertation confirm the hypothesis that in the context of low economic, social development and climate vulnerability, such as drought, income discrepancies, occupations and formalization between men and women are significant.

    As for water supply in households led by women without a spouse, they have a higher level of economic vulnerability, as they have lower per capita income than other household arrangements. Thus, it is concluded that the planning of public policies to mitigate the effects of drought on the lives of residents in the Seridó Potiguar region is essential.

2018
Disertaciones
1
  • EWERTON DA SILVA SANTOS
  • SOCIOECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC DIFFERENTIALS IN THE HEALTHY LIFE EXPECTATION OF ELDERLY PEOPLE TO BRAZIL AND GREAT REGIONS IN 2013

  • Líder : MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MIRELA CASTRO SANTOS CAMARGOS
  • Data: 02-feb-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The Brazilian population has been undergoing a rapid change in its structure as a consequence of changes in its demographic dynamics. In this context, there is a reduction in the proportion of children and young people, a rapid aging process and increases in both life expectancy at birth and longevity of the population. With survival gains in almost all ages, especially from the age of 60, analyzing how the health conditions of this survivor population being further and further away is important in identifying an additional lifetime duration. However, since Brazil is a country of regional contrasts, it is important to analyze the impacts of population aging and longevity gains in relation to the different socioeconomic and demographic contexts in the major Brazilian regions. This study estimated and analyzed the indication of jointly incorporating changes in the level of mortality and health conditions of the elderly population, by socioeconomic and demographic characteristics among the Great Regions of Brazil in 2013. As information on the mortality from those extracted from the official tables of mortality rates published by IBGE. While the population's health condition was obtained based on the information on activities of daily living collected in the National Health Survey of 2013. Thus, the regional, socioeconomic and demographic differentials in the Life Expectancy of Disability of the elderly people living in Brazil in 2013. The main results show that as women lived longer than men, they are at a disadvantage in terms of DFLE. For Brazil, at age 60, a woman with a lifespan of 19.4 years and since I expect to live 4.0 years with functional disability, the values for the male population would be 17.3 and 2.6 years respectively . The subgroup of the less educated, living in the North and Northeast of Brazil, is the one that presents the biggest disadvantage in terms of DFLE, besides being below the national average. However, there are no more details about race and education are not statistically significant in most regions. It is advised that the results are more important, and the results can serve as a subsidy for the planning of the public policies aimed at the care of the elderly, defining priorities for the envelopment and minimization of future demands in the health area, with the utmost attention to the majority of health services, which is disadvantaged.

2
  • RAÍSSA MARQUES SAMPAIO SIDRIM
  • Commuting and occupational insertion on the Metropolitan Regions of Fortaleza, Recife and Salvador: evidences according to the condition of migration

  • Líder : WILSON FUSCO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • ROSANA APARECIDA BAENINGER
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 15-feb-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The main objective of this dissertation is to analyze the differences in the occupational insertion of migrants and non-migrants who perform the commuting displacement due to work in the Metropolitan Regions of Fortaleza, Recife and Salvador in 2000 and 2010. Besides that, it is sought to measure the volume, to draw the profile and to know the incomes of the commuters of these two groups (migrants and non-migrants). The central hypothesis is that the individuals identified as migrants in these metropoles, and who undertake commuting displacement, have better qualifications and incomes in relation to non-migrants, being better placed in the labor market. For that, the microdata of the 2000 and 2010 Demographic Census of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) are used as the main source of information. The results indicate that in the three metropolitan regions of the Northeast there were an increasing number of individuals performing the pendular mobility, and that these have very similar characteristics among the metropolises. Overall, the group of migrant commuters was younger and had better qualifications and incomes than non-migrants. There was an growth in the number of commuting employees in both groups, with an increase in the number of workers with a formal contract, but the informal rate is higher among migrants. As far as the activity sector is concerned, the majority are inserted in the transformation industry, in the trade and repair of vehicles and in the construction, however the predominance in these sectors is changed from metropolis to metropolis and also by the migratory status.

3
  • ISAC ALVES CORREIA
  • Vulnerability and adaptation in Seridó Potiguar: the (i) mobility and domiciliary strategies

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • ALISSON FLAVIO BARBIERI
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 23-feb-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Recent studies indicate that climatic events will intensify and may lead to the displacement of entire populations in some localities, mainly semi-arid regions where the drought phenomenon is recurrent. In this sense, migration, among other strategies such as fertility regulation, can be understood as alternatives for families to adjust to a situation of threat of resource scarcity or loss of status. However, the association between environmental change and migration is still inconclusive, both due to the difficulty of dissociating individual motivations and economic character, as well as the limitations of population surveys. In addition, migration is just one of a range of strategies for adapting to environmental change. Based on census data and a survey carried out from January 2017 on with more than 1,000 urban households of Seridó Potiguar, the main objective of this work is to understand how families perceive the presence of threats to extreme weather events and climate change, adjust their responses. This paper also aims to understand how household demographic composition and institutional political issues can affect the decisions of these households. The main results show that the household demographic composition may have influenced decisions as well as the result of the migratory process. Above all, the smaller proportion of children under 15 years of age for migrant households suggests a combination of adaptation strategies with fertility regulation and migration. Remittances sent by emigrants to their families in the region of origin were more present for families with lower income levels, up to two minimum wages per capita. The motivations for migrations in the Seridó region are diverse as well as the reasons for not migrating that are complex decisions that usually involve a certain degree of individual motivations and at the same time collective and domiciliary character. Although most households that did not opt for migration perceive certain risk situations in their place of origin, the type of response to these pressures may vary according to the capacity of the institutions. Income transfer programs have shown great relevance in this process either by supporting households without emigrants or by subsidizing the emigration of at least one resident. Finally, it is concluded that the migration and / or the supply of work in urban spaces have been important tools for families to deal with the risk, either with droughts or by pressures of an endogenous nature. Thus, the population concentration in the urban area that appears to be the result of these changes, although presenting certain advantages, especially speaking of domiciliary strategies such as the search for occupations in the urban labor market to increase family income, requires well-strengthened institutions to manage the risks.

4
  • MAYANY CLEYSES MORAIS DE SOUZA
  • The relationship between maternal religious involvement and child mortality in the Northeast Region in 2010

  • Líder : LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ANA PAULA DE ANDRADE VERONA
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • Data: 07-ago-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The present study highlighted maternal religious affiliation as an important factor associated with infant mortality. The main objective of this study was to analyze the relationship between infant mortality and maternal religious affiliation categories for the Northeast Region in 2010. In Brazil, infant and child mortality rates are declining considerably (SZWARCWALD & CASTILHO, 1995; GARCIA & SANTANA, 2011; TEIXEIRA et al, 2016). In addition, the country has undergone significant demographic, economic, social, environmental and cultural transformations, among which, changes in the religious field are also observed (ALVES, CAVENAGHI & BARROS, 2014). In order to reach the proposed objectives, this study used as a source Demographic Census 2010 database and three Poisson regression models with robust variance were applied for infant and child mortality: Model 1 included only the associated factor of interest in this dissertation (maternal religious affiliation). Maternal demographic characteristics (age, color / race, parity and marital status) were added in Model 2, and in Model 3, the economic characteristics of the mother and household were added (levels of schooling, urban/rural household, type of sewage, the existence of piped water in the residence and if someone in the household received benefits from social programs). Among the main results obtained, it is highlighted that maternal religious affiliation was not associated with infant mortality. In the case of child mortality, maternal religion reached statistical significance in Model 1, in which the 'traditional Protestant' (RR = 0.76, p <0.05) and 'Pentecostals' (RR = 0.80; p <0.05) showed protective effects. In Model 2, the category 'traditional Protestant' lost statistical significance, but the group of Pentecostal mothers not only maintained a statistically significant association, but also increased its protective effect (RR = 0.84, p <0.05).  Others results showed deleterious effects of maternal age’s extremes: '10 to 19 years '(RR = 1.38, p <0.05) and '35 years or more' (RR = 1.33 , p <0.05). Also, parity equal three or more children (RR = 1.39, p <0.05), being widowed (RR = 1.64, p <0.10) and residing at home with adequate sanitary sewage (RR= 0.73, p <0.05). In general, the results found for religious affiliation partially corroborate the Wood, Williams & Chijiwa (2007) hypothesis that, over time, Pentecostal mothers would reach.

5
  • PEDRO GILSON DA SILVA
  • PREVALENCE OF HIGH RISK OF CORONARY EVENTS IN BRASILIAN POPULATION AND ASSOCIATED FACTORS IN 2013.

  • Líder : KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JONAS SAMI ALBUQUERQUE DE OLIVEIRA
  • JULIANO DOS SANTOS
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • Data: 08-ago-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The cardiovascular diseases constitute the major cause of illnesses and deaths in Brazil since the beginning of the 80s. The increase in the number of deaths from these diseases is related to intrinsic factors of demographic, epidemiological and nutritional transition, in which it highlights the aging population, changes in eating patterns, high prevalence of smoking and physical inactivity. This is a transversal study, based on data from the National Health Survey (PNS) from 2013, in order to examine the association between high risk of coronary events and sociodemographic variables, habits, lifestyle and self-assessment habits. The sample consisted of adults over 18 years of both sexes. The population was stratified according to the cardiovascular risk on the I Brazilian Guideline for Prevention of Cardiovascular. They were classified as high risk on the first phase stratification, individuals who answered yes to at least one of these variables: presence of diabetes, myocardial infarction, stroke, angina, chronic renal failure, or stent / angioplasty.A descriptive statistical analysis (prevalence), bivariate (Chi-square test with Rao and Scott correction and test of proportions), considering the sample weights, and multiple (Poisson regression) with 5% significance level, through library survey of the statistical program R version 3.2.2. The prevalence of high risk for coronary events in 2013 was of 11.06% (IC95%, 10.83-11.29), the highest proportion of individuals classified at high risk for coronary events mentioned diabetes mellitus (64.79%; IC, 95% 63.66 to 65.92), stroke (15.56 %; 95% CI, 14.73-16.39) and chronic renal failure (14.51%; IC95%, 13.65-15.37). After multivariate analysis remained associated with high risk for coronary event sociodemographic variables (age, sex and geographic region), self-assessment of health status and habits and lifestyle (smoking in the past, heavy alcohol consumption, time spent watching television, consumption of fruit per day and red meat consumption). The results of this study showed that about 11.0% of the population is at high risk for coronary event, and so, they hold more than 20% risk of a new coronary event in the next 10 years. It is believed that this reality is the result of the aging of  Brazilian population associated with changes in habits and lifestyle.

6
  • DENISE EVELYN MENDONCA PIMENTEL
  • CHARACTERIZATION REPRODUCTIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE NORTHEAST REGION OF BRAZIL IN A CONTEXT OF LOW FERTILITY 

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • CLAUDIO SANTIAGO DIAS JUNIOR
  • Data: 09-ago-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Recent literature has pointed out that low fertility in Brazil occurred through a combination of several reproductive behaviors. In this regard, the observed heterogeneity in fertility regime (reduction of high fertility, absence of children and fertility around one and two children) has been explained by the social differentials that exist among women. In this sense, the main objective of this study is to analyze the reproductive behavior in the Northeast Region of Brazil in a context of low fertility, considering the socioeconomic and demographic differentials of women aged 20 to 49 between 2000 and 2010. In addition, this study focuses on four groups of women: women without children; with one child; with two children and with three or more children. In order to achieve the proposed objectives, the data sources used were the Demographic Censuses of 2000 and 2010. The methodology consists in a descriptive statistical analysis, capable of relating the information of each variable in the study with the four groups of women, grouped by the number of children that they had until the date of each Census. The results show that, during the analyzed period, there was a significant reduction in the proportion of women with three or more children, followed by a growth in the participation of women without children, as well as with one and two children. This behavior was observed in all Federative Units of the Northeast, however, these changes occurred internally way in the differently. Moreover, there was a significant reduction in the participation of women with children at younger ages, with an increase in ages above 30 years old. However, the main change was the decrease in the participation of women with two children in the 20–34 age bracket, but with growth in the ones above 35 years old. The results suggest that the characteristics that differentiate the women in relation to the number of children are: household situation; total household income per capita; color / race, schooling and marital status. In this context, it is important to highlight the growth of heterogeneous family arrangements in the Northeast, with an increase in the participation of women living together (not formally married, but having a partner) without children. In addition, there is a significant contingent of women without children who have never lived together. The increase in the level of education of female population during the analyzed period was the fact that had most impact in the differentials among women in regard to the total number of children. In brief, the results suggest that the decline in fertility in the Northeast during the analyzed period was due to a combination of different reproductive regimes, due to the social and demographic differentials that exist among women.     

7
  • ALAN CHARLES DANTAS EMILIANO
  • SCHOOL TRAJECTORY IN BASIC EDUCATION IN THE REGIONS OF BRAZIL

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CEZAR AUGUSTO CERQUEIRA
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • Data: 22-ago-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Demographic study that observes the trajectory of the student using educational indicators taken from the 2010 school census from the MEC/INEP. It is believed that less than half of the students enrolled in the elementary school arrive at the fourth grade and just 20% can finish this level of education. In addition, it takes into account that high school might not be picking up properly the graduates from elementary school. Shall mean a low probability of transition during the school trajectory of the student who may be leading school delay in the age appropriate to enter higher education. Has the objective to study the school population of the major regions of Brazil, using the multiestado methodology to determine the probabilities of transition from a student a teaching series to another during your trajectory in basic education. The methodology is based on the application of the statistical model multiestado, which calculates the probabilities of transition between sets of teaching of basic education of the Brazilian educational System, through the rates of transition (promotion, repetition, evasion and migration for the education of young and adults) and the distortion rates age/grade. The results indicated that less than half of the population school transitions between sets of teaching of basic education.Additionally, the information submitted enable the debate on the existence of factors of social and economic conditions and operating factors of the education system which may explain the low probability of the transition between sets of teaching and school life expectancy below the expected. 

8
  • MARILIA DE SOUZA SOARES
  • SURVIVAL OF MICRO AND SMALL ENTERPRISES IN THE STATE OF RIO GRANDE DO NORTE BETWEEN 1980 AND 2016

  • Líder : MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • BERNARDO LANZA QUEIROZ
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • Data: 28-ago-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs) play a key role in the Brazilian economy in generating employment and income for the economically active population in a sustainable way, as well as leveraging the economy. The conception and extinction of these companies has a significant impact on the economy and, especially, on the formalization of the working-age population. This research proposes an analysis of the closed population (migration absence) of the MPEs by cohort (generation) with regard to the constitution (birth) and extinction (death) between 1980 and 2016 in the Rio Grande do Norte state.  Based in the collected data at the Commercial Council do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte, mortality tables were calculated for several generations of companies constituted between January 1, 1980 and December 31, 2016 by size and industry. Differences of level and standard of companies’ mortality / survival were verified by size and industry. Was observed that the increase in the participation of Individual Microentrepreneurs (MEIs) in the total number of incorporated companies, although it has the effect of reducing the number of informal businesses, may have some negative effect on the survival probability of MSEs, including those more consolidated.The results also point to increases in the probability of death of older cohort companies, that is, with greater stability in the business market, and higher levels of mortality in the first years for more recent cohorts. This increase in MSE mortality occurs during the same period in which the demographic dynamics of Rio Grande do Norte favors a greater relative weight of the working-age population, a phenomenon known as demographic bonus. The results raised by this study contribute significantly to the knowledge of the levels and survival patterns of companies in the RN, pointing out possible causes and consequences for the average life time for different types and sizes of enterprises. On the other hand, the study points to the need for more specific and better quality data so that the analyzes serve as subsidies for new ventures.

9
  • TALLITA SOARES JUSTINO
  • THE EFFECT OF THE EXPANSION OF HIGHER EDUCATION IN PENDULARITY IN THE BRAZILIAN NORTHEAST IN 2000 AND 2010.

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EDNELSON MARIANO DOTA
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 31-ago-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The spatial distribution of higher education services in the Brazilian northeast for a long time was strongly marked by the imbalance between its supply and demand. It is recognized that from 2003 there is a change in the scenario of Brazilian higher education with the implementation of a set of public policies aiming at the decentralization and internalization of this modality of education, concomitantly a modification in the pattern of spatial mobility, since it becomes unnecessary Long distance for entry to higher education, in this process intensifies short-distance displacements, pendularity. In this context, the present work defines pendularity as the regular displacement of students of higher education to study in a different municipality than the one that resides. Most of the studies carried out in Brazil on this subject have focused their analysis on pendular mobility motivated by work, and little has been discussed about this phenomenon, motivated by studies, especially in higher education. Another characteristic of these productions is the geographic criterion defined to determine the commuting displacements, which are generally directed towards the Metropolitan Regions. Thus, it is considered relevant in this study the study within the region of the Brazilian Northeast that historically presents low social and economic indicators, and especially because it is one of the regions most lacking in higher education when compared to the other Brazilian regions.The results show that, from 2000 to 2010, the process of expansion and internalization of undergraduate higher education institutions caused important changes both in the sociodemographic profile of students commuting in this modality of teaching, since it was possible to identify a greater participation of rural women living in the company of a partner or companion, calling themselves pardos, having a per capita household income of 0 to 1 minimum wage, a significant positive variation in the mean age, both in the men's group and in the women, in the states of Maranhão and Bahia, and in terms of volume, especially in flows equal to or greater than 1,000 pendulums.

10
  • WALTER PEDRO SILVA JUNIOR
  • REGIONAL DIFFERENCES IN ADULT MORTALITY BY EDUCATIONAL LEVEL IN BRAZIL IN 2010

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CÁSSIO MALDONADO TURRA
  • DAMIAO NOBREGA DA SILVA
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • Data: 20-dic-2018


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Studies on mortality differentials by education have a great relevance for the management of public health in Brazil. Given the unequal context of processes of demographic and epidemiological transitions among social strata, the objective of this study is to estimate educational differentials in adult mortality (25-59 years) by regions, sex and age in 2010. The literature indicates that there is an inverse relationship between mortality and schooling, meaning that the higher the schooling the lower is the risk of death. In addition, there is evidence that these gradients persist at all ages. They are larger among men, diminishing with age and their magnitude differ among the country’s regions. Whilst this subject has been discussed in the United States since the 1960s, in Brazil the first works date from the 2000s. This delay is mainly due to the poor quality of the educational variable from the responses on death registered in the Mortality Information System (MIS). In order to search for evidence on these educational gradients, the microdata on death of MIS of 2010 (for deaths) and the microdata of the census 2010 (for population quantities) are the study’s sources of data. Accordingly, the methodological proposal is to make two corrections in the data before proceeding with the estimates of educational differentials in mortality. The first one is the correction of the incompleteness of the variable education through imputation methods. The methods applied are: the multiple imputation and the ABB (Approximate Bayesian Bootstrap). The second one is the correction of underreporting of deaths using average corrections factors of the general population by Federation Unit (FU) to correct only the deaths of lower schooling in each region. The results in terms of specific mortality rates are in line with the literature. The risks of death are lower among individuals with high schooling when compared to those with low and medium schooling. Moreover, differentials were higher for men, tending to decrease with age. Another important result is that there are no regional differences in the mortality differentials according to the schooling of the deceased.

2017
Disertaciones
1
  • LEÔNIDAS PETRUCIO DUTRA PEDROSA
  • Migration and vulnerability in the Potiguar Seridó: outmigration profile analisys

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • ALISSON FLAVIO BARBIERI
  • Data: 22-feb-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The 17 cities located in the eastern and western Seridó microregions form the Seridó region of Rio Grande do Norte - RN is inserted in the northern semiarid Northeast, which is characterized by extreme climatic phenomena such as long periods of drought. In addition, historically, this area presents low rates of economic development compared to the more developed areas of the state of the RN, located in the eastern coastal range, especially those that encompass the Metropolitan Region of Natal. This situation, which combines environmental problems with poor living conditions and low human development rates, has contributed to the formation of a range of municipalities that present a population with high socio-environmental vulnerability and a low capacity to respond to long periods of water scarcity. These factors created difficulties for the development of social reproduction of its population and contributed to the wide range of individuals adopting the emigration from the region as a form of adaptation to the phenomenon. Thus, the aforementioned space presents a population dynamics that allows us to analyze, from the socioeconomic profiles of the emigrants and the non-migrant population, whether the option to migrate works as a response to the socio-environmental vulnerabilities present in this region. In this sense, in order to carry out a demographic reading of this geographic space, socioeconomic profiles such as per capita income, level of education and age of migrants and non-migrants of the region will be analyzed, since these elements are used in a wide range of research on vulnerability measurement

2
  • CAMILA SILVA BEZERRA
  • PORTRAIT OF THE AVERAGE CLASS AND THE EFFECT OF ITS CONSUMPTION ON HOUSEHOLD DISCHARGES

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • DIMITRI FAZITO DE ALMEIDA REZENDE
  • Data: 09-mar-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Discussions about the so-called middle class have had wide attention in Brazil in recent years, recognizing their economic and population importance. It is observed how the new patterns of consumption adopted by this class, labor and income per capita, influence the lower incidence of children by Woman by several factors. The present work searches with these tendencies, to analyze the relation of the descendants in the domicile according to their social classes and their respective patterns of consumption. For the methodological source of the discussion about the relations of social classes, the research was based on Goldthorpe's scheme of operation, and the relational effect of the number of children on their expenditures, the databases of the Family Budget Research (POF) Developed by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), referring to the 2008-2009 version. Three variables were considered central and fundamental of the data bank for the observation (Income, Households and Expenses), information about the social classes, the number of children per household, and the expenses with vehicles per domicile were extracted. The decline in the number of descendants is mainly explained by the great changes in the socioeconomic structure of the population. Factors such as urbanization, economic dynamism, greater access to credit and forms of consumption, and income transfer programs for the poorest population are clear for behavioral interference on the household to generate their offspring. The influence of the consumption and the increase of the professional qualifications and of the incomes, made that there was a growth in the composition of the average social classes of the form that the reproductive behavior of the families suffered with such influences.

3
  • JOSE ROBERTO DA SILVA
  • A SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF THE QUALITY OF PUBLIC EXPENDITURE WITH ELEMENTARY EDUCATION: MICRO-REGIONS DE RIO GRANDE DO NORTE IN 2015

  • Líder : PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • NARLA SATHLER MUSSE DE OLIVEIRA
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • SARA RAQUEL FERNANDES QUEIROZ DE MEDEIROS
  • Data: 05-may-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Demography is a multidisciplinary area of knowledge that studies the human populations and its time evolution, regarding to its size, spatial distribution and composition. Among the variables that comprise this multidisciplinarity, one of the most important is education.1 . Thus, the objective of this work is to evaluate the quality of the allocation of public resources from the FUNDEB (Maintenance and Development of Basic Education and Enhancement of Education Professionals Fund), specifically, in elementary school, in the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte, from the perspective of micro-regions. The period chosen was the year of 2015, that cprresponds to the release of the last result of the IDEB (Development of Basic Education Index). To this end, three databases were used: the SIOPE (Information on Public Budgets in Education System), the School Census and the IDEB. The selected variables in these databases were: the number of registrations in the municipal education network, the expenditure of each municipality with the Elementary School and the results of the IDEB. The methodology used was developed by Brunet, Bertê and Borges (2008), which created a Quality of Education Index, resulting from the ratio between the Performance Index and the Expenditure Index, both for the same year. Such index allows the classification of municipalities as to the quality of public expenditure on Basic Education.

4
  • JOSÉ EDSON FERREIRA NUNES JÚNIOR
  • Profile of teacher quality and school performance in brazilian basic education.

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • CEZAR AUGUSTO CERQUEIRA
  • NARLA SATHLER MUSSE DE OLIVEIRA
  • Data: 26-may-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • According to the Pesquisa Nacional por Amostras de Domicílios (PNAD), from 1992 to 2009, the enrollment rate of young people aged 15 to 17 rose from 59.7% to 85.2%. That is, the period of Brazilian population growth, together with its social development, has led to the growth of the school population. These increasing values only identify the need and importance of a more pronounced look at teachers. With the increasing attendance of students in schools, the role of teachers becomes increasingly complex, with more heads to manage and pass on their teachings. It has become necessary to expand the teaching staff to be able to serve the entire school population. Even more important than the expansion of the teaching staff, their qualification and qualification should also be expanded, since in the not so distant future, the fall in birth rates will decrease the population of school-age youth in Brazil. Thus, the high number of teachers will not be more relevant, but their qualities and professional skills. By saying that, this work is aimed specifically at teachers working in the basic education in Brazil and their personal, professional and academic characteristics, and how these characteristics affect the performance of their students. Thus, the main objective of this work is to determine the quality profile of 3rd year public high school teachers, and what is the relation of these profiles and their student’s academic performances. The data used were made available through the microdata of Prova Brasil 2013 (SAEB), carried out by INEP. The Grade of Membership (GoM) method was used to construct the pertinence profiles of teachers according to their characteristics. In the possession of these profiles, it was verified which teacher’s characteristics resulted in an effective way in good performances of their students in the evaluated curricular component. The results indicate three groups of teachers with different characteristics: a group considered the to be the one with higher quality, another one classified as medium quality, and the last one classified as poor quality profile. For each group outlined, the performance of their students was distinct, presenting higher performance those students associated with high quality teachers, and lower performance students with poor quality teachers.

5
  • GISELY KARLA DE MEDEIROS CARVALHO
  • FAMILY LITERACY AND ANALYSIS OF PERSONAL NETWORKS: RESEARCH-ACTION WITH POPULATION EDUCATION FUNDAMENTAL

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • MARIA DO SOCORRO OLIVEIRA
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 18-ago-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • It highlights the need to understand demographically the aspects that surround education, more specifically literacy, of the population between the ages of 6 and 14. It outlines how an action research can perceive the literacy developed in the family environment through the analysis of social networks, which identifies agents with different intensities of cultural capital and social capital, responsible for the school success of students of the 5th year of elementary school of Municipal School José Horácio de Góis. It presents a theoretical support based on prominent studies which, point out the demographic transition as a possible benefit generator for the education system, expose a focus on the practices of the literacy family and on the debate about school failure, reveal the cultural capital and the social capital as propellants of the habitus of studying, and show how the methodology of social network analysis can observe the are exchange actions produced by the individuals of a certain group. To do so, it uses the method focused on the personal networks with the use of questionnaires and relational matrices, these are aided by the name generator and the name interpreters, instruments that allow data production and processing of the variables in the software: Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, Ucinet and NetDraw. In ascertaining the sociodemographic data, as well as the structure and the composition of student networks, the results indicate that students of the same context and with similar characteristics have singularities that differentiate them in relational practices and interfere in the way in which they develop family literacy. Thus, the restrictions and contributions to the learning of reading and writing, and consequently to the school performance, are motivated according to the influences exerted by the actors that compose the students' networks. In the end, it considers that action-research projects aimed at family literacy, and based on the analysis of personal networks, produce meaningful knowledge that can overcome the barriers of school failure, improve indicators and broaden educational projections.

6
  • WENDELLA SARA COSTA DA SILVA
  • Not sended by the author

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • ERNESTO FRIEDRICH DE LIMA AMARAL
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • Data: 30-ago-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • In Brazil there is a context of fertility below the level of replacement and it is noted, therefore, that the number considered ideal of children has been reduced to an increasingly smaller amount. Therefore, this research project presents the reproductive dynamics of the Northeast and Southeast, based on the following components of human reproduction: reproductive preferences, family planning and use of contraceptive methods. Research will be carried out on the universe of women who are women (in a stable union or formal marriage) of reproductive age (15 to 49 years). Therefore, the objective of the study is, in the light of social action, to observe the use of family planning as an instrument for the realization of the reproductive preferences of the united women of the Northeast and Southeast of Brazil, using the reproductive health surveys of 1996 and 2006. The methodology used consisted of a descriptive analysis of the data using the statistical model of Logistic Regression. The dependent variable used in the analysis refers to the concretization and non-concretization of the maritally united women, measured by the number of those who managed to reach their ideal number of children and those did not succeed. The independent variables are related to the demographic, educational, social, cultural, economic, reproductive health (family planning and reproductive preference) and relational characteristics (women's relationship with their partner). The results of the regression analysis, for the two years investigated (1996 and 2006), show that in general the age of women, the use of modern contraceptive methods and sterilization, access to the media, such as television and newspapers, and the religion exhibited an important significance for the reproductive realization. However, there are differences in the results shown between 1996 and 2006. What draws attention in the results of 1996 is that for both the Northeast and the Southeast the schooling of women with 10 to 11 years of schooling was significant to reach the goal Of children. Already for 2006 a new factor of great relevance appeared for this condition that was related to feminine employability. In 2006, the women of the two studied regions who had paid work outside the home showed a greater possibility of reproductive preferences in relation to those who did not work. In short, to foment the discussion, we used a theoretical contribution of demography and sociology in order to argue about reproductive preferences, family planning and the concept of social action.

7
  • FERNANDA FONSECA FÉLIX
  • GENDER INEQUALITIES IN TOTAL WORKING TIME AND THE RETIREMENT RULES: AN ANALYSIS FOR BRAZIL, 2014

  • Líder : LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • CRISTIANE SILVA CORRÊA
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • FREDERICO LUIZ BARBOSA DE MELO
  • Data: 31-ago-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The demographic changes by the Brazilian population in the last decades, especially the aging of the population and the increase in life expectancy experienced, represent a challenge for the financial equilibrium of their social security system. Given this situation, the government analyzes proposals for changes in social security rules to try decreasing the deficit, and in a way, increasing the collection. Equality in the rules for granting benefits to men and women is one of the proposals of the current government, which has been discussed under the justification that the woman's life expectancy is greater than that of men. In the Brazilian context, the 5-year bonus on contribution time and retirement age was suggested by the 1987 Women's Charter and consolidated in the 1988 Constitution As a way of recognizing the social role of women, which is not recognized: work dedicated to housework, unpaid and invisible work vis-à-vis society and the State, as well as gender differences in the labor market. Therefore, the present study intends to discuss whether the equality of social security rules for men and women is in fact an adequate reform for the Brazilian reality, given the gender inequalities found in the labor market and in the division of reproductive work (housework).  The study aims to estimate the difference in working time between men and women, considering the time spent in productive labor (the labor market) and the time devoted to housework and family care. Using data from the PNAD of 2014, the results show that, despite having worked with an average load, 15% less than men, they are dedicated 128% more of their time in domestic tasks. Women work an average of 358 hours more than men per year, if this difference were considered, in 30 years women would have contribution time equivalent to 34.3 years of men's contribution. And when analyzing the differences between the sexes by other characteristics such as schooling, income, formal and informal work, family arrangements, race, age group; Differences were even greater than the national average.

8
  • LILLIAN KARIELLY DE ARAÚJO GOMES OLIVEIRA
  • Mortality by Diabetes Mellitus in Brazil: associations with demographic factors  

  • Líder : MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • NILMA DIAS LEAO COSTA
  • NEIR ANTUNES PAES
  • Data: 31-ago-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • In recent decades, Brazil has faced changes in its sociodemographic, epidemiological and nutritional profile. Changes in the epidemiological and demographic profile were concomitant. Type 2 non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (DM) stands out as a disease that has progressed significantly as a cause of mortality. It should be pointed out that variables such as age, sex, schooling and income may have a relevant explanatory power for mortality from this disease. Thus, the general objective of this work is to analyze and describe the behavior of mortality rates due to Type 2 DM (TMDM) in the Brazilian population, in terms of large regions and UF, investigating its association with selected sociodemographic factors, taking as a reference the period 2000-2015. The Mortality Information System (SIM) and the Human Development Atlas of Brazil (Atlas BR-2013) of the UNDP were used as data sources. It is a descriptive and multivariate study, focusing on non-insulin dependent TMDM, which were standardized by the population of Brazil, where Brazilian UF were taken as basic units of analysis, which also characterizes it as an ecological study. Descriptive analyzes were performed, observing the three-year behavior of the rates. A multi-regression model (MRLM) was used, weighted by population size, using TMDM (average rate logito of the last four years, 2012-15) as a response variable and indicators of education, income and poverty, as explanatory variables. A non-parametric statistical analysis, using the Mann-Whitney Test was used to measure the significance of TMDM differences and sociodemographic indicators between two groups of UF, one represented by the North and Northeast regions and another by UF of the South, Southeast and Central West. In all analyzes the level of significance was taken as 5%. The results pointed to statistically significant associations between TMDM and the sociodemographic indicators analyzed (indicators of poverty, education and income inequality). In the adjustment of MRLM, the only statistically significant variable, to explain the variation of TMDM, was the poverty indicator (proportion of people living with less than 1/2 sm), (p-value = 0.027), indicating that the poorer and less developed the UF, the higher are their DM mortality rates (r = 0.43). The Mann-Whitney Test showed statistically significant differences for all sociodemographic variables and TMDM, between the two groups considered. Finally, it is possible to emphasize that, despite the socioeconomic advances, all the regions of the country presented growth in their TMDM, especially in those with less favored social and educational conditions. The need for more efficient and more effective public policies is an urgent premise, regarding an improvement in this health-space relationship in Brazil.

9
  • WAGNER DOUGLAS ARTUR DO NASCIMENTO
  • THE SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF SCHOOLS AND THE DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF THE SCHOOL POPULATION IN PUBLIC TEACHING NETWORK OF NATAL/RN (2011/2013/2015)

  • Líder : PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • SARA RAQUEL FERNANDES QUEIROZ DE MEDEIROS
  • NARLA SATHLER MUSSE DE OLIVEIRA
  • Data: 31-ago-2017


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The spatial distribution of the municipal public schools at the Fundamental Education in Natal, aims to cater a population in the age group of 6 to 14 years, leading, in recent years, the construction, extension and refurbishment of schools, as well as the installation of equipment and expansion of new facilities. The general objective of this research is to analyze the spatial distribution of schools and school population and the sociodemographic profile students of the 9th Year of Elementary School II, Final Years, in the Municipal Education Network of Natal/RN. The object of the investigation was the school population of 8 Elementary Schools, Final Years, distributed in 4 Administrative Regions of the city and the location of residence of the students. The database to be used for this study is composed by Individual Records of the sampled students, the data provided by Municipal Secretary of Education/MSE and the School Census for the years 2011/2013/2015. As to the methodological aspects, exploratory data analysis tools were used, in addition to the application of multivariate statistical methods appropriated to the achievement of the objectives of the study. This research aims to contribute to governmental actions in the field of educational policy, geared to both structural and logistic aspects, as well as the pedagogic ones, in order to contribute to the improvement of the quality of education. It was concluded that the use of web--based services, search and display of satellite maps and images, Google Maps and Google Earth, to analyze the spatial distribution of schools and school population can be considered as important technological tool for educational discussion for researchers, education managers, specialists and society in general.

2016
Disertaciones
1
  • HERICK CIDARTA GOMES DE OLIVEIRA
  • Migração de retorno para a região do Semiárido Setentrional Brasileiro: evidências do período 2000-2010

  • Líder : JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • Data: 24-feb-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Esta dissertação analisa o fenômeno migratório, em especial o movimento de retorno dos migrantes. O surgimento das correntes migratórias pode ser compreendido a partir de fatores de mudança e estagnação na região de origem e a partir de fatores de atração nas regiões de destino. A busca por melhores oportunidades de emprego e renda na região de destino, constitui-se como um dos principais fatores que motivam os migrantes na tomada de decisão para deixar a sua região de nascimento em direção à regiões consideradas polos de atração. No Brasil, a dinâmica migratória acentuou-se no período compreendido entre 1930 e 1970, que foi marcado por um acelerado avanço econômico, dado de maneira desigual entre as grandes regiões do país. Assim, com a presença de fortes diferencias regionais no país, apresentou-se um dos maiores fenômenos da dinâmica migratória nacional, destacando-se a saída de inúmeros nordestinos em direção ao Sudeste brasileiro. Neste processo, o estado de São Paulo destacou-se como o principal destino deste fluxo. A partir da década de 1980, o país, especialmente  os grandes centros urbanos, passou por diversas transformações econômicas, com intensificação de crises de desemprego, descentralização e reestruturação produtiva e aumento da violência, produzindo aos movimentos migratórios novos contornos, destacando-se um movimento de retorno de parte dos emigrantes, em direção a sua região de nascimento. O objetivo desta dissertação é analisar o processo de migração de retorno nos períodos 1995/2000 e 2005/2010 no Semiárido Setentrional Nordestino, composto por 755 municípios localizados acima do rio São Francisco, nos estados do Rio Grande do Norte, Ceará, Paraíba, Pernambuco, Alagoas e Piauí. Este recorte geográfico é caracterizado por uma intensa dinâmica migratória, motivada por menor incidência de chuvas e maior ocorrência de secas que em todo o Nordeste e com impactos significativos no desenvolvimento econômico da região. Utiliza-se como fonte de dados os Censos Demográficos de 2000 e 2010, onde estão presentes diversas variáveis sobre o tema de migração, adotando-se o critério de migrante de data fixa. Foram realizadas análises dos totais de retornados no semiárido setentrional e seu perfil sociodemográfico. Adotou-se o modelo de regressão logistica binária para identificar as caracteristicas sociodemograficas associadas aos migrantee de retorno.

2
  • PRISCILA SANARA DA CUNHA
  • Imigrantes em Parnamirim/RN: Uma análise a partir do retorno migratório

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • SILVANA NUNES DE QUEIROZ
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 24-feb-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O presente trabalho tem por objetivo investigar os efeitos dos fluxos migratórios de imigrantes (Retornados e não retornados) para o município de Parnamirim- RN. O município é um dos que apresentaram as maiores taxas de crescimento nas últimas décadas e grande parte desse crescimento é decorrente dos fluxos migratórios. Sendo o Rio Grande do Norte o único estado nordestino que apresentou saldo migratório positivo nos dois últimos censos demográficos, entender melhor as migrações em Parnamirim contribui para entender a situação do RN. Isso porque as
    migrações acontecem por vários fatores e inúmeras direções, entre eles: o econômico, pois o indivíduo sai de sua cidade natal em busca de uma nova oportunidade de trabalho e salários mais atraentes: as redes sociais, que é a rede de relacionamento (amigos, família, colegas de trabalho) construída tanto na cidade que migrou quanto na sua cidade de origem; aposentadoria, esta é tomada como um dos principais estímulos dos fluxos populacionais que ocorrem em várias regiões, relativos aos indivíduos em idades mais avançadas; e fatores psicológicos, que atraem o indivíduo para determinada região por desejos e satisfações pessoais, profissionais, entre outros. O Estado do Rio Grande do Norte está sendo bastante procurado por imigrantes e a cidade de Parnamirim por estar situada há oito quilômetros da capital e se tratar de uma região em desenvolvimento econômico está sendo um destino com maior número de fluxos contrários de acordo com os dados do IBGE. Portanto esse estudo aborda os fluxos migratórios e efeitos dos imigrantes que retornaram ao município de Parnamirim/RN.

3
  • KIVYSON NUNES DOS SANTOS
  • TRANSIÇÃO DEMOGRÁFICA E A QUESTÃO EDUCACIONAL: UMA ABORDAGEM PARA O ENSINO MÉDIO DO ESTADO DO RIO GRANDE DO NORTE

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CEZAR AUGUSTO CERQUEIRA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • Data: 14-abr-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Em virtude do processo de transição demográfica, os formuladores de políticas públicas do setor educacional deparam-se com uma situação demográfica bastante específica, pois no instante atual, a despeito da transição demográfica, a população ainda continua crescendo, em razão da inércia demográfica; no entanto, em virtude da constante queda da fecundidade, a população jovem tende a diminuir nos próximos anos. Desta forma, em busca da universalização do Ensino Médio no país, a questão da qualidade da educação ganha destaque, inclusive, a ênfase que a estrutura física das escolas e os equipamentos de apoio pedagógico têm uma função importante na questão educacional, corroborando para um ambiente favorável ou desfavorável para o desenvolvimento dos processos educativos. Nesta perspectiva, o presente trabalho tem como objetivo central relacionar a oferta de vagas, segundo tipologias das escolas, com a demanda de jovens que estarão em idade de frequentar o Ensino Médio no Rio Grande do Norte no ano de 2020, tendo como ênfase os aspectos estruturais das unidades de ensino, a partir da construção de uma tipologia das escolas, e, posteriormente, do delineamento de três alternativas prospectivas. Assim, a partir de dados do Censo Escolar do INEP e de projeções populacionais do IBGE este trabalho foi realizado em quatro etapas: i) levantamento bibliográfico sobre os assuntos relacionados com a pesquisa; ii) manipulação dos bancos de dados; iii) construção dos perfis das escolas; e, iv) construção das alternativas prospectivas. Desta forma, obteve-se como resultado final do trabalho o delineamento de três alternativas que relacionam a demanda potencial e a oferta de vagas segundo os perfis construídos, possuindo a seguinte descrição: i) a “Alternativa A” atende os requisitos elencados no PEE em relação a demanda, no entanto, não prevê melhorias nos aspectos estruturais das escolas; ii) a “Alternativa B” aponta para um aumento da oferta de matrículas, em detrimento das condições estruturais da escola que é oferecida a estes alunos; e, iii) a “Alternativa C” propicia um aumento do quantitativo das vagas acompanhado das devidas melhorias na estrutura física das escolas. Estas alternativas servem, portanto, para subsidiar a tomada de decisão em relação as metas e a efetivação da universalização do acesso alinhado com a as condições físicas necessárias para um ambiente favorável ao desenvolvimento das atividades educacionais.

4
  • VALÉRIO BEZERRA DE LIMA
  • RENDIMENTO ESCOLAR DENTRO DA PERSPECTIVA DAS REDES SOCIAIS/PESSOAIS: UM ESTUDO SOBRE A ESCOLA ESTADUAL IELMO MARINHO

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 23-jun-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Nas últimas décadas, a educação brasileira passou por significativas transformações responsáveis por uma maior qualidade à educação. No entanto, há ainda um longo caminho a ser percorrido, pois o sistema educacional brasileiro é permeado por inúmeros problemas que afetam sua qualidade. O ensino médio, sendo a última etapa da educação básica, é considerado por muitos estudiosos como o grande gargalo da educação brasileira, uma vez que registra altas taxas de evasão, baixo desempenho nas avaliações e um número baixo de alunos matriculados nesse ciclo educacional. Diante disso, o presente trabalho buscou relacionar o capital social, cultural e insucesso escolar, dentro de uma perspectiva de redes sociais/pessoais referentes à população em idade escolar de 15 a 17 anos, atendida pelo ensino médio no município de Ielmo Marinho/RN. Para tanto, foi utilizado a Análise de Redes Sociais (ARS), uma metodologia multidisciplinar que visa identificar e compreender como as redes sociais, ou seja, as relações sociais têm impactado no comportamento de um indivíduo ou de um grupo dentro de uma estrutura social. Com o propósito de completar a análise, realizou-se uma abordagem descritivo-analítica do rendimento desses alunos no (ENEM) do ano de 2015, a fim de analisar a qualidade do ensino proporcionado pelo sistema educacional no qual estão inseridos.

5
  • DAYANE JÚLIA CARVALHO DIAS
  • O comportamento da mortalidade no Rio Grande do Norte entre 1805 e 1872

    historical demography; demographic pre-transition; transition mortality; infectious diseases; Growth Balance de Brass Method (1975).

  • Líder : LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CARMEN MARGARIDA OLIVEIRA ALVEAL
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MARIO MARCOS SAMPAIO RODARTE
  • Data: 01-jul-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • This dissertation undertook a demographic study of mortality in Rio Grande do Norte during the nineteenth century, more precisely, between 1805 and 1872. It contributes to a still scarce set of studies in Brazil that are dedicated to the pre-demographic transition. Moreover, this work represented a challenge to propose a quantitative and employment demographic analysis techniques using data that were not designed specifically for these purposes. Contextually, the nineteenth century was marked by the occurrence of epidemic diseases, mainly due to poor sanitary conditions and medical care, and that played an important role in the causes of death structure of the period. In the case of Rio Grande do Norte the literature points to infeccious diseases such as smallpox, cholera and yellow fever playing a import role along the nineteenth century. Given the inherent limitations of historical data on population and deaths count, this study applied specific demographic techniques for correction and estimation of mortality indicators. Due to the availability of population information and total deaths and age group, analyzes were conducted to five points in time (1805, 1839, 1846, 1870 and 1872). Preliminary analysis indicated that the best method for correcting the underreporting of adult mortality was the Growth Balance Brass Method (1975). To estimate child mortality, was chosen an existing mortality function, using as criteria the one closest to adult mortality function. After analyzing various levels of life tables of Coale and Demeny (1996) western model (level 6) and east (level 19), and 19 mortality functions of different countries available on the site The Human Mortality Database, the function chosen was the Iceland in 1850. So we applied the indirect standardization method to adjust the level of mortality and obtained a new mortality to the Rio Grande do Norte in 1805. It was found that the specific rate of mortality of Rio Grande do Norte showed high levels of infant mortality among children aged zero to four years and in adults there was a high mortality at ages above 50 years. Life expectancy at birth was 32.3 years, a similar estimate to what Mortara (1941) found for Brazil in 1870 (life expectancy of 32.7 years) and 1890 (life expectancy of 30.6 years). In general, the results indicate congruence between the mortality age pattern estimated (children and the elderly as the most affected) and the mortality age pattern typical of areas affected by epidemics such as registered to Rio Grande do Norte over XIX century. It is suggested that future work to carry out the same exercise analysis and use of demographic techniques to data from other captaincies / northern provinces / northeast of the country, which possibly had socioeconomic and sanitary conditions similar to those of Rio Grande do Norte, in order to quantitatively compare the impact of epidemic crises in the region for the historical period depicted.

6
  • FELIPE INÁCIO XAVIER DE AZEVEDO
  • ESTIMATIVAS DE MORTALIDADE INFANTO-JUVENIL PARA AS MESORREGIÕES DO BRASIL PARA O DECÊNIO 2000/2010

  • Líder : MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EVERTON EMANUEL CAMPOS DE LIMA
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • Data: 19-ago-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The sharp decline in mortality rates and improvement in the quality of vital records in Brazil were processes widespread in recent decades, but with significant regional contrasts. Estimates of specific mortality rates in some regions of the country still represent a challenge for demographers. Among the limitations, highlight the high variability in the rates by age and incomplete coverage of vital records. The demographic methods for evaluation and correction of underreporting of deaths at early ages have limited applicability in sub-populations that experienced a rapid and intense destabilization of its age structure, especially in more disaggregated geographical levels. Thus, the objective of this study is to propose indirect estimates for mortality infant-juvenile, 0-14 years, based on adult mortality estimated for the mesoregions of Brazil in the decade 2000/2010. The study data sources are: Human Mortality Database (HMD),  Census 2010, Mortality Information System (SIM) and adult mortality estimates for mesoregions of Brazil, estimated by the research project "Mortality Estimates and Construction Tables Life for Small Areas in Brazil, 1980-2010 "(470866/2014 MCTI / CNPQ / MEC / CAPES / 454,223 and / 2014-5: MCTI / CNPQ). Two methodological approaches were employed, both using regression models which presupposes the existence of a strong relationship of infant mortality with adult mortality. Both proposals show mortality patterns with higher levels of mortality infant-juvenile in mesoregions the North and Northeast. The results show that mortality rates estimated by Proposal 2 show, in general, greater heterogeneity among mesoregions the same state, especially among men. Overall, the results point to lower female mortality levels with more homogeneous patterns compared to male mortality. Among the methods employed, the proposed 2 is shows promise for indirect estimates of mortality infant-juvenile in areas with lower quality of vital records.

7
  • CÉSAR ZANDONAI BARROS CAMILO
  • Nuptiality patterns of Natal,Rio Grande do Norte, in the early twentieth century

  • Líder : LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LUCIANA CONCEICAO DE LIMA
  • MAISA FALEIROS DA CUNHA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • Data: 22-ago-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • The aim of this thesis was to identify patterns of Nossa Senhora da Apresentação Parish, corresponding at the time to the city of Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, in the years 1937 and 1938, with regard to age, marital status, location residence, place of birth and occupation of the bride and groom. For this, it was used as a source of information parish records of marriages, originally from Cúria Metropolitana de Natal and scanned by Laboratório de Experimentação em História Social, UFRN. These records were transcribed for Excell software information age, national origin, marital status, place of residence and occupation of the intending spouses, thus constituting one of 894 individuals database (among grooms, brides, parents grooms, and parents brides) mentioned in 149 records of marriages for the years 1937 (72 records) and 1938 (77 records). To make the descriptive analyzes (frequencies and crossings of information between brides and grooms), the database was exported to the Statistical Package Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). Among the main results, it was found, in general, endogamous marriages pattern: older grooms their brides (with an average age of entry into the 29.9 year marriage to the bride and groom and 24 years for brides), natural and own parish residents (albeit with records of marriages between natural and residents of states surrounding the Rio Grande do Norte, especially for the bride and groom, and rare marriages involving foreigners), and singles (and larger indications remarriage for men than women). With regard to occupation, brides were mostly outside the labor market, while the groom, more entered the labor force, fell within the emerging professions of Natal modernization process (trade, public service, and professional services). Besides the marriage patterns of description of a demographic perspective, the main contribution of this work was the use of parish registers as a basis for development of a database containing marital information, for the time, are not possible to be explored through official sources. As a suggestion for future work can list the cohort analysis of the rare individual characteristics (age at marriage, place of residence, place of birth and occupation) for spouses and parents, and also the expansion of studies for all years available for half of the twentieth century.

8
  • WERTON JOSÉ CABRAL RODRIGUES FILHO
  • BUSINESS DEMOGRAPHY AND THEIR LIFE EXPECTANCY IN RIO GRANDE DO NORTE

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CEZAR AUGUSTO CERQUEIRA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • Data: 30-ago-2016


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • In the current economic scenario, the Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs) account for 99% of the country's companies and more than half of formal jobs, and thus vital to the economy. However, several studies indicate that MSEs have a high mortality rate in the first years of existence, both in Brazil and in other countries. Thus, the present study has the general purpose to determine the life expectancy, by economic sector and at the time of creation Micro and Small Enterprises of Rio Grande do Norte, and for this, it will have specific goal to build a board business life, by economic sector, the Micro and Small companies of Rio Grande do Norte, since the use of indicators of mortality and life expectancy of companies would be a very useful tool for planning, policy decisions and actions in the sectors: private , public, academic and social. For this, we used data provided by the SEBRAE / RN, mortality of Rio Grande do Norte companies, born in 2005, 2006 and 2007, accompanied by the year 2009. Based on this information, there was a mortality estimation in future ages, through Logito Brass method, based boards model of Mexican companies, created in 2014 by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography of Mexico - INEGI. Finally, it appears, on the preliminary results, the existence of Mexican boards model with similar mortality rates to the ones found in Rio Grande do Norte for the 2005 companies cohort, enabling thus the application of Brass Logito for estimating future ages, and hence the creation of the board and calculation of the expected business life.

2015
Disertaciones
1
  • WILLIAM DE MENDONÇA LIMA
  • Mobilidade, espaço de vida e desempenho escolar: o caso dos estudantes de ensino médio no município de Natal - RN.

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EDUARDO MARANDOLA JR
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • Data: 23-feb-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • A distribuição espacial dos serviços de educação básica (nível médio) na cidade de Natal – RN é marcada pelo desequilíbrio entre sua oferta e demanda. Que ocorre em função do desordenado processo de urbanização presente nessa cidade ao longo das últimas décadas. Isso fomenta a necessidade de mobilidade diária da população desse público que, muitas vezes cruza a cidade em busca desse serviço. Trazendo consequências como a elevação de gastos públicos e individuais referentes a transporte e tempo. O desequilíbrio entre demanda e oferta de educação tem gerado uma segmentação entre moradia e estudos. Isso impulsiona a mobilidade para esses fins e expressa a relação de interdependência entre os bairros da cidade. Através da mensuração dos deslocamentos residência-estudo é possível apreender as novas formas espaciais urbanas. Contudo, a maior parte dos estudos desenvolvidos no Brasil, acerca do tema, direcionam suas análises para a mobilidade pendular motivada por trabalho e pouco se tem produzido a respeito desse fenômeno com motivação por estudos. Outro aspecto peculiar dessas produções é o critério geográfico utilizado pera determinar a mobilidade espacial diária, isto é, o limite político administrativo. Considerar esse fenômeno somente no âmbito intermunicipal, em termos analíticos, desprezaria a importância do deslocamento de pessoas que percorreram grandes distâncias, mas não ultrapassaram a fronteira do município de residência. Sendo assim, no desenvolvimento desse trabalho, pretende-se considerar esses aspectos relevantes para o estudo dos deslocamentos diários da população. O banco de dados utilizado com esse fim foi o do Censo Escolar 2012, sendo uma ferramenta importante para capturar as informações referentes à localidade de residência e estudos desses jovens. Portanto, a partir do desenvolvimento desse trabalho, pretende-se analisar o deslocamento diário dos estudantes de ensino médio da rede pública na cidade de Natal, num recorte interbairros, à luz da teoria dos espaços de vida. Que se configura enquanto uma forma de repensar modelos teóricos tradicionais. Com o objetivo de identificar a intensidade e direção desses descolamentos entre, residência e escola, nos bairros da capital potiguar e principalmente, através do modelo de regressão logística, investigar os possíveis desdobramentos desse processo de deslocamento diário da população no âmbito do rendimento escolar dos estudantes.
2
  • ANNA KAROLINE ROCHA DA CRUZ
  • UM OLHAR SOBRE O TAMANHO DA PROLE DAS MULHERES INDÍGENAS À LUZ DO CAPITAL CULTURAL E ECONÔMICO, BRASIL, 2010.

  • Líder : MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PERY TEIXEIRA
  • Data: 23-feb-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Este trabalho tem como objetivo principal estimar a fecundidade das mulheres indígenas do Brasil, em 2010, à luz dos seus perfis de capital cultural e econômico.

    Para tanto, utilizou-se os microdados do Censo Demográfico 2010 a fim de aplicar o método Grade of Membership (GoM) para construir a tipologia das mulheres indígenas a partir das dimensões: demográficas, do capital cultural e econômico e das características do domicílio. E em um segundo momento, estimar os níveis de fecundidade através dos perfis encontrados, utilizando a técnica indireta de Brass.

    A tipologia das mulheres indígenas revelou três perfis puros: o primeiro de mulheres intituladas aqui com “baixo capital cultural e econômico”, que possuem características de uma população aldeada, que praticam suas tradições e moram em ocas ou tendas, por exemplo. Em outro extremo encontrou-se um perfil com condições opostas, residentes da área urbana, que no contexto dos povos indígenas, apresentaram maior nível de escolaridade e renda domiciliar. E um terceiro perfil com “capital cultural e econômico intermediário”, que ficou em uma transição entre os dois primeiros. Além desses, foram traçados seis perfis mistos a partir dos escores de pertinência aos perfis puros encontrados.

    A análise da fecundidade de cada perfil puro apresentou altos níveis para perfis com baixo e intermediário capital cultural e econômico – 5,9 e 5,5 filhos, em média, por mulher - e um baixo nível (2,6 filhos) para aquelas com alto capital cultural e econômico.

    Por fim, o estudo revela a importância de pensar políticas de saúde reprodutiva sensíveis aos aspectos culturais aos diferentes grupos de mulheres indígenas encontrados.

3
  • VICTOR HUGO DIAS DIOGENES
  • QUANDO MENOS É MAIS: ANÁLISE DO IMPACTO DA TRANSIÇÃO DEMOGRÁFICA NO CONSUMO DE ENERGIA ELÉTRICA DOMICILIAR DO BRASILEIRO

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EDUARDO MARANDOLA JR
  • LUANA JUNQUEIRA DIAS MYRRHA
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • Data: 23-feb-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O início da discussão sobre a relação população-ambiente se confunde com o próprio aparecimento da ciência demográfica e historicamente essa relação vem sido discutida sob a luz do malthusianismo, cujo postulado é que a pressão sobre o ambiente estaria relacionada ao crescimento e tamanho da população. No entanto, estudos recentes apontam que o contingente populacional em si não seria suficiente para explicar mudanças ambientais e discutem a necessidade de que outros fatores demográficos sejam considerados. Entre os mais importantes aspectos dessa complexa relação está o consumo que, por sua vez, é uma dimensão estreitamente correlacionada com as mudanças e dinâmicas demográficas. Deste modo, se o consumo é influenciado por fatores demográficos e se considerarmos que o Brasil vivencia transformações aceleradas na sua estrutura demográfica, é de se esperar que novos níveis e padrões de consumo estejam por surgir no Brasil, fato que caracteriza a temática como promissora e importante para estudos e pesquisas.  O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar o consumo de energia elétrica domiciliar per capita por estágios do ciclo de vida do domicílio no Brasil e simular o comportamento do consumo energético considerando as mudanças na estrutura etária domiciliar. A metodologia proposta consiste em mensurar e analisar descritivamente o consumo de energia elétrica domiciliar per capita por cada estágio do ciclo de vida do domicílio através de taxas específicas de consumo por idade do chefe do domicílio e por arranjo domiciliar. Em seguida, por meio de técnicas de padronização, verificar o nível de consumo caso o Brasil apresentasse outras estruturas etárias em seus domicílios. Os resultados indicaram que o nível de consumo de energia elétrica domiciliar per capita deve aumentar quando os domicílios apresentarem uma estrutura por idade do chefe mais envelhecida, ou seja, um maior consumo de energia deve surgir devido ao envelhecimento populacional. Com as estimativas adotadas nesse trabalho, o acréscimo do consumo decorrente da transição demográfica é o equivalente ao consumo de energia elétrica residencial por três dias da cidade de São Paulo ou por 24 dias do Rio Grande do Norte. Com a confirmação dos resultados esperados, esta pesquisa corrobora com a desmistificação do malthusianismo, fortalecendo a necessidade de se criar e consolidar uma linha de pesquisa sistemática da “demografia do consumo” para a melhor compreensão da dimensão demográfica no consumo da população e no impacto no ambiente.

4
  • TIAGO CARLOS LIMA DO NASCIMENTO
  • O Caminho para as secas: As imigrações para o Semiárido Setentrional.

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • WILSON FUSCO
  • Data: 24-feb-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • A região Nordeste do Brasil foi, historicamente, uma região expulsora de sua população, tendo como fatores que motivaram estes padrões de mobilidade, o rigor climático das estiagens sazonais da região semiárida, atrelado a condições de vida precárias e um baixo IDH. Estes seriam os fatores que causariam a expressiva emigração na região em direção ao Sul/Sudeste do país. Contudo, o Nordeste vem mudando o seu papel atuante no contexto migratório nacional. As UF’s do Nordeste vêm apresentando uma diminuição em suas taxas de emigração e um aumento em suas taxas de imigração, indicando as novas tendências nos fluxos migratórios brasileiros através da maior participação da migração de retorno.

    Considerando que as novas formas de distribuição da população ocorrem de forma dialética com os contextos da reestruturação produtiva no Nordeste que vem tomando diferentes formas nas décadas recentes, concomitante ao aumento do retorno migratório e maior participação de seus efeitos indiretos nos fluxos em direção ao Nordeste, buscamos nesta pesquisa analisar os fluxos de migração no Semiárido Setentrional para identificar e reconhecer os novos papéis que as cidades do sertão estão desempenhando como espaços de atração populacional no Semiárido Setentrional que possui uma dinâmica migratória própria e desponta com espaços de atração e de rotatividade migratória que polarizam os fluxos regionalmente. Desta forma o Semiárido Setentrional possui esta atratividade migratória diretamente ligada ao processo de urbanização que a região vem passando e com o aumento das migrações em curta distância. A fim de realizar esta análise, analisamos as características individuais dos migrantes que possuem especificidades entre as tipologias de migrantes diretos,migrantes retornados e populações nãomigrantes, indicando que apesar do contexto de desigualdades sociais ainda ser evidente no Semiárido Setentrional, os seus imigrantes se caracterizam com melhores indicadores sociais que os emigrantes tradicionais da região. O aumento na participação dos grupos migrantes mais velhos, maior proporção de mulheres migrantes, e o aumento no grau de escolarização são elementos que nos auxiliam a compreender este novo contexto migratório e o papel destes migrantes nos novos contextos de produção e de investimento em políticas públicas que o Semiárido Setentrional vem passando.

5
  • FELIPE FERREIRA MONTEIRO
  • A Cidade não para, a cidade só cresce: análise do processo de dispersão urbano e impacto na dinâmica da população.

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • ÁLVARO DE OLIVEIRA D'ANTONA
  • Data: 14-abr-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • As cidades vivem uma constante mutação, passando por transformações que buscam atender e compreender a população residente e seu processo de urbanização Compreender o processo de urbanização vai além do âmbito do crescimento da mancha urbana, abrange compreender como vive a sua população e como é produzido o espaço da cidade. A velocidade de urbanização e o crescimento da população podem ocorrer em diferentes ritmos, levando em muitos casos a formação de cidades com estruturas e formas bem diferentes do que as esperadas, se considerarmos o numero de habitantes e como se distribuem, sendo muito desse fato decorrente das desigualdades na forma de consumir o espaço que impactam diretamente no tamanho das cidades.

    A dispersão do tecido urbano é um dos reflexos do crescimento da cidade e das formas de consumir o espaço, materializando o descompasso entre o espaço urbano e a população. Essa forma de ocupação da cidade pode ser vista como mais influente, de diferentes maneiras na vida dos usuários do espaço urbano e na própria morfologia urbana. A pesquisa busca avaliar como está caracterizado o processo de dispersão dentro das regiões metropolitanas brasileiras e diante a esses resultados compreender como a estrutura etária da população urbana esta associada as dimensões urbanas e as , de dispersão. ,para tal são propostas medidas para averiguar como se encontra a forma urbana, capturando a condição de dispersão

    As medidas propostas consideram dimensões espaciais urbanas para as regiões metropolitanas brasileiras, sendo estas medidas: Tamanho, Continuidade, Grau de vizinhança, Proporção de áreas rurais, Densidade Domiciliar, Densidade populacional. Para cada uma dessas medidas foi avaliada sua correlação com a estrutura demográfica de cada região metropolitana estudada, a fim de testar a hipótese de que a forma urbana esta associada a estrutura demográfica de sua população.

    Os resultados encontrados demonstram a importância de cada uma das medidas propostas, quando aplicado em todas as regiões metropolitanas será possível a análise estatística de correlação com elementos demográficos.

6
  • LOURDES MILAGROS MENDOZA VILLAVICENCIO
  • Fecundidade do Nordeste Brasileiro: uma abordagem com Modelos Não Linear de Efeitos Mistos.

  • Líder : MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • IDEMAURO ANTONIO RODRIGUES DE LARA
  • Data: 24-abr-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O objetivo deste trabalho consiste em avaliar a aplicação dos modelos não lineares de efeitos mistos para o estudo dos níveis e padrões da fecundidade nos estados do Nordeste Brasileiro, apresentando os princípios e supostos básicos, ilustrando sua aplicação para um caso concreto e realizar uma análise comparativa do comportamento da fecundidade levando em conta as Unidades da Federação do Nordeste do Brasil em dois momentos no tempo, 2000 e 2010. Propondo assim uma nova metodologia para a evolução demográfica e o planejamento social. Para a avaliação da aplicação deste tipo de modelo foram utilizadas duas fontes de dados, as informações sobre fecundidade registradas no Sistema de Informação de Nascidos Vivos (SINASC) e as informações do Censo Demográfico para os anos 2000 e 2010. Realizou-se a análise obtendo-se as estimativas de três parâmetros para um modelo assintótico, Taxa de Fecundidade Total, Taxa Especifica no inicio do período reprodutivo e a idade com que a mulher atinge a metade de sua reprodução total, cuja interpretação reflete o comportamento da fecundidade das mulheres em idade reprodutiva, mostrando os diferenciais entre os nove estados do Nordeste Brasileiro. Para a estimação dos parâmetros, utilizou-se o método de máxima verossimilhança (MV) por meio do programa R-project 3.1.0. Os resultados desse estudo apontam que no ano 2000 ambas fontes de dados apresentaram semelhanças nas Taxas de Fecundidade Total, para os estados de Rio Grande do Norte, Pernambuco e Sergipe, sendo de, 2,42; 2,38 e 2,67 respectivamente. No entanto as estimativas por meio do SINASC e Censo Demográfico apontaram ao estados de Alagoas como aquele com a maior TFT do Nordeste.Os estados de Maranhão e Piauí foram aqueles que atingiram a metade da Taxa de Fecundidade Total (TFT) com a idade de 21 anos, no entanto os estados de Ceará e Sergipe foram aqueles que apresentaram uma maior idade para atingir a metade da TFT sendo esta de 23 anos. Para o ano 2010 ambas fontes de dados apontaram aos estado de Maranhão e Alagoas como aqueles com a maior TFT, em comparação com outros estados do Nordeste, em sentido contrario as estimativas por meio do SINASC aponto ao estados da Bahia com o menor TFT (1,83), no entanto estimativas por meio do Censo Demográfico sinalo ao estado de Pernambuco como aquele com a menor TFT (2,09) do Nordeste. Constatou-se também que para o ano 2010 a população feminina em todos os estados do Nordeste, concentram a metade da TFT entre as idades de 20 e 24 anos, observou-se também que a postergação das mulheres em terem filhos acontece de forma independente do estado de origem.Em um contexto de queda da fecundidade, os modelos não lineares de efeitos mistos (NLME), torna-se uma ferramenta promissora dentro do campo da Demografia, pois permite analisar os níveis e padrões das TFT sem pressupostos de uma população fechada. Acredita-se que os modelos não lineares de efeitos mistos podem levar a um melhor entendimento.

7
  • BRUNO LOPES DA SILVA
  • O DESEMPENHO ESCOLAR NA PERSPECTIVA DAS REDES SOCIAIS/PESSOAIS: UM ESTUDO SOBRE AS ESCOLAS ESTADUAIS SANTOS DUMONT E ANA JÚLIA DE CARVALHO MOUSINHO

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 15-may-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • . A análise de redes pessoais se constitui em uma forma de abordagem bastante utilizadas para estudar o relacionamento entre atores, em seu processo de interação. Baseada em uma perspectiva paradigmática estruturalista-interacionista, a utilização das redes envolve níveis de análise de diversas naturezas como por exemplo, empresas, organizações, cidades, países regiões, bem como pessoas. Nesse sentido, ao se adotar como nível de análise o indivíduo, as redes podem ser utilizadas para entender diversos aspectos do contidiano das pessoas, uma vez que, diariamente os indivíduos desenvolvem atividades de forma reacionada com outras pessoas com as quais trocam influências e informações. O processo educativo, por sua vez, é uma das atividades nas quais há essa comunicação interpessoal, seja no âmbito da família, da escola, ou até mesmo da comunidade onde a pessoa esteja inserida. Considerando o processo de escolarização dos alunos de Ensino Básico, pressupõe-se que estes discentes desenvolvem a sua atividade educativa em meio as influências que são exercidas através da rede pessoal formada pelos diferentes atores que fazem parte da sua estrutura relacioanal. Vale lembrar que as redes pessoais podem apresentam estruturas topológicas diferentes dependendo do espaço ou contexto onde estejam localizados os indivíduos, partindo do princípio de que em cada porção do espaço se desenvolvem relações sociais distintas. Nesse sentido, se as redes se diferenciam no espaço, é de se esperar que a influência que elas exercem sobre o desempenho escolar de alunos de localizações distintas tambpem apresentem diferenciação. Para testar essa hipóteses foram escolhidas duas escolas localizadas em contextos espaciais distintos: a Escola Estadual Santos Dumont, situada em Parnamirim; e a Escola Estadual Ana Julia de Carvalho Mousinho, localizada em Natal. Diante disso, estabeleceu-se como objetivo analisar a relação entre redes pessoais e desempenho escolar, em contextos espaciais distintos. Os indivíduos analisados foram os alunos da 3ª Série do Ensino Médio, os quais foram submetidos a um questionário de cunho relacional, a partir do qual seriam coletados os nomes de 45 pessoas que compunham a sua estrutura relacional. Os dados foram sistematizados em uma e processados nos softwares Ucinet e NetDraw, os quais permitiram o cáclculo de três indicadores de redes (Densidade, Número de Cliques e Distância Geodésica) e a representação sociométrica da estrutura relacional de cada aluno observado. As informações de desempenho escolar foram obtidas nas duas escolas, consultando a ficha de rendimento de cada um dos alunos. Nesas fichas, coletou-se as notas finas de Português e de Matemática desses alunos, as quais posteriormente foram associadas aos indicadores de rede por meio de uma regressão logística. Os resultados obtidos demosntraram que as redes pessoais dos alunos dessas duas escolas apresentam estruturas distintas. Na Escola Estadual Santos Dumont, as redes tem um maior número de cliques, enquanto que, na Escola Estadual Ana Julia de Carvalho Mousinho, as redes são mais densas. A associação entre redes pessoais e desempenho nesses dois contextos tambem apresentou diferenciação, pois na Escola Estadual Santos Dumont, a densidade exerce efeito negativo sobre as notas de Português, e os cliques exercem efeito negativo sobre as notas de Matemática. Na Escola Estadual Ana Julia, a associaçaõ entre redes pessoais e desemepenho não apresentou significância estatísitica suficiente, sendo necessário a inclussão de outras variáveis explicativas no modelo de análise dessa escola. Dessa forma, conclui-se que os resultados por si só, já demonstraram a existência de diferenças na relação entre redes pessoais e desempenho escolar, nos contextos espaciais analisados.

8
  • WILMARA MARTINS DA COSTA
  • ANÁLISE DAS RELAÇÕES PESSOAIS E DA RELAÇÃO COM O SABER NA ESCOLA PÚBLICA: INVESTIGAÇÃO NA ESCOLA ESTADUAL PROFESSORA JUDITH BEZERRA DE MELO

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • WEBER SOARES
  • Data: 15-may-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Este trabalho propõe-se a estudar o contexto educacional sob a perspectiva de investigação da Análise de Redes Sociais, no sentido de analisar estrutura relacional das redes pessoais dos alunos da 2ª série do Ensino Médio na Escola Estadual Professora Judith Bezerra de Melo, em termos de apoio e transição de informação e seus efeitos no processo de aprendizagem. O objetivo geral deste estudo é investigar os efeitos das redes de relações pessoais na formação de capital social, bem como, a influência desse na aprendizagem do aluno no âmbito escolar. Nesse sentido, o estudo trás reflexões sobre o contexto social, as estruturas das redes em que estão inseridos esses alunos e os efeitos destas no seu comportamento individual, pois se mostram como aspectos importantes para compreender o campo de relações ao qual estão expostos, podendo trazer elementos que expliquem a sua condição educacional recente. Foram analisadas as estruturas das redes dos alunos e um conjunto de fatores associados à aprendizagem, a fim de descrever como o capital social presente nas relações possibilita ou bloqueia o processo de aprendizagem dos conteúdos escolares. Diante disso, parte-se da hipótese de que, a desigualdade, em termos da distribuição de capital social presente nas relações pessoais, tende a ser um dos fatores explicativos para compreender as dificuldades referentes ao processo de aprendizagem dos alunos no ambiente da escola. Como método de investigação das relações estabelecidas pelos indivíduos estudados, foi utilizado o aporte teórico e metodológico da Análise de Redes Sociais, no sentido de investigar o aspecto estrutural das redes individuais e ao explorar o potencial explicativo destas redes e do capital social que surge da sua disposição estrutural na análise da aprendizagem do aluno. Foi realizado o estudo de caso para explorar em profundidade os aspectos relevantes ao problema da pesquisa dentro de um período de tempo limitado, que abrange o ano de 2014. Para o levantamento do campo de relações foi solicitado a cada aluno que indicasse outras pessoas para compor a sua rede, tanto ao qualificar a relação em referente ao tipo e ao grau de relacionamento com esses contatos como também a relação entre eles, o questionário utilizado nessa fase foi classificado como gerador de nomes, tal instrumento serviu de base para a construção da matriz relacional e dos grafos utilizados na análise dos dados. Além de responder um bloco de questões sociodemográficas que serviram para gerar atributos, caracterizar a estrutura de relações e para construção das variáveis relacionadas com a aprendizagem. Com essa discussão, percebe-se que a Análise de Redes Sociais é uma ferramenta significante para compreender as estruturas relacionais e que apesar da abstração do conceito de aprendizagem foi observado que o capital social tem influencia relativamente baixa sobre ela, porém deve-se destacar que o tamanho da amostra é pequeno o que limitaria os resultados encontrados.

9
  • MARIA DE JESUS XAVIER AGUIRRE
  • PERFIL DA EDUCAÇÃO ALIMENTAR E NUTRICIONAL NO CONSUMO DA POPULAÇÃO BRASILEIRA DE 10 A 19 ANOS

  • Líder : MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • GARDÊNIA ABREU VIEIRA FONTES
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • ROBERTO DO NASCIMENTO RODRIGUES
  • Data: 29-may-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Os adolescentes constituem um grupo exposto ao risco nutricional, devido aos seus hábitos alimentares. Frequentemente omitem refeições, como o desjejum, ou substituem refeições, tal como, o almoço por lanches, além de consumirem, com elevada frequência, grande quantidade de refrigerantes. A elevada ingestão de alimentos calóricos e industrializados de valor nutricional reduzido, merece destaque, pois tal consumo tem sido relacionado à obesidade não somente em razão do volume de alimentos, mas também devido à composição e à qualidade da dieta. Esse tipo de mudanças dietéticas de ordem qualitativa e quantitativa observadas em todas as regiões do Brasil, bem como nas diversas partes do mundo, caracterizam a Transição Nutricional que não corresponde apenas a simples mudanças nos padrões alimentares, mas são resultados de processos socioculturais, econômicos, individuais e comportamentais. Nesse sentido, o objetivo da presente dissertação é determinar o perfil da Educação Alimentar e Nutricional da população brasileira na faixa etária de 10 a 19 anos, através de uma diversidade de alimentos de consumo. A fonte básica de informação para a análise do presente trabalho foi a Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares – POF 2009. O instrumental metodológico utilizado para a operacionalização dos perfis socioeconômicos foi o método Grade of Membership – GoM. A tipologia do consumo alimentar gerou três perfis extremos, o perfil extremo 1 (9,7%) ( educação alimentar e nutricional deficitária por excesso dietético) caracterizou-se pelo estado nutricional de sobrepeso ou obesidade, por fazerem suas refeições fora de casa com um cardápio bastante diversificado. Perfil 2 (16,1%) (educação alimentar e nutricional deficitária pelo excesso ou insuficiência dietética) sem definição com relação ao local de consumo de alimentos e com um cardápio composto por carboidratos, proteínas vegetal e animal. As características que predominam no Perfil Extremo 3 (3.6%) (educação alimentar e nutricional deficitária por insuficiência dietética), com estado nutricional de baixo peso; sem definição do local de consumo dos alimentos, fazem suas refeições com um cardápio pouco variado. Os resultados encontrados revelam o tipo de alimentos consumidos pelos adolescentes com estado nutricional de baixo peso e sobrepeso/obesidade. Além disso, constatou-se que os perfis de consumo alimentar mais prevalentes entre os adolescentes são caracterizados por consumirem uma dieta de baixa qualidade, reduzida em fibras e minerais, de alto teor energético e por apresentarem um estado nutricional de sobrepeso/obesidade.

10
  • MARIA SOLEDAD JAIMES MANCILLA
  • Determinantes ambientais na incidência da diarreia em crianças menores de cinco anos em La Paz - Bolívia

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • CEZAR AUGUSTO CERQUEIRA
  • Data: 07-jul-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O ambiente tem um papel importante no processo saúde-doença, causando impactos de forma direta ou indireta. As diarreias como segunda causa de morte ao nível mundial não escapam aos impactos ambientais, sendo influenciadas em grande medida pela variabilidade dos fatores climatológicos que favorecem o aumento de casos por esta patologia. A Bolívia não foge desta realidade por ser um país com os mais elevados indicadores de morbimortalidade no referente às doenças diarreicas dentro dos países latino americanos. O objetivo do presente trabalho é determinar a influência do meio ambiente, especialmente dos determinantes físicos ambientais como a temperatura, precipitação e umidade, na ocorrência das diarreias em crianças menores de cinco anos, considerando as diferenças climáticas e de altitude das regiões Amazônica e Altiplânica de La Paz-Bolívia, no período de 2007 a 2012. A informação para o presente estudo foi coletada de três fontes: 1) Parâmetros meteorológicos físicos (temperatura média, precipitação total acumulada e umidade relativa média) do Serviço Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Bolívia (SENAMHI-Bolívia), 2) Notificações semanais de doenças diarreicas de crianças menores de 1 ano e crianças de 1 a 4 anos cumpridos, obtidos do Sistema Nacional de Informação em Saúde e Vigilância Epidemiológica (SNIS-VE) do Ministério de Saúde da Bolívia e 3) Informação dos CENSOS 2001 e 2012 da Bolívia, referente à população menor de 5 anos de 85 municípios do La Paz, obtida do Instituto Nacional de Estatística de Bolívia (INE-Bolívia). Com a informação configurada por mês, foram obtidas as taxas de incidência diarreica por município e ajustadas pelo método Bayesiano Empírico, permitindo a suavização espacial do padrão diarreico. Mediante os diagramas de controle foram determinados os níveis endêmicos próprios para La Paz. Foi explorada a dependência espacial da incidência diarreica por meio do índice de autocorrelação espacial de Moran. Os dados mostraram uma maior incidência diarreica em crianças menores de 1 ano (86,48) em relação às crianças de 1 a 4 anos (34.52), considerando taxas por 1000 crianças segundo o grupo etário. Taxas elevadas quando são comparadas com as taxas de incidência diarreica das cidades de La Paz e El Alto (10 diarreias por 1000 crianças). Mediante gráficos de séries de tempo e modelos de regressão linear observou-se uma variabilidade da incidência diarreica que pode ser explicada de 35% a 47% pela temperatura média. Os mapas mostraram uma maior incidência na região Amazônica no inverno, com uma forte correlação entre os vizinhos próximos. A utilização da análise espacial mostrou-se útil para o estudo da relação espacial e comportamento da doença diarreica. Abordar essas lacunas é de primordial importância no que se refere às políticas públicas, onde haja a necessidade de intervenção das esferas governamentais, a fim de identificar e minimizar o impacto negativo das alterações climáticas em áreas afetadas.

11
  • ELIANA MESQUITA DA SILVA
  • Envelhecimento nas capitais do Nordeste e mortalidade de idosos por doenças crônicas no município de Natal em 2010: fatores socioeconômicos e demográficos.

  • Líder : LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • ALEXANDRE SOUSA DA SILVA
  • Data: 28-ago-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • No contexto do enfrentamento das consequências da transição demográfica, o envelhecimento populacional se caracteriza como um importante desafio para a sociedade brasileira. Nesse sentido, este estudo foi desenvolvido em dois objetivos principais. No primeiro artigo, foram empregadas variáveis de contextos socioeconômicos e demográficos para a identificação de perfis multidimensionais dos idosos residentes nas capitais do Nordeste, a partir de indicadores específicos provenientes das informações do Censo Demográfico 2010. Para tanto, foi utilizado o método Grade of Membership (GoM), cujo delineamento de perfis admite que um indivíduo pertença a diferentes graus de pertinência a múltiplos perfis, de modo a identificar fatores socioeconômicos e demográficos associados às condições de vida dos idosos das capitais nordestinas, e mostrar diferenças na combinação entre eles. Os principais resultados mostram a formação de três perfis extremos: Perfil 1(35,5%), Perfil 2 (24,8%) e Perfil 3 (29,7%). De modo geral, os resultados apontam para perfis com condições de vida precárias que são expressos principalmente pelos baixos níveis de escolaridade e pela renda mensal domiciliar per capita. O segundo artigo analisou relação entre a mortalidade por doenças crônicas (Neoplasias, Doenças Hipertensivas, Infarto Agudo do Miocárdio, Doenças Cerebrovasculares, Pneumonia e Doenças Crônicas das vias Áreas Inferiores) na população de idosos, dos 137 bairros de Natal, desagregados por faixas etárias decenais (60 a 69 anos, 70 a 79 anos e 80 anos e mais), e indicadores socioeconômicos. Foram utilizados os microdados do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade (SIM), disponibilizados pela Secretaria de Saúde de Natal, e as informações populacionais são provenientes do Censo Demográfico 2010. O método utilizado refere-se à lógica de vizinhança do Índice Global e Local (LISA) de Moran, cuja espacialização a partir dos mapas coropléticos permitiu analisar a mortalidade dos idosos por bairros, segundo indicadores socioeconômicos e demográficos, de acordo com a presença de significância espacial. Os resultados mostram maior proporção de idosos concentrada nos bairros de melhor condição socioeconômica, como Petrópolis e Lagoa Seca. As taxas de mortalidade, segundo as causas de morte e padronizadas pelo Método Bayesiano Empírico, distribuíram-se localmente da seguinte forma: Neoplasias (Santos Reis, Nova Descoberta, Cidade Nova, Capim Macio e Ponta Negra); Doenças Hipertensivas (Lagoa Azul, Potengi, Redinha, Santos Reis, Ribeira, Lagoa Nova, Capim Macio, Neópolis e Ponta Negra); Infarto Agudo do Miocárdio (Nordeste, Guarapés e Capim Macio); Doenças Cerebrovasculares (Petrópolis e Mãe Luíza); Pneumonia (Ribeira, Praia do Meio, Nova Descoberta, Capim Macio e Ponta Negra); Doenças Crônicas das Vias Aéreas Inferiores (Igapó, Nordeste e Quintas). Os achados presentes no trabalho poderão contribuir para outros estudos sobre o tema e fomento de políticas específicas para os idosos.

12
  • MARIO VINICIUS DE LIMA PEREIRA
  • INCAPACIDADE MOTORA DOS IDOSOS: uma análise sobre os seus diferentes aspectos sociodemográficos no Nordeste Brasileiro.

  • Líder : MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • ROBERTO DO NASCIMENTO RODRIGUES
  • Data: 19-oct-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Com o envelhecimento da estrutura populacional do Brasil gerado pelos efeitos da Transição Demográfica que vem ocorrendo no país, faz-se importante conhecer os aspectos sociodemográficos da população idosa que terá, cada vez mais, maior expressividade na população, e que, possuindo algum nível de deficiência motora, exigirá mais recursos e serviços de saúde, moradia, emprego e outros, específicos para esta idade peculiar. O nordeste Brasileiro, em particular, é a região com a maior taxa de idosos com alguma deficiência motora. Dessa forma, a análise do perfil sociodemográfico desses idosos no Nordeste em 2010, constitui-se em referência importante para definição de políticas públicas votadas para essa parcela da população. Neste trabalho, apresenta-se uma análise descritiva de dados do Censo Demográfico Brasileiro de 2010, do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE), com vistas a analisar o perfil sociodemográfico dos idosos com deficiência ou incapacidade motora na região Nordeste do Brasil. A amostra foi constituída de idosos com 60 anos ou mais de idade residentes na região, que representa 26,48% da população brasileira de idosos. A variável dependente utilizada na análise relaciona-se à deficiência motora, mensurada pela dificuldade ou impossibilidade em caminhar ou subir degraus, enquanto as variáveis independentes estão relacionadas à características individuais e domiciliares, respectivamente, demografia, socioeconomia, emprego e, tipos de domicílios, localização e dependências. A partir de análises estatísticas determinou-se as correlações entre algumas variáveis específicas para o nordeste brasileiro e seus efeitos na deficiência motora dos idosos. Foram também analisadas as razões de chances para a deficiência motora nesta população alvo. Os resultados mostraram que, em nível individual, o sexo, estado civil, a renda, o nível de instrução foram os fatores mais fortemente relacionados com idosos com alguma deficiência motora, enquanto que, em nível domiciliar, o número de banheiros, espécie de domicilio, situação de domicílio e densidade morador/domicílio, exibiram uma importante correlação com a variável dependente. Os resultados mostram, sem sombra de dúvida, que a adoção de políticas públicas voltadas à assistência ao idoso de modo a auxiliá-los a superar as dificuldades associadas à deficiência motora, podem cooperar significativamente para seu bem-estar e, consequentemente, para a melhoria da sua qualidade de vida.

13
  • THIAGO ANTÔNIO RAULINO DO NASCIMENTO
  • Hábitos saudáveis relacionados à boca: um estudo sociodemográfico a partir da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde 2013,

  • Líder : LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • KARINA CARDOSO MEIRA
  • FLAVIA CHRISTIANE DE AZEVEDO MACHADO
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • GEOVANE DA CONCEIÇÃO MÁXIMO
  • Data: 29-dic-2015


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O importante processo de envelhecimento que vem ocorrendo no Brasil repercute no perfil epidemiológico da população e de maneira análoga no perfil de adoecimento bucal dos indivíduos, onde se constata uma diminuição na prevalência de cárie dentária, diminuição do edentulismo e aumento de doença periodontal entre os grupos etários adultos. Os principais agravos bucais em todo o mundo estão associados ao acúmulo de placa dental bacteriana, e esta condição, entre outros fatores, são fortemente influenciados pelo estilo de vida, comportamento e hábito de cuidado do indivíduo. Por isso, um crescente interesse na avaliação de comportamentos e hábitos individuais surge na atualidade como uma maneira de tornar possível identificar os ganhos em saúde a partir da via da prevenção. Como fator determinante da qualidade de vida, a saúde bucal se insere neste contexto de ganho de saúde a partir da prevenção graças a seu impacto no estado de saúde geral dos indivíduos, e a sua participação em funções vitais como: respirar, falar, beijar, sorrir, sentir gosto, mastigar e engolir. Nesse sentido, um padrão de cuidado satisfatório da saúde dos dentes é a chave para prevenção direta de inflamação gengival, de periodontite, de perda dentária e da halitose, e indireta, de alterações oclusais, possíveis problemas articulares e câncer bucal. As medidas disponíveis para uma melhor higiene da boca, além da adoção de hábitos alimentares e de estilos de vida adequados são eficazes na promoção da saúde oral. No entanto, a adesão a um determinado padrão de cuidado não se processa da mesma forma nos diferentes ciclos de vida e por isso a necessidade de se conhecer o comportamento dos hábitos relacionados à saúde da boca entre os grupos etários, a partir de diferentes desfechos, demográficos (como sexo, raça/cor) e socioeconômicos. Nesta perspectiva, o objetivo central deste trabalho foi conhecer, entre os brasileiros acima de 18 anos, como se processam Hábitos Saudáveis relacionados à boca, por meio de uma medida síntese; e os intermediários foram: investigar Hábitos Saudáveis relacionados à boca (HSBo) nos ciclos de vida e quais os principais fatores associados. Utilizou-se os dados do módulo especifico de saúde bucal provenientes da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde 2013, realizada pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística em parceria com o Ministério da Saúde. Como recurso metodológico, analises descritivas das variáveis foram realizadas e, através da Teoria de resposta ao Item, foi construída uma medida síntese com significado relativo aos 'Hábitos Saudáveis relacionados à boca'. Os resultados apontam mulheres como mais adeptas aos hábitos saudáveis de impacto bucal, e a perda de adesão aos cuidados bucais, especificamente higiene bucal, nos grupos etários de idade mais avançada. No geral a maioria dos brasileiros possuem hábitos saudáveis em relação à boca.

2014
Disertaciones
1
  • POLLYANNE EVANGELISTA DA SILVA
  • ÍNDICE EPIDEMIOLÓGICO DE VULNERABILIDADE AOS EXTREMOS DE SECA: UMA APLICAÇÃO PARA O ESTADO DO RIO GRANDE DO NORTE, 2000 e 2010.

  • Líder : MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • PAULO SERGIO LUCIO
  • CLAUDIO MOISES SANTOS E SILVA
  • JOSEMIR ARAÚJO NEVES
  • KENYA VALERIA MICAELA DE SOUZA NORONHA
  • Data: 30-jun-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Os impactos das mudanças climáticas no Brasil tendem a ser mais graves na região Nordeste, mais atingida pelos impactos da seca e com perspectivas de presenciar cenários ainda piores ocasionados pelo aumento da temperatura, pela diminuição das chuvas na região e com a ação antropogênica. Um dos principais efeitos da seca reflete-se sobre o estado de saúde da população, principalmente das populações mais pobres e frágeis, as crianças e os idosos. O objetivo deste estudo é construir um indicador epidemiológico de vulnerabilidade à seca, como também propor uma nova metodologia de cálculo do indicador levando-se em consideração os aspectos socioepidemiológicos e hospitalares. Outro objetivo consistiu em é mapear e classificar as microrregiões do Rio Grande do Norte (RN) segundo as características do risco, susceptibilidade e capacidade adaptativa utilizando análise de agrupamento, com base nas estimativas dos indicadores epidemiológicos de vulnerabilidade à seca. Para criação do indicador, utilizaram-se variáveis climáticas, sociais, demográficas, hospitalares e a morbi-mortalidade das microrregiões e a metodologia da análise de componentes principais (ACP) para a atribuição de pesos aos componentes da vulnerabilidade: risco, susceptibilidade e capacidade adaptativa. Para a análise, compreensão e identificação das áreas vulneráveis, utilizaram-se as metodologias estatísticas, tais como: análise de agrupamento, teste t pareado e espaço-temporal. Os resultados mostraram que microrregiões como Pau dos Ferros, Umarizal e Seridó Oriental e Ocidental foram as que apresentaram maiores IEVS e também as que apresentaram maior risco à seca, ou seja, menores índices de precipitação. Em contrapartida, Natal apresentou o menor risco à seca (0,00) e a melhor capacidade adaptativa (0,96), no entanto, atenção deve ser dada ao aumento significativo das taxas de mortalidade por doenças do aparelho respiratório e do coração. Este estudo possibilitou identificar as microrregiões do estado do RN mais vulneráveis à seca com prioridade de elaboração de ações públicas que mitiguem os impactos na saúde pública.

2
  • INGRID FREITAS DA SILVA PEREIRA
  • UM RETRATO DO ESTADO NUTRICIONAL DE CRIANÇAS MENORES DE 5 ANOS E IDOSOS: DIFERENCIAIS REGIONAIS, SOCIAIS E DEMOGRÁFICOS, BRASIL, 2009

  • Líder : MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • CLELIA DE OLIVEIRA LYRA
  • GILBERTO KAC
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • Data: 29-jul-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Este estudo teve por objetivo diagnosticar padrões de estado nutricional de crianças menores de 5 anos e idosos no Brasil no ano de 2009, bem como caracterizar este perfil nutricional segundo possíveis diferenciais sociais, demográficos e regionais. Realizou-se um estudo transversal descritivo de base populacional a partir de dados da Pesquisa de Orçamento Familiar (POF- 2008/2009) avaliando crianças menores de 5 anos de idade (n=14.569), foco do primeiro artigo, e indivíduos com idade igual ou superior a 60 anos (n=20.114), no segundo artigo. Para as crianças, o estado nutricional foi classificado segundo os índices Peso-para-idade, Estatura-para-idade e Peso-para-estatura e para os idosos, segundo o Índice de Massa Corporal (IMC). Para verificar a associação entre variáveis sociais e demográficas com o estado nutricional das crianças utilizou-se o teste de associação de Pearson, regressões logísticas e análises de correspondência. As associações entre o estado nutricional dos idosos e as variáveis sociais e demográficas foram testadas a partir do teste de associação de Pearson e de modelos lineares multiníveis. Realizou-se ainda uma análise de comparação das médias de IMC entre as macrorregiões e Unidades da Federação a partir de testes de ANOVA e Tukey. Considerou-se o nível de significância de 5% para todos os testes. Os resultados mostraram maiores prevalências de déficit nutricionais em crianças oriundas das regiões Norte e Nordeste, pertencentes às famílias com menores níveis de renda per capita (até ¼ de salário mínimo e de ¼ a ½ salário mínimo) e de cor/raça preta e indígena. Já o sobrepeso demonstrou maior associação às crianças das regiões Sul, Sudeste e Centro-Oeste, do sexo masculino, residentes no estrato urbano do país, de cor/raça branca e pertencentes às famílias com faixas de renda per capita intermediárias (1/2 a 1 salário mínino e de 1 a 5 salários mínimos). Observaram-se maiores prevalências de déficit ponderal em idosos do sexo masculino, cor/raça amarela e preta, longevos (80 anos e mais), com renda per capita de até ¼ de salário mínimo, com menores níveis de instrução, residentes no estrato rural e nas regiões Nordeste e Centro-Oeste e em idosos que declararam morar sozinhos. Com relação à ocorrência de obesidade, esta se mostrou mais prevalente em idosos do sexo feminino, mais jovens (60 a 69 anos), com as maiores faixas de renda per capita, residentes nas regiões Sul e Sudeste, nos estratos urbanos e naqueles que residiam sozinhos. Sugere-se a continuidade do monitoramento e do estudo dos condicionantes do estado nutricional de crianças e idosos visando estabelecer estratégias de intervenção adequadas e específicas aos grupos populacionais mais vulneráveis ao risco nutricional.

     

3
  • THIAGO DE MEDEIROS DANTAS
  • Mortalidade segundo sua causa de morte e seus determinantes: uma análise para as capitais do Brasil e municípios do Nordeste, 2000 e 2010.

  • Líder : LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • LUIS PATRICIO ORTIZ FLORES
  • MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • Data: 31-jul-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Esta dissertação foi desenvolvida considerando a elaboração de dois artigos científicos, ambos relacionados à temática da mortalidade no Brasil. O primeiro artigo produzido “O contexto da mortalidade segundo os três grandes grupos de causas de morte nas capitais brasileiras, 2000 e 2010” objetivou analisar a mortalidade segundo os três grandes grupos de causa de morte nas capitais brasileiras em 2000 e 2010. No segundo artigo “Tipologia e características da mortalidade por causas externas nos municípios da Região Nordeste do Brasil, 2000 e 2010” foi construído uma tipologia para os municípios nordestinos levando em conta informações sobre mortalidade por causas externas e um conjunto de indicadores relacionados aos aspectos socioeconômicos, demográficos e de infraestrutura de tais municípios para os anos de 2000 e 2010. Utilizaram-se os dados do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade do Ministério da Saúde. Ademais, fez-se uso das informações dos Censos Demográficos de 2000 e 2010. As variáveis referentes às condições socioeconômicas e demográficas usadas neste trabalho foram àquelas disponíveis na home-page do Programa das Nações Unidas para o Desenvolvimento. Como procedimentos metodológicos no Artigo 1 utilizou-se do método de Ledermann (1955) que realiza uma redistribuição dos óbitos por causas mal definidas. Ademais, fez uso da técnica do calculo da razão de chance que objetiva obter a razão entre a chance de um evento ocorrer em um grupo de causa de morte e a chance de ocorrer em outro grupo. Para o desenvolvimento do Artigo 2, as metodologias empregadas foram a técnica de estimação Bayesiana Empírica, as técnicas de estatística espacial e, por fim, utilizou-se método Grade of Membership para encontrar tipologias dos municípios a partir de informações sobre mortalidade por causas externas associadas às variáveis socioeconômicas, demográficas e de infraestrutura. Quanto aos principais resultados do Artigo 1, destaca-se que em relação a qualidade dos dados, observou-se a redução dos óbitos que tiveram suas causas notificadas como “mal definidas” entre os anos em análise, principalmente nas capitais situadas nas regiões Norte e Nordeste. Com relação ao comportamento da mortalidade segundo os três grandes grupos de causa de morte, notou-se tanto para 2000 como para 2010 a prevalência dos óbitos por doenças não transmissíveis para ambos os sexos, apesar de ter sido identificado a redução em algumas das capitais. As doenças transmissíveis destacaram-se como a segunda causa de morte entre as mulheres. Também, foi possível verificar que os óbitos por causas externas são responsáveis pela segunda causa de morte entre os homens, além de apresentar um aumento entre as mulheres. Dentre os resultados do Artigo 2, destaca-se, em linhas gerais, não só uma ampliação das taxas de mortalidade por causas externas nos municípios, como também, uma ampliação da mancha configuradora de existência de mortes por causas externas para toda a área da região Nordeste. Quanto à tipologia dos municípios foram construídos três perfis extremos, o Perfil 1 que congrega municípios com altas taxas de mortalidade por causas externas e os melhores indicadores sociais. Os municípios que compõem o Perfil 2 se caracterizam por apresentar reduzidas taxas de mortalidade por causas externas e os mais baixos indicadores sociais. O Perfil 3 agrupa municípios com intermediárias taxas de mortalidade e valores considerados medianos em relação aos indicadores sociais. Embora não tenha se verificado mudanças nas características dos perfis, todavia foi possível visualizar o aumento da proporção dos municípios que pertencem ao Perfil extremo 3, levando em consideração os perfis mistos.

4
  • LARIÇA EMILIANO DA SILVA
  • DIFERENCIAIS DE MORTALIDADE ADULTA POR NÍVEL DE ESCOLARIDADE NO BRASIL E REGIÕES.

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • MARÍLIA MIRANDA FORTE GOMES
  • Data: 31-jul-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O estudo da mortalidade pelos mais variados diferenciais é uma ferramenta
    importante para orientar políticas de pública de saúde, pelo fato de melhor descrever os
    eventos de mortes de uma população. Essa pesquisa tem como principal objetivo buscar
    as disparidades da mortalidade segundo o nível de escolaridade, sexo e idade adulta nas
    grandes Regiões brasileiras e consequentemente para o Brasil como um todo. Uma vasta
    literatura mostra que pessoas com nível educacional mais elevado tende a possuir menor
    risco de morte (Muller, 2002; Brown et al 2012; Caldwell ,1979; Monteiro,1990; Santos
    e Noronha, 2001; Cordeiro, 2001). Estudos sobre as desigualdades da mortalidade por
    nível de instrução no Brasil ainda são bem específicos, é o caso de Cordeiro (2001), que
    estuda a mortalidade dos trabalhadores intelectuais e braçais de Botucatu-SP; Pérez
    (2010) que se detém apenas para mortalidade adulta feminina por nível de escolaridade;
    Fernandes (1984) estuda a mortalidade em regiões metropolitanas e não metropolitanas
    do Brasil, segundo a escolaridade das mães. Segundo Pérez e Turra (2008) ainda se sabe
    muito pouco sobre a mortalidade no Brasil segundo o nível educacional, devido a falta
    de informações sobre a escolaridade bem preenchidas nos registros de óbitos oriundos
    do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade do Ministério da Saúde (SIM). Esta fonte de
    dados tem apresentado melhora na cobertura das sub notificações na ultima década,
    todavia, ainda percebe-se negligência no preenchimento do quesito de escolaridade do
    óbito (cerca de 30% dos registros de óbitos no ano de 2010 para o Brasil, foram feitos
    sem a informação de escolaridade do falecido). Diante deste cenário, esse trabalho vem
    contribuir para a literatura nacional, a respeito do comportamento dos diferenciais de
    mortalidade adulta tendo como proposta, utilizar os dados do novo quesito de
    mortalidade do Censo Demográfico 2010 (CD 2010), assumindo as características de
    escolaridade do responsável pelo domicílio para os óbitos ocorridos no mesmo. Logo,
    considera-se que a probabilidade de morte é homogenia dentro do domicílio. Os eventos
    de óbitos foram corrigidos para os registros oriundos de domicílios onde o responsável
    possuía nível de escolaridade abaixo de ensino médio completo através do método
    Gerações Extintas Ajustado (GE-Aj). Com os óbitos já corrigidos, foram calculadas
    tábuas de vida por sexo e nível de instrução para todas as regiões do Brasil. Os
    resultados encontrados corroboram com a literatura, quanto mais escolarizada é a
    população, maior a expectativa de vida. Em todas as regiões brasileiras a expectativa de
    vida da população feminina é maior do que a masculina em todos os níveis de
    escolaridade. No que se refere às probabilidades de morte por idade, nas idades entre 15 e 60 anos as maiores probabilidades seguem um gradiente, maior probabilidade para os menos escolarizados. Nas idades mais avançadas (a partir de 70 anos) esse comportamento apresenta outro padrão, o nível de escolaridade mais baixo, sem instrução ou ensino fundamental incompleto, apresenta as menores probabilidades nas Regiões, Norte, Nordeste, Sul e Centro Oeste com exceção da região Sudeste. 



5
  • IZABELLY CRISTINA MENDES TINÔCO
  •  

    DOIS ESTUDOS REGIONAIS SOBRE PERFIS POPULACIONAIS: TIPOLOGIA SOCIODEMOGRÁFICA E ÍNDICE SOCIOECONÔMICO DE VULNERABILIDADE À SECA

  • Líder : PAULO SERGIO LUCIO
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • PAULO SERGIO LUCIO
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • ROSANE RODRIGUES CHAVES
  • HUMBERTO ALVES BARBOSA
  • Data: 15-ago-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • As mudanças climáticas podem ocasionar grandes consequências junto à população no que tange aos aspectos demográficos e socioeconômicos. Os extremos climáticos, tais  como: enchentes, secas e desastres naturais, ocorridos nos últimos anos têm contribuído para prejuízos e danos à população. A utilização de indicadores de vulnerabilidade socioeconômica e demográfica corrobora para auxiliar na identificação das áreas ou grupos populacionais mais susceptíveis ao risco dos impactos da seca. Sendo assim, este estudo tem como objetivo construir um indicador socioeconômico de vulnerabilidade à seca para as microrregiões do Rio Grande do Norte (RN) como também identificar a tipologia da vulnerabilidade sociodemográfica dos municípios que compõe a Região do Semiárido do Brasil. Como estratégia metodológica, inicialmente,  utilizou-se o método Grade of Membership com intuito de traçar uma tipologia sóciodemográfica dos municípios do Semiárido do  Brasil. Para a construção do Indicador Socioeconômico de Vulnerabilidade à Seca (ISEVS), utilizou-se análise de componentes principais (ACP) considerando diversas variáveis socioeconômicas e demográficas. Para a tipologia o número de perfis é foram definidos 3 perfis, por ser bastante satisfatório na interpretação dos grupos. Os resultados mostraram em relação à tipologia sociodemográfica nos municípios considerados no estudo que aqueles localizados nos estados da Bahia, Piauí e Alagoas apresentam características mais alarmantes de alta vulnerabilidade, os municípios que se encontram sesse perfil encontram-se nessa situação uma vez que apresentam baixas condições sociodemográficas. A respeito dos resultados referentes ao ISEVS, percebeu-se que as microrregiões do Médio Oeste, Seridó Ocidental e Litoral Nordeste apresentaram os mais elevados valores dos indicadores socioeconômicos de vulnerabilidade à seca em 2000. Em contrapartida, para o segundo momento considerado no estudo, 2010, Angicos, Seridó Ocidental, Baixa Verde e Litoral Nordeste foram as microrregiões com altos valores de ISEVS. Ressalta-se que a microrregião de Natal apresentou o menor ISEVS para os dois anos de estudo 0,18 e 0,46  em 2000 e 2010 respectivamente. Assim, pode-se concluir que tal microrregião apresentou o  menor risco à seca, susceptibilidade baixa e uma boa capacidade adaptativa. Este estudo possibilitou identificar uma tipologia da vulnerabilidade sociodemográfica para região semiárida do Brasil, como também construir um indicador ISEVS para as microrregiões do estado do RN, a fim, de subsidiar os gestores públicos para mitigação dos impactos da seca.

6
  • JOSENILDO EUGÊNIO DA SILVA
  • HIV/AIDS: Um Perfil Epidemiológico do vírus e uma análise das práticas seguras, conhecimento e percepção de mulheres.

  • Líder : MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • IDEMAURO ANTONIO RODRIGUES DE LARA
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • NILMA DIAS LEAO COSTA
  • PAULO SERGIO LUCIO
  • Data: 05-sep-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O debate em torno do acometimento do vírus HIV/AIDS passou por grandes transformações, no início, as campanhas de prevenção focavam os grupos de risco, depois, comportamentos de risco e, por fim, vulnerabilidade. Ademais, ao longo dos anos, dimensões da AIDS foram surgindo no meio social são estas: interiorização, heterossexualização, pauperização e feminização. Com base nesses contextos, a composição deste estudo compreende dois artigos: o primeiro tem como objetivo geral analisar o perfil epidemiológico e a incidência do vírus HIV/AIDS nas regiões brasileiras, no período de 1980 a 2012 e o segundo artigo tem o intuito de averiguar se há relação entre práticas seguras, conhecimento e percepção das mulheres residentes nas capitais de Manaus e Boa Vista sobre a infecção sobre vírus HIV/AIDS. No Artigo 1, utilizaram-se informações do Departamento de Informática do Sistema Único de Saúde (DATASUS), como fonte de dados. Desenvolveu-se uma análise exploratória e espacial das taxas de incidência e proporção relativa dos casos notificados. No Artigo 2, utilizou-se como fonte de dados a Pesquisa “Avaliando o processo de difusão epidêmica e espacial do HIV/AIDS nas Unidades Federadas da Região Norte do Brasil”, ano 2008. Aplicaram-se técnicas estatísticas de Análise de Agrupamento, ANOVA, Qui-Quadrado, Tukey e Regressão Logística. Verificou-se que, nas Regiões Brasileiras, a predominância de casos notificados ocorreu entre os heterossexuais, em homens, em idade entre 20-60 anos e residentes em Regiões Metropolitanas. Captou-se correlação espacial significativa da taxa de incidência do vírus HIV/AIDS. Constatou-se, por meio dos resultados do segundo artigo, que ter bom conhecimento e percepção sobre o vírus HIV/AIDS não implica, essencialmente, numa prática sexual segura. Estes resultados mostram a necessidade de políticas públicas voltadas à orientação da sociedade, com base em estratégias educacionais que visem tanto informações sobre o vírus e suas formas de prevenção, como também a conscientização da população para práticas sexuais seguras em relações estáveis ou não.

7
  • KARINE SYMONIR DE BRITO PESSOA
  • FATORES DE SUCESSO E/OU INSUCESSO: UMA ANÁLISE DA TRAJETÓRIA ENTRE O ENSINO MÉDIO E O ENSINO SUPERIOR.

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • BETANIA LEITE RAMALHO
  • ILONEIDE CARLOS DE OLIVEIRA RAMOS
  • CLAUDIA PEREIRA DE LIMA PARENTE
  • Data: 29-sep-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • A universidade pública é um sonho para muitos jovens. A transformação desse sonho em realidade pode ser sustentado por um conjunto de fatores intervenientes que interagem entre si. A análise dos fatores de sucesso e insucesso fornece elementos importantes para o desenvolvimento de estratégias e políticas públicas que otimizem o investimento em projetos, possibilitando uma melhor preparação para grupos mais vulneráveis como forma de proporcionar uma maior democratização do acesso à universidade pública. O presente estudo tem como tema a análise do sucesso e insucesso da trajetória dos candidatos ao Vestibular da UFRN. Para tanto, foram observadas as dimensões sociodemográfica, cultural e familiar, além da trajetória escolar e das expectativas quanto ao acesso ao Ensino Superior de 113.984 estudantes que buscaram a UFRN no período de 2010 a 2013. Para análise dessas dimensões, utilizou-se o teste de independência de qui-quadrado e o modelo linear generalizado: Regressão Logística. Os resultados encontrados apontam que todas as dimensões influenciam no sucesso desses estudantes. Dentre outras descobertas, constatou-se: a) homens têm mais chances de ter sucesso que mulheres; b) estudantes autodeclarados negros apresentam mais insucesso que outras etnias; C) alunos que estudaram em cursinhos preparatórios das redes públicas e privadas possuem chances semelhantes de sucesso se comparados com aqueles que não fizeram nenhum tipo de preparação; e d) Filhos de pais analfabetos apresentam maior sucesso no ingresso ao Ensino Superior quando comparados àqueles cujos genitores detém nível de escolaridade mais elevado.

8
  • TIÊ DIAS DE FARIAS COUTINHO
  • A DINÂMICA DO TRABALHO NO BRASIL SOB A ÓTICA DAS RELAÇÕES SOCIOECONÔMICAS E DEMOGRÁFICAS, 2000-2010

  • Líder : MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • NEIR ANTUNES PAES
  • ROGERIO PIRES DA CRUZ
  • Data: 31-oct-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo

  • O processo de desenvolvimento do Brasil tem como singularidade o fato de ter se processado num ambiente de profundas transformações demográficas econômicas e sociais. No âmbito da demografia a transição demográfica se deu de forma acelerada e concomitante à transição urbana provocando o surgimento de grandes polos urbanos em torno das capitais, criando o que se chamou de Regiões Metropolitanas. Este processo se interiorizou e catapultou o Brasil para um país onde 84% de sua população reside em cidades de diferentes níveis de graduação na escala de urbanização. As consequências deste processo fez-se sentir em muitos setores da vida do país, com especial evidência na organização e estrutura do trabalho. Vale ressaltar, como decorrência direta da transição demográfica, o surgimento da “janela de oportunidades ou bônus demográfico”, que devidamente aproveitado poderá render benefícios gerais em todas as áreas para a população. A investigação encetada nesta dissertação tem como objetivo investigar, através do estudo das relações entre variáveis demográficas, econômicas e sociais no período de 2000 a 2010, como a dinâmica do trabalho no Brasil foi afetada. Dado que o Brasil possui municípios com dinâmicas urbanas e funcionalidades diferentes, adotou-se como critério para delimitar a espacialidade deste estudo três categorias de municípios que tivessem em comum uma taxa de urbanização igual ou superior a 70% e população total superior ou igual a 30 mil habitantes. Desta forma foram definidos os seguintes grupos: i) Grupo 1, municípios pertencentes às Regiões Metropolitanas cujo polo é a capital do estado; ii) Grupo 2, municípios de Regiões Metropolitanas e RIDES do interior dos estados iii) Grupo 3, demais municípios fora das classificações i) e ii). Para atingimento dos objetivos foi empreendida uma análise descritiva dos indicadores socioeconômicos comparativamente aos anos de 2000 e 2010 e entre os três grupos, enfatizando-se a relação entre sexo e idade. Ademais, estuda-se as relações entre a razão de dependência, a taxa de atividade, o percentual de trabalhadores com carteira assinada e a taxa de desocupação com indicadores sociais, econômicos e demográficos através de técnicas estatísticas de análise de regressão múltipla. Para tanto, fez-se uso das bases de micro dados dos Censos populacionais de 2000 e 2010 do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) e dos indicadores disponibilizados no Atlas do Desenvolvimento Humano 2013 do Programa das Nações Unidas (PNUD). De acordo com os resultados obtidos, os três grupos apresentam características populacionais semelhantes. A taxa de crescimento da população economicamente ativa foi em média 2,11% e o percentual de mulheres ocupadas aumentou significativamente em todos os espaços. As curvas das taxas de atividade apontam que a população entre 20 e 45 anos possuem as maiores taxas, destacando-se as taxas femininas, que aumentaram enquanto as masculinas permaneceram inalteradas. Por intermédio do teste de Kolmogorov-Smirnov foi possível constatar que o grupo de municípios metropolitanos do interior (Grupo 2) se diferenciou dos demais, e que o crescimento nas taxas das mulheres do mesmo grupo se apresentou significativamente (p-valor <0,05) diferentes. Através da estimação de uma série de modelos de regressão múltiplas nos quais as variáveis dependentes foram a taxa de dependência, a taxa de atividade, o percentual de trabalhadores com carteira assinada e a taxa de desocupação da população maior de 18 anos, mensurou-se os efeitos de um elenco de indicadores sobre estas variáveis. Em relação aos modelos que foram estimados, percebeu-se que o tamanho da população do município não tem influência em nenhuma das variáveis dependentes do estudo e que há significância do Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano nas variáveis dependentes. Observou-se, que há relação direta e significativa entre a taxa de atividade e a renda domiciliar per capta. Destaca-se, que quanto maior o percentual de trabalhadores com carteira assinada menor a desigualdade de renda. Essas informações podem servir como embasamento para estudos, pois fornecem subsídios e identificam algumas peculiaridades municipais da população brasileira ocupada e aponta para o investimento em políticas públicas voltadas a diminuição da desigualdade de renda e formalização do trabalho na intenção de melhorar os indicadores de desenvolvimento humano.

     

     

9
  • FELIPE HENRIQUE DE SOUZA
  • PADRÃO DA MORTALIDADE BRASILEIRA: ESTIMATIVAS A PARTIR DO NÍVEL MUNICIPAL

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • BERNARDO LANZA QUEIROZ
  • EVERTON EMANUEL CAMPOS DE LIMA
  • Data: 31-oct-2014


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Conhecer o nível e o padrão da mortalidade é importante para entender a dinâmica demográfica, bem como para planejar políticas públicas voltadas para a saúde e o bem estar da população. Umas das formas de obter informações sobre mortalidade é o Sistema de Informação sobre Mortalidade (SIM). Apesar de apresentar significativos avanços nos últimos anos, a qualidade do SIM, ainda impossibilita a utilização direta dos dados na geração de indicadores da mortalidade, o que gera a necessidade de utilização de métodos de correção de sub-registros. Os métodos, porém, em sua maioria não são adequados para corrigir os dados de óbitos de crianças e jovens, e nem de áreas pouco populosas. Diante dessa necessidade, este trabalho propõe estimar o nível e o padrão da mortalidade dos municípios brasileiros em 2010, através de duas abordagens para a correção de sub-registro. A primeira, que é aplicada a mortalidade jovem e adulta, combina o método de Gerações extintas ajustado, proposto por Hill, You e Choi (2009) com o estimador bayesiano empírico proposto por James Stein (Marshall, 1991). Na segunda abordagem metodológica, é utilizada a análise de regressão múltipla, com a finalidade de estimar as probabilidades da mortalidade infanto-juvenil (até 14 anos) por municípios, com bases nas probabilidades adultas já estimadas. Na busca de estimativas do nível e do padrão da mortalidade dos municípios brasileiros, estas metodologias foram aplicadas a todos os municípios brasileiros, para o ano de 2010, por faixa etária e sexo. O padrão espacial encontrado para a qualidade dos registros de óbitos, mostra que as regiões Sul e Sudeste têm os dados de mortalidade de melhor qualidade no país, enquanto que o Norte e o Nordeste têm as menores coberturas dos registros de óbitos. Independente do sexo, as probabilidades de morte infanto-juvenil mais altas, ocorrem nos municípios das regiões Norte e Nordeste, enquanto que na probabilidade de morte jovem e adulta (15 a 60 anos) os municípios com maior probabilidade são os das regiões Sul e Sudeste. As metodologias utilizadas neste trabalho sugerem uma divisão da mortalidade masculina brasileira em seis regiões com padrões de mortalidade diferentes, já para as mulheres é sugerido quatro padrões.

2013
Disertaciones
1
  • CRISTIANE ALESSANDRA DOMINGOS DE ARAUJO
  • CUIDADORES FORMAIS DE IDOSOS INSTITUCIONALIZADOS: UMA ANÁLISE SOBRE SUAS CARACTERÍSTICAS SOCIODEMOGRAFICAS E QUALIDADE DE VIDA NO MUNICIPIO DE NATAL/RN, 2012

  • Líder : LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • EULALIA MARIA CHAVES MAIA
  • KENYA VALERIA MICAELA DE SOUZA NORONHA
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • Data: 22-feb-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O envelhecimento populacional tem sido palco de diversos estudos na atualidade, devido seu impacto no âmbito político, previdenciário, econômico, social e cultural. O crescimento proporcional do segmento idoso a partir dos 60 anos, cada vez mais acentuado, trará demandas por serviços específicos, que considerem as limitações e vulnerabilidades desse público. Diante desse cenário, surge como uma opção de amparo e suporte ao idoso, um estabelecimento para assistência integral ou parcial a esse segmento populacional, dependentes ou não, sem condições familiares ou domiciliares ou sociais, as Instituições de Longa Permanência para Idosos – ILPI’s, e no ambiente delas o profissional responsável pelo cuidado direto – o cuidador formal de idosos (ARAUJO et al., 2010). Assim, este trabalho tem como objetivo caracterizar social, demográfica e economicamente o cuidador formal de idosos institucionalizado do município de Natal/RN, analisando os aspectos da qualidade de vida desses cuidadores. Ademais, pretende-se identificar os motivos pelos quais os cuidadores pensam em deixar esta ocupação, tendo como variáveis explicativas um conjunto de características socioeconômicas e demográficas, bem como, indicadores ligados qualidade de vida. Os dados utilizados foram provenientes da pesquisa: “Instituições de Longa Permanência para idosos: abandono ou. uma necessidade familiar?”. Essa pesquisa foi realizada em onze ILPI’s localizadas em Natal/RN. Como metodologia para tratamento dos dados, utilizaram-se Regressões Logísticas, Análise de Agrupamento e alguns Testes Estatísticos. Do total de 92 cuidadores formais, selecionados em todas as ILPI’s, depreende-se que a maioria foi de mulheres, com a escolaridade de ensino médio completo e mais, casados (as) ou unidos (as) ou alguma vez unido (a) e com renda familiar mensal inferior a três salários. Quanto à idade, tem-se que, a média foi de 37,4 anos, e o tempo médio de exercício da função de cuidador foi de 5,93 anos. As mulheres, os não-solteiros, os que fizeram curso para ser cuidador e a limitação por aspectos físicos (domínio da qualidade de vida) se mostraram relacionados ao pensamento de deixar de ser cuidador de idosos. Os cuidadores que pensam em deixar esta ocupação apresentam, nos domínios: limitação por aspectos físicos, vitalidade, aspectos sociais, limitação por aspectos emocioniais e saúde mental, valores menores do que os que não pensam em deixar esta ocupação, o que pode significar influência da sobrecarga física e mental na qualidade de vida desses cuidadores. Ademais, os resultados indicaram valores elevados relacionados aos aspectos de sua qualidade de vida – físicos e mentais, significando um nível alto de qualidade de vida entre os cuidadores formais. O estudo contribuiu no sentido de identificar o perfil do cuidador formal nas ILPI’s no munícipio, podendo servir de base para a elaboração de políticas públicas de melhoria da qualidade de vida do idoso e de seu cuidador formal.

     

2
  • GRACINEIDE PEREIRA DOS SANTOS
  • AFINAL, QUANTOS ÉRAMOS? UM ESTUDO DA MORTALIDADE PRETÉRITA NA FREGUESIA DA GLORIOSA SANT’ANNA

  • Líder : RICARDO OJIMA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • RICARDO OJIMA
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • ANA SILVIA VOLPI SCOTT
  • MARIO MARCOS SAMPAIO RODARTE
  • HELDER ALEXANDRE MEDEIROS DE MACEDO
  • Data: 27-may-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Pesquisar a mortalidade na Freguesia da Gloriosa Sant´Anna, sertão do Rio Grande do Norte no recorte temporal de 1788 a 1838 é o objetivo principal da presente investigação. As perguntas às quais a pesquisa se propõe a responder são: afinal quantos éramos? Os dados paroquiais de óbitos nos permitem estudar a mortalidade na Freguesia? Para realizar a pesquisa; primeiro recorreu-se aos mapas populacionais dos anos de 1777, 1810, 1811, 1824, 1844, 1853; os censos de 1872 e 1890.  Como também, os dois primeiros livros de enterros/óbitos da Freguesia; o primeiro datado de 1788 a 1811 e o segundo de 1812 a 1838 e um livro de batismo de 1802 a 1806 com essa informação aplicamos o método de projeção inversa.

    Entre os resultados encontrados percebeu-se que, por enquanto, o questionamento de sabermos, “Afinal, quantos éramos?” ainda não pode ser respondido, pois durante a análise percebemos um alto índice de sub-registros, demostrado através de um estudo primeiro da mortalidade infantil, na qual pelos registros que temos era muito alta, o que vai de encontro com o período Pré-transicional, porém com o exercício de projeção inversa constatou-se o contrário, uma população que teria uma esperança de vida elevada. Demostrando o problema de sub-registros. Os óbitos infantis ocorrem principalmente com as crianças do sexo masculino, nos primeiros meses do ano por causas infecciosas, e nos primeiros dias e semanas, uma hipótese que levantamos é que essas mortes tenham como pano de fundo as condições precárias da mãe acarretando a má formação da criança, culminando assim com sua morte precoce.

     

3
  • ANTONINO MELO DOS SANTOS
  • MORTALIDADE INFANTIL E CONDIÇÕES SOCIOECONÔMICAS NAS MICRORREGIÕES DO NORDESTE BRASILEIRO

  • Líder : PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • KLÉBER FERNANDES DE OLIVEIRA
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • Data: 07-jun-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O estudo propõe-se a responder à seguinte questão: quais os diferentes perfis da mortalidade infantil, segundo variáveis demográficas, socioeconômicas, de infraestrutura e de assistência à saúde, das microrregiões do Nordeste brasileiro? Assim, o objetivo principal é analisar os perfis ou tipologias de mortalidade associados aos níveis de condições sociodemográficas das microrregiões, no ano de 2010. Para tanto, fez-se uso das bases de dados do SIM e SINASC (DATASUS/MS), dos microdados do Censo populacional de 2010 e do SIDRA/IBGE. Utilizou-se como variável resposta, a mortalidade infantil e, como independentes, variáveis demográficas, socioeconômicas, de infraestrutura e de assistência à saúde das microrregiões. Como metodologias de análise, foram empregadas: a regressão linear múltipla ponderada, para encontrar as variáveis mais significantes na explicação da mortalidade infantil, para o ano de 2010 e a análise de clusters, buscando encontrar indícios, inicialmente, de grupos homogêneos de microrregiões, a partir das variáveis significantes. Utilizou-se como variável resposta, o logito da taxa de mortalidade infantil e, como independentes, variáveis demográficas, socioeconômicas, de infraestrutura e de assistência à saúde das microrregiões. A técnica de estimação Bayesiana Empírica, foi aplicada às informações de óbitos e nascimentos, devido ao fato inconveniente da subnotificação e das flutuações aleatórias de pequenos números existentes nas pequenas áreas.

     As técnicas de Estatística Espacial foram usadas, para apurar espacialmente o comportamento da distribuição das taxas a partir de mapas temáticos. Concluindo, empregou-se o método GoM (Grade of Membership), para encontrar tipologias de mortalidade associadas às variáveis, selecionadas por microrregião, buscando responder à questão principal do estudo. Os resultados apontam para formação de três perfis: o perfil 1, de alta mortalidade infantil e condições sociais de vida desfavoráveis; o perfil 2, de baixa mortalidade infantil, com medianas condições sociais de vida; e o perfil 3, de mediana mortalidade infantil e altas condições sociais de vida. Com esta classificação, encontrou-se que, das 188 microrregiões, 20 (10%) enquadraram-se ao perfil extremo 1, 59 (31,4%) caracterizaram-se no perfil extremo 2, 34 (18,1%) caracterizaram-se no perfil extremo 3 e apenas 9 (4,8%) classificaram-se como perfil amorfo. As demais microrregiões enquadraram-se nos perfis mistos. Tais perfis sugerem a necessidade de diferentes intervenções em termos de políticas públicas voltadas para a redução da mortalidade infantil na região.


4
  • RENATA CLARISSE CARLOS DE ANDRADE
  • Mudanças Demográficas e homicídios. Que relação é essa?
    Um estudo nas Regiões Metropolitanas de Maceió, Natal, Recife e São Paulo. 

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MARDONE CAVALCANTE FRANCA
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • TIRZA AIDAR
  • Data: 05-ago-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • A violência tem apresentado cenários distintos entre regiões metropolitanas do Brasil, ao mesmo tempo em que essas regiões passam por mudanças no contingente populacional. Nesse sentido, uma relevante discussão diz respeito a mudança na estrutura etária dessas populações e ao impacto dos homicídios na esperança de vida. Portanto o trabalho tem como objetivo avaliar a relação da demografia com a mortalidade por homicídio em duas vias, verificando por um lado como a estrutura etária interfere nas taxas de homicídio e por outro lado como as taxas de homicídio interferem na esperança de vida. Para isso, exercícios empíricos foram realizados em quatro regiões metropolitanas brasileiras: Maceió (RMM), Natal (RMN), Recife (RMR) e São Paulo (RMSP) nos anos de 2000 a 2010. Para analisar o impacto da estrutura por idade da população nas taxas de mortes intencionais por homicídio, primeiro utiliza-se a própria população da região metropolitana (RM) do
    ano de 2000 como padrão para os demais anos da série; em seguida utiliza-se a população do ano de 2010 como padrão em todos os anos; num terceiro exercício aplica-se em todos os anos, para cada RM em estudo, uma projeção populacional para 2020 da região metropolitana de São Paulo (RMSP) e no último exercício usa
    como padrão as populações estáveis geradas para cada RM. Os resultados mostram que variações na estrutura etária impactam na taxa bruta de mortalidade por homicídio, diminuindo se a região tem diminuição relativa da população entre 15 e 34 anos, ou aumentando se aumenta a população nestes grupos de risco. Num segundo exercício, a partir de tábuas de vida de múltiplos decrementos, eliminou-se das causas gerais de morte os óbitos por homicídio, para avaliar o impacto na esperança de vida da população de cada região. As estimativas realizadas para os anos de 2000 e 2010 apresentaram resultados de ganhos de até mais de 3 anos na
    esperança de vida ao nascer caso o homicídio não ocorresse.

5
  • JOSIVAN RIBEIRO JUSTINO
  •  



    ESTIMATIVAS DE MORTALIDADE PARA A REGIÃO NORDESTE DO BRASIL EM 2010: UMA ASSOCIAÇÃO DO MÉTODO DEMOGRÁFICO EQUAÇÃO GERAL DE BALANCEAMENTO, COM O ESTIMADOR BAYESIANO EMPÍRICO.

     

  • Líder : FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
  • MARCOS ROBERTO GONZAGA
  • JOSE VILTON COSTA
  • BERNARDO LANZA QUEIROZ
  • EVERTON EMANUEL CAMPOS DE LIMA
  • Data: 15-ago-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Um dos grandes desafios da demografia atual é obter estimativas de mortalidade, de
    maneira consistente, principalmente em pequenas áreas. A carência destas informações,
    dificulta ações de saúde pública e leva ao comprometimento da qualidade de
    classificação de óbitos, gerando preocupação por parte dos demógrafos e
    epidemiologistas na obtenção de estatísticas confiáveis da mortalidade no País. Este
    trabalho esta pautado sobre duas linhas de reflexão: uma demográfica e outra estatística,
    considerando também duas áreas de abrangência nos estados da região Nordeste, as
    áreas maiores (mesorregiões), e as pequenas áreas os municípios. Primeiramente será
    implementado o método demográfico Equação Geral de Balanceamento, ou General
    Growth Balance, para corrigir os óbitos observados, nas áreas maiores (mesorregiões)
    dos estados, por estas serem regiões menos propícias a quebra dos pressupostos
    metodológicos. Em seguida será aplicado o método estatístico estimador bayesiano
    empírico, considerando os óbitos corrigidos pelo método demográfico, tendo como
    referência os óbitos observados nas pequenas áreas ( municípios). O objetivo geral é
    obter estimativas de fatores de ajuste de óbitos registrados, para correção da mortalidade
    nos estados da região nordeste em 2010, por município segundo grupos etários,
    utilizando uma combinação do método bayesiano empírico e Equação Geral de
    Balanceamento. A combinação dos métodos tem consigo o efeito de suavização do grau
    de cobertura dos óbitos, fruto da associação do rigor da correção do método
    demográfico Equação Geral de Balanceamento, e a suavização provocada pelo
    estimador bayesiano empírico, com isto supõe-se ter valores mais adequados para os valores
    do grau de cobertura dos óbitos. Os resultados apontam que o grau de cobertura de óbitos,
    para os estados e mesorregiões do nordeste, segundo a combinação dos métodos com os
    seguintes valores: Alagoas (0,88), Bahía (0,90), Ceará ( 0,90), Maranhão (0,84), Paraíba
    (0,88), Pernambuco (0,93), Piauí (0,85) , Rio Grande do Norte (0,89) e Sergipe (0,92).

     

6
  • MARIA DE FATIMA MIRANDA BARBOSA
  • Envelhecimento populacional: um diagnóstico dos idosos institucionalizados em Natal/RN. 
  • Líder : MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • PAULO SERGIO LUCIO
  • EULALIA MARIA CHAVES MAIA
  • MORVAN DE MELLO MOREIRA
  • Data: 23-ago-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O processo de envelhecimento populacional vivenciado pela população brasileira concorreu com as transformações nos arranjos familiares, provocando dificuldades quanto aos cuidados ao idoso no ambiente familiar, fato que se constitui como um dos principais motivos para a sua institucionalização. Diante deste cenário, surge a necessidade de investigar como vivem os idosos nas instituições de longa permanência (ILPI’s). Neste estudo, investigaram-se os possíveis determinantes associados a essa institucionalização, em Natal, considerando os aspectos da estrutura, do convívio familiar, econômicos e da saúde e bem-estar do idoso. Desta forma, produziram-se três artigos: Artigo 1: Rio Grande do Norte: quatro décadas rumo ao envelhecimento, visando retratar as mudanças na estrutura etária da população brasileira, enfocando a Região Nordeste e o Rio Grande do Norte, 1980 a 2010; Artigo 2: Revisão da legislação municipal e caracterização das instituições de longa permanência para idosos, com o intuito de revisar a legislação vigente no âmbito municipal, pertinentes aos idosos institucionalizados, e caracterizar as ILPI’s, quanto à estrutura física, recursos humanos, serviços oferecidos e financiamento; Artigo 3: Um diagnóstico da qualidade de vida dos idosos institucionalizados, em Natal/RN, objetivando analisar os aspectos sociodemográficos, assim como avaliar a qualidade de vida destes idosos. Nestes artigos utilizaram-se várias metodologias estatísticas, dentre elas: Teste de Mantel-Haenszel e análise de regressão logística. Os resultados mostraram que o Rio Grande do Norte segue o cenário nacional, visto que entre 1980 e 2000 sua população passou do nível intermediário no processo de envelhecimento populacional para, em 2010, ser considerada como população idosa (IE = 43,6%). Ao longo deste processo, observou-se que Natal vem adequando-se à legislação federal, por meio da criação da Política Municipal, do Conselho Municipal e demais normas pertinentes aos idosos, promovendo mudanças significativas nas ILPI’s. Em 2012, Natal contava com 14 ILPI’s, destas, 54,5% eram particulares, acolhendo 37,2% dos idosos. Contudo, as instituições filantrópicas carecem de melhores recursos para as suas manutenções. Na pesquisa com os idosos, detectou-se que embora a maioria dos idosos tenham se declarado satisfeitos com a vida, estes apresentaram indicadores de deficiência da capacidade funcional (41,8%) e cognitiva (34,3%), comportamento social isolado (67,2%) e depressão (40,3%), comprometendo a qualidade de vida, destes idosos. Estes resultados refletem a necessidade de maiores investimentos do poder público na elaboração, implantação e acompanhamento de políticas públicas, visando promover mudanças que elevem nível da qualidade de vida, deste segmento da população.

7
  • KALLINE FABIANA SILVEIRA MARINHO
  • AVALIAÇÃO MULTIDIMENSIONAL DE IDOSOS ATENDIDOS POR EQUIPES DE SAÚDE DA FAMÍLIA (ESF) EM NATAL-RN: UMA ANÁLISE DEMOGRÁFICA E EPIDEMIOLÓGICA

  • Líder : MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MARIA CELIA DE CARVALHO FORMIGA
  • NILMA DIAS LEAO COSTA
  • VILANI MEDEIROS DE ARAUJO NUNES
  • MORVAN DE MELLO MOREIRA
  • Data: 23-ago-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  •  O rápido processo de envelhecimento populacional, observado no Brasil, tem gerado uma importante demanda para o sistema de saúde, configurando-se em grande desafio para as autoridades sanitárias, particularmente para a implantação de novos modelos e métodos de enfrentamento do problema. No Brasil, a razão de sexo (homens/mulheres) mostra que a proporção de mulheres é bastante superior à de homens, e os aspectos relacionados ao envelhecimento mostram diferenças entre os sexos, ressaltando peculiaridades no envelhecimento também entre eles. Diante disso, o presente estudo tem como objetivos: avaliar a capacidade funcional, identificar os fatores associados à dependência para as atividades da vida diária (AVD) e descrever os perfis socioeconômico, demográfico e de saúde dos idosos atendidos por equipes da saúde da família (ESF) da cidade de Natal-RN. O mesmo foi subdividido em dois artigos: o primeiro aborda a associação entre o perfil sociodemográfico e epidemiológico com a escala de avaliação funcional de Lawton (EL), identificando fatores de risco, enquanto o segundo artigo pretende estabelecer a associação entre a categorização do perfil demográfico com o sexo dos idosos. A fonte dos dados é o resultado de uma pesquisa conduzida por docentes da UFRN nas Unidades de Saúde da Família (USF) em quatro Distritos de Saúde (DS) do município de Natal-RN. É de um estudo transversal de base populacional, com uma amostra não probabilística de tamanho 1068, dimensionada proporcionalmente ao total de idosos atendidos em cada uma das USF dos DS. Os dados foram submetidos a uma análise descritiva exploratória e a testes de associação de qui-quadrado de Pearson, com um nível de significância de 5%. Um modelo de regressão logística foi ajustado, tendo a EL como variável dependente e aquelas que formaram o perfil sociodemográfico e epidemiológico do idoso, como variáveis independentes. As razões de chances, com seus respectivos intervalos de confiança de 95%, foram calculados. Os resultados mostraram associações significantes entre as cada uma variáveis sociodemográficas e epidemiológicas e a EL. A avaliação apontou para uma independência dos idosos, mostrando que a maioria deles não precisa de ajuda para executar tarefas do dia-a-dia. Observou-se uma maior autonomia funcional nas AVD para os idosos jovens ( 60 a 69 anos), que não referiram doenças como AVC, ansiedade, glaucoma e incontinência urinária, bem como não apresentando sinais de depressão.  De modo geral, estas são doenças que demandam atenção especializada, a fim de propiciar melhor qualidade de vida a esse grupo populacional. Espera-se que os resultados desse estudo possam ser aproveitados para potencializar os benefícios de uma velhice mais saudável, através de um acompanhamento eficaz pelas ESF.

8
  • DENISE GUERRA WINGERTER
  • REGISTRO DA INFORMAÇÃO SOBRE NASCIDOS VIVOS NO NORDESTE: UMA AVALIAÇÃO DA EVOLUÇÃO DO SINASC ENTRE 2000 E 2010.

     

  • Líder : LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • LARA DE MELO BARBOSA ANDRADE
  • MARIA HELENA CONSTANTINO SPYRIDES
  • ANNE CHRISTINE DAMASIO
  • ADRIANA DE MIRANDA RIBEIRO
  • Data: 26-ago-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • O conhecimento das informações fidedignas sobre os nascidos vivos e os óbitos de uma determinada população em um determinado período, é indispensável na construção de indicadores demográficos, epidemiológicos, político-sociais e econômicos. Partindo da necessidade da avaliação dos dados do SINASC como fonte de informação confiável sobre nascimentos no Nordeste em 2000 e 2010, do panorama do declínio da fecundidade na região Nordeste e da avaliação da cobertura do Sistema, questiona-se então, se o SINASC, após duas décadas de implantação, atualmente têm informações consolidadas para que possa ser utilizada como fonte para estimativas de indicadores diversos. Objetivos: Avaliar a qualidade das informações provenientes do SINASC nos estados do Nordeste brasileiro e suas microrregiões para os anos de 2000 e 2010, identificando níveis e padrões de fecundidade. Adicionalmente, pretende-se avaliar a TFT e o grau de cobertura do SINASC segundo as condições socioeconômicas das microrregiões do Nordeste, utilizando indicadores sociais, bem como a completude no preenchimento dos campos da Declaração de Nascido Vivo, por meio das lacunas de preenchimento de informações não declaradas. Metodolodia: Os dados utilizados foram os dados do SINASC e os do Censo Demográfico nos anos 2000 e 2010. Para o cálculo dos níveis e padrões da fecundidade pelos dados do SINASC foi utilizada a técnica de cálculo direto, e para os dados do Censo, a técnica P/F de Brass. Para a avaliação das informações sócio-econômicas foi utilizado o Indicador Social de Desenvolvimento Municipal (ISDM), elaborado pela Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV). Para a avaliação da completude das informações do SINASC considerou-se o quantitativo de informações na DVN classificadas como ignoradas ou em branco. Resultados: As informações dos níveis e padrões de fecundidade no ano de 2010 para o Nordeste e Estados são bem demonstradas tanto pelo Censo quanto pelo SINASC, o que evidencia a qualidade da captação das informações do SINASC para os Estados do Nordeste Brasileiro, porém ainda persistem um grande número de microrregiões com TFTs oriundas do SINASC bem abaixo daquelas estimadas pelo Censo, o que demonstra que, para o nível de desagregação de microrregião, os dados do SINASC carecem de um trabalho continuado de qualificação e da coleta das informações. Na análise das condições sócio-econômicas, corrobora-se a literatura, evidenciando que as localidades com menores condições sociais são as que detém as maiores TFT’s, e os piores níveis de cobertura do SINASC. Para as informações da completude dos itens da DNV, observou-se a melhoria do SINASC neste período, embora alguns itens ainda careçam de atenção, como a informação sobre ocupação da mãe.

9
  • ITALO MEDEIROS DE AZEVEDO
  • Família, aluno e professor: As forças tipológicas da educação básica na Região Metropolitana de Natal

  • Líder : MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • MIEMBROS DE LA BANCA :
  • MOISES ALBERTO CALLE AGUIRRE
  • PAULO CESAR FORMIGA RAMOS
  • CEZAR AUGUSTO CERQUEIRA
  • Data: 29-ago-2013


  • Resumen Espectáculo
  • Esta dissertação foi desenvolvida na linha de pesquisa: “O habitus de estudar: construtor de uma nova realidade na educação básica da região metropolitana de Natal” a qual está sendo desenvolvida com o apoio da CAPES junto ao Observatório da Educação. Atua, especialmente, no problema do desempenho escolar dos alunos da educação básica da rede pública da Região Metropolitana de Natal (RMN). Dessa forma, o objetivo central deste trabalho é construir uma tipologia dos estudantes do 9º ano do ensino fundamental, que frequentavam a rede pública de ensino (estadual ou municipal) da RMN, 2009, e avaliar, segundo esses perfis, quais características pessoais do estudante e de seus familiares: econômica, social e de capital cultural, bem como de práticas docentes; geram perfis (ambientes) capazes de favorecer um bom desenvolvimento educacional, avaliando-os através do desempenho obtido nas avaliações de matemática e língua portuguesa. Os dados utilizados foram os disponibilizados através dos microdados da Prova Brasil 2009 (SAEB), realizada pelo INEP. Utilizou-se o método Grade of Membership (GoM) para construção dos perfis de pertinência dos alunos segundo suas características. De posse desses perfis foi possível verificar, quais efetivamente eram geradores de bons desempenhos escolares nos componentes curriculares avaliados. Os achados indicam que os alunos classificados no perfil considerado como de ambiente bom, conseguiram obter melhor desempenho escolar tanto em língua portuguesa como em matemática, quando comparados com os perfis extremos adverso e deficitário.

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